The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
After three contests against Atlantic Division clubs, the
Washington Capitals return to intradivisional battle on Thursday night with a
contest against a fellow Metropolitan Division foe. The Caps are set to visit the Philadelphia
Flyers at Core States First Union Wachovia Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia.
Both teams are coming off shutouts in their last outings,
and not the good kind. Washington was
shutout by the Detroit Red Wings on Tuesday night, 1-0, the second time they
have been blanked this season. The first
was back on October 13th in Game 2 of the season, a 5-0 loss to the
San Jose Sharks. It might be worth
noting that after that result, the Caps peeled off a five-game winning streak,
their longest of the season to date.
Meanwhile, the Flyers are coming off consecutive decisions
in which a shutout was recorded, a 3-0 win at Winnipeg against the Jets last
Saturday and a 4-0 loss to the Colorado Avalanche at home on Tuesday. That win against the Jets is the lone win for
the Flyers in their last eight contests (1-5-2).
The Flyers’ offense has been all but non-existent in their
eight-game slide. The have 12 goals in
those eight contests, a drought that has dropped them to 29th in
scoring offense in the league (1.80 goals per game). Of those 12 goals, Claude Giroux has a hand
in five of them (1-4-5). Giroux is the
team leader in points so far this season with nine (4-5-9). That makes the Flyers one of two teams in the
league whose team leader in points has not yet cracked the double-digit level
(Anaheim is the other). Giroux has been
one of the few consistent weapons in the Philadelphia arsenal this season. Only once has he gone consecutive games
without a point (October 29-30), and he has four points in his last five
contests. Giroux is 14-13-27, plus-2, in
25 career games against the Capitals.
Brayden Schenn is the club’s leading goal scorer (5) and the
leading goal scorer over the Flyers’ recent eight-game downturn (3-1-4). Perhaps no one on the club reflects the
difficulties the club has had in recent games.
During a 2-1 overtime loss to the Calgary Flames a week ago, Schenn took
one in the teeth – literally – for the team…
Schenn is 5-2-7, minus-4, in 14 career games against
Washington.
One of the problems the Flyers have had scoring goals is
getting little contribution from the defense.
The seven defensemen for the club to have dressed this season have a
total of four goals, three of them by Mark Streit. The ten-year veteran has built a reputation
of being something of a special teams specialist. More than half of his career goals (45 of 87)
have been scored on the power play, and almost half of his career points have
been recorded on the man advantage (189 of 392). He has been a bit streaky, recording only one
point in his first five games of the season and only one point in his last five
games. In between he was 2-4-6 in five
games. In 34 career games against
Washington, Streit is 8-17-25, minus-1.
Here is how the teams compare overall:
1. The Flyer defense
might not score a lot, but they do pile up the penalty minutes. Through 15 games, Flyer blueliners have a
total of 57 minutes in penalties (compare that to 34 in 14 games for Capital
defensemen).
2. Michal Neuvirth has
gotten the call in four straight games in goal, filling in for number one
netminder Steve Mason, who has missed time with a family matter and
illness. Neuvirth has had an odd go of
it this season. He has three wins, all
shutouts. In six other appearances he is
0-3-1, 3.28, .910. It has been quite an
all-or-nothing proposition with Neuvirth so far this season.
3. As one might expect from a team with as weak an offense
as the Flyers, their shooting effectiveness is anything but effective. They rank 29th in shooting
percentage (5.9 percent). Only Anaheim
is worse (5.6 percent).
4. The Flyers have
the worst first period goal differential in the league (minus-9). Only five teams have a worse third period goal
differential than Philadelphia (minus-4).
5. Not that they have
been good in their possession numbers, but the Flyers have not been as awful as
their offensive performance numbers would suggest. They rank 20th in Corsi-for
percentage at 5-on-5 (48.6) and 21st in close score situations
(48.8; numbers from war-on-ice.com).
1. Here is your odd
Alex Ovechkin stat for the game. He had
15 shots on goal in the 1-0 loss to the Detroit Red Wings on Tuesday. It was the eighth time in 13 games this season he
recorded five or more shots. The Caps
are 5-3-0 in those games. In the five
games in which he recorded fewer than five shots, the Caps are 5-0-0.
2. Washington has the
second best shot differential, for and against, in the league (plus-5.4 per
game). Only Carolina is better
(plus-5.5).
3. The Caps had a
modest two-game power play goal streak stopped by the Red Wings on
Tuesday. Oddly enough for a power play
as strong as the Caps, the two-game streak tied their longest streak of games
with a power play goal this season (Games 3 and 4 against Chicago and
Carolina). Washington is just 2-for-16
on the power play in road games this season (12.5 percent).
4. Only two teams
have more wins by three or more goals than the Capitals (5). The New York Rangers and Montreal Canadiens
each have seven such wins.
5. Odd team possession
stat. The Caps have had offensive zone
starts at 5-on-5 of 50 percent or better in 10 of their 14 games so far. In the four in which they did not, they won
three times (against Boston, Edmonton, and Chicago), their only loss being the
1-0 loss to Detroit on Tuesday (numbers from war-on-ice.com).
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Philadelphia: Steve Mason
Steve Mason has not won a game in regulation time this
season in goal for the Flyers. In eight
appearances so far he has two wins, one coming in overtime against Boston on October
21st, the other coming in a Gimmick on October 24th. Of 45 goalies having appeared in five or more games
through Tuesday’s games, Mason is 42nd in goals against average
(3.34) and 35th in save percentage (.902). He has not appeared in a game since dropping
a 4-1 decision to the Vancouver Canucks on November 2nd. With Michal Neuvirth having sustained an
injury in the third period of the Flyers’ 4-0 loss to Colorado on Tuesday,
Mason is expected to get the start against the Caps. In 13 career appearances against Washington,
he is 7-3-2, 2.65, .910, with two shutouts.
Washington: T.J.
Oshie
Since recording the game-winning goal in the third period of
a 2-1 win over the Columbus Blue Jackets on October 20th, T.J. Oshie
is without a point in his last five games.
It is his longest streak without a point since he opened the 2014-2015
season with a six-game streak. His
performance on the road could use some punching up. He is 1-2-3 in six road contests, but he is
without a point in his last three road games.
He does not have a point against the Flyers since recording a goal in a
4-2 St. Louis Blues win over Philadelphia on October 22, 2011 (four
games). Over his career against the
Flyers, Oshie is 2-2-4, minus-1, in eight games.
In the end…
Philadelphia is a struggling team. They are 1-5-2 in their last eight games, and
they have not won a home game in regulation in almost a month (3-0 over Chicago
on October 14th). They cannot
score with any regularity, and unless their goalie pitches shutouts, their
chances of winning drop precipitously (2-7-3 in games in which they allow a
goal). The trouble for the Caps is that
they have lost four in a row in Philadelphia (0-3-1) since beating the Flyers,
7-0, back on November 1, 2013. The thing
to watch is the play of Braden Holtby.
He is 4-4-4, 2.95, .900, with two shutouts in 13 career appearances
against the Flyers. On the other hand,
in three games following losses this season, Holtby is 3-0-0, 1.00, .965,
allowing a single goal in each game.
Getting a split on a two-game road trip would not be the worst thing for
the Caps.
Capitals 4 – Flyers 1
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