I really wanna know
Tell me, who are you?
‘Cause I really wanna know."
-- Pete Townshend
On April 2, 2013, the Washington Capitals announced that
they signed free agent defenseman Nate Schmidt to a two-year entry level
contract. Schmidt had just
completed his third year with the University of Minnesota Golden Gophers. In
that final season Schmidt was a second team All-American, a Western Collegiate
Hockey Association first team selection, led the WCHA in scoring among
defensemen, finished third nationally in scoring among defensemen, and was an All-WCHA
Academic Team selection.
Schmidt dressed for eight games with the Capitals' AHL affiliate in Hershey to
wrap up the Bears’ regular season (1-3-4, minus-4), then appeared in five games
in all five games of the Bears’ first round loss to Providence in the Calder
Cup playoffs (0-2-2, plus-1).
Not a bad beginning. Not good enough to make the Opening
Night roster, but he was recalled on October 11th. That would start a run of 28
consecutive appearances for Schmidt in the Capitals’ lineup. He seemed to
improve over time, or at least his numbers did. He was just 0-3-3, even, in his
first 22 games. The, over a four-game span from November 30th through December
8th, he was 2-1-3, plus-4, in 18 and a half minutes of ice time a game. The
Caps were 3-1-0 in those games.
However, his run came to an end on December 10th, getting
held off the score sheet in a 6-5 overtime win over Tampa Bay. Then he was shut
out again in his next game. Then he sent down to Hershey for more than five
weeks. After returning to the Capitals and the lineup on January 21st, a 2-0
loss to Ottawa in which Schmidt played 11 minutes and change, he was sent down
to Hershey once more where he finished his season (missing a month to a knee
injury).
Schmidt was one of the early contestants for that third
defensive pair for the Caps. As it was, he finished eighth in games played
among the defensemen (29), tied for sixth in points (6), and second in
plus/minus (plus-4 to the plus-7 of Steve Oleksy, another second half
demotion).
In a sense, Schmidt was the caretaker for the left defense position
Dmitry Orlov would later occupy. He spent more time skating with Mike Green at 5-on-5 (232 minutes) than any other defenseman, almost 150 more minutes than he
skated with John Carlson (87 minutes), the defenseman with whom he spent the next
highest amount of time.
You will recall that Dmitry Orlov, who played all of his games after
Thanksgiving, also played most of his ice time alongside Green.
Schmidt’s partnership with Green was complex. On the one hand, his Corsi-for percentage at 5-on-5 was better (53.9) than it was with either of the next two partners with whom he shared the most ice time (John Carlson: 49.7; Tyson Strachan: 38.0). Schmidt’s Corsi-for percentage in those situations was worse when apart from Green (48.3) than it was when they were together (53.7). Schmidt’s Corsi-for percentage was worse when apart from Green (48.3) than it was when apart from the other two defensemen (Carlson: 50.9; Strachan: 53.0).
That was the dependence part of the partnership. The production piece appears to reflect
quality of competition. Schmidt’s
goals-against on ice per 20 minutes of 5-on-5 ice time was higher with Green
(0.947) than it was with John Carlson (0.919) and much higher than it was with
Tyson Strachan (0.492). Turn that 90 degrees,
and Schmidt’s goals-against on ice per 20 minutes of 5-on-5 ice time was much
lower apart from Green (0.545) than it was when skating with Green (0.947).
Fearless’ Take… The Caps
were 16-10-3 with Nate Schmidt in the lineup, 22-20-11 in his absence. He was minus-3 in his first eight games, plus-3
in his next 16 games, plus-6 in his last five games.
Cheerless’ Take… His Corsi-for percentage at 5-on-5 in those
first six games was 57.7, it was 47.9 in those next 16 games, and it was 48.5
in those last five games.
Odd Schmidt Fact… Nate Schmidt is the only defenseman in
Capitals history age 22 or younger to post consecutive games of plus-3 or
better. He did the trick on December 7th
and 8th in games against Nashville and the New York Rangers. He scored his first and second NHL goals in
those games.
Game to Remember… December 7th versus
Nashville. You always remember your
first. Nate Schmidt’s first NHL goal
came on December 7th against the Nashville Predators. The Caps had a 3-1 lead early in the third
period when the Caps took a faceoff in the Nashville zone to goalie Marek
Mazanec’ left. Neither Paul Gaustad nor
Joel Ward could win the draw cleanly, and it was Martin Erat kicking the puck
free to the boards. Erat collected the
puck and circled into the corner. From
that perch he spied Schmidt at the opposite point and saucered the puck out to
him. Schmidt settled the puck and leaned
into one, firing a slap shot past Mazanec’ blocker and off the far post for his
first NHL goal in a 5-2 Capitals win.
In the end…
This might be one of those instances in which your lying
eyes were in fact lying, at least a little bit. Schmidt had a
decent rookie campaign, but he had help.
He was “Part I” of the left defense partnership with Mike Green, manning
that spot for a large chunk of the first half of the season. However, his underlying numbers were not as
impressive, and they weakened more when apart from Green. That seems entirely understandable for a
rookie free agent defenseman who was playing NCAA hockey six months before he
dressed for his first game with the Caps.
Schmidt is also revealing in another respect, and not a
flattering one to the organization. Was
he that much of a diamond in the rough to merit almost 19 minutes a game, or
was it a case of his being the best the Caps had for the position given the
lack of depth in the system at the position?
We suspect it is the latter, which is no reflection on Schmidt or his
potential. Perhaps it would have been
better for him to spend the entire season at Hershey. Perhaps not.
Schmidt had the kind of season where at the end we are still trying to
figure out who he is.
Grade: B-
Post Script…
What if your "4D" had a season of 5-12-17, plus-3,
with Corsi/Fenwick close of 51.1/50.9? Would you have thought that a pretty
good season?
Well, turns out both Nate Schmidt (29 games) and Dmitry
Orlov (54 games) played most of their time alongside Mike Green, a lot more
than each of their respective number two ice time partners. And those were
their combined numbers (Orlov having better ones than Schmidt). Not all that
bad for a couple of young guys in that position, just 148 games of experience
between them at season’s end.
On the other hand, maybe Mike Green, as the common
denominator, wasn’t a bad mentor.
Photo: Patrick Smith/Getty Images North America
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