Our second big question for this season concerns whether the
Washington Capitals can successfully fill critical spots from within as players
depart.
One of the things that characterizes the Chicago Blackhawks
in their current era of excellence is their ability to remake themselves. That has been a product of necessity, salary
cap limits and players who were coming up for raises after successful campaigns requiring the parting of ways with the Hawks.
It happened after the 2010 Cup-winning season, when the
Blackhawks lost seven players – Kris Versteeg, Dustin Byfuglien, Ben Eager,
Brent Sopel, Colin Fraser, Andrew Ladd, and Antti Niemi – generally as a
concession to their cap situation. Chicago won again in 2013, but then they lost
Michael Frolik, Dave Bolland, and Viktor Stalberg. After winning a third Cup in six seasons last
spring, the Blackhawks find themselves in the same situation now, having lost
Brandon Saad and Patrick Sharp.
What the Blackhawks have not done is tamper with their core –
Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith.
They have managed to fill in around that core very effectively. Much of that has come from within, either new
players sliding into the lineup or players assuming larger roles – Andrew Shaw,
Teuvo Teravainen, Niklas Hjalmarsson, Bryan Bickell, Marcus Kruger among them.
The Washington Capitals have not had nearly the success
enjoyed by the Blackhawks, but they, too, are in the position of having to fill
spots left open by players moving off to other teams. Three players come to mind here, all Capitals
draft picks – John Carlson, Andre Burakovsky, and Tom Wilson. All are expected to assume expanded roles or
fill in for departed players.
John Carlson has been slowly incorporating more
responsibility into his game for a few years now. Last season he was the team leader in minutes
per game and finished the season among the best in the NHL in a number of statistical
categories.
He was the team leader in even strength ice time per game and shorthanded ice
time per game among defensemen for the Caps.
The one area in which he had not yet assumed the clear number one role
on the blueline was quarterback on the power play.
Now, with Mike Green departing for the greener pastures of
Red Wing hockey (three-year/$18 million contract with Detroit), Carlson is going to get his
shot at quarterbacking what has been the league’s best power play over the last
three years (24.9 percent overall, first-ranked in two of those seasons, second
by one one-hundredth of a percent in the other). Carlson was a more efficient player than Green
last season in producing power play points (16 in 142 minutes versus 17 in 199
minutes for Green), but he is going to get the best penalty killers that
opponents can offer, looking to deny his teeing up Alex Ovechkin for one-timers
from the left wing circle. Assuming this
responsibility means that for John Carlson, the job of number one defenseman is
his job in full now.
Precocious rookie. In
Chicago, that role went to Teuvo Teravainen last season. A former 18th overall draft pick
in 2012, he went 4-5-9 in 34 games with the Blackhawks in the regular season,
then followed it up with four goals and ten points in 18 post season
games. For the Caps, it was Andre
Burakovsky. The former 23rd
overall pick in the 2013 draft surprised many by making the parent club out of
training camp and scoring the team’s first goal of the season on his way to a
9-13-22 season in 53 games. He followed
that up with a pair of goals and three points in 11 postseason games.
This season, Burakovsky is expected to assume a more
expansive role. He seems targeted for
either the second line left wing or the third line center, although it seems
likely he will be the second line center until Nicklas Backstrom returns to the
lineup, and Evgeny Kuznetsov slides down a rung in the middle.
At times, it was hard to remember that Burakovsky was a
19-year old rookie. He had a fine start to the season, and his postseason was uncommon for one as young as he was.
Then again, he was assigned to Hershey six times last season, the last time to
participate in the Bears’ postseason run.
Not that he played a lot in Hershey (13 regular season games and one
playoff game). Many of the reassignments
were “paper” transactions of a short term nature, but this year he will be expected
to appear in more than the 53 games in which he played for the Caps last
season. But, let us keep in mind, too,
that he is still just a 20-year old. In
the post 2004-2005 lockout era, 19 forwards in their 20-year old year recorded
50 or more points, less than two a year and never more than three in any one
season. If there are Caps fans out there
thinking Burakovsky is going to be one of them, he is swimming upstream against
recent history. But he should be a
significant contributor. It is likely he
will have to be for the Caps to be successful.
Tom Wilson is not your average 16th overall draft
pick. He is one of five players in the
post 2004-2005 lockout era to record at least 300 penalty minutes in his first
two seasons. None of the other four were
drafted higher than the third round or 73rd overall.
On the other hand, he is fifth in his 2012 draft class in games played (149),
14th in goals scored (7), and 11th in points (27), all
rankings above his selection point (16th overall).
This season, Wilson could amend the definition of “power”
forward as it applies to him. Although
the club obtained T.J. Oshie and Justin Williams to address perceived
weaknesses on the right side of the forward squad, Wilson could slide into the
third-line slot formerly occupied by Joel Ward, now of the San Jose Sharks. In that position, there is going to be less emphasis
on the power of his fists (26 fighting majors in two seasons) and more on
muscling his way into scoring areas and improving his point production.
The age thing applies to Wilson as much as it does to
Burakovsky. He will be entering his
21-year old age year with the Caps. In
the last ten seasons, 14 right wingers have appeared in 70 or more games and
recorded 30 or more points in their 21-year old year.
It would be a stretch for Wilson to make it 15, but making progress as an
all-around contributor is the object of this season for Wilson.
In a salary-capped world, the ability of a team to bring new
players into roles left open by players departing for better compensation is a
key to sustained success. The Chicago
Blackhawks have perfected this technique in the last half-dozen seasons. If the Capitals are to replicate the success
of the Blackhawks, they are going to need to have players assume more responsible
roles and make bigger contributions. Key
to that will be how John Carlson, Andre Burakovsky, and Tom Wilson – all former
first-round draft picks by the club – improve on their performance to date.
