Week 12 for the Washington Capitals was an example of the
old notion of “what have you done for me lately?” The Caps had their 11th winning
week in 12, widened the lead in their division (from 10 to 12 points) and the Eastern Confernce (from 10 to 11 points), and yet by week’s end they looked like
a tired, depleted, leaky group more than they did the team with the second best
record in the league.
Record: 2-1-1
The Caps came into Week 12 with a seven-game winning streak
and a schedule of four games against teams that were a combined 42-53-12, none
of the three teams they would face having winning records. On paper, it looked like a good bet that the
Caps would extend their streak to 11 games and establish an all but insurmountable
distance between themselves and their closest division and conference pursuers
in the standings.
A couple of solid wins over the Buffalo Sabres in a
home-and-home series to open the week only fueled the sense that Week 12 would
be a happy one, but the Caps lost two centers in the second contest against the
Sabres. Nicklas Backstrom sat out the
third period after absorbing a bit hit on his last shift of the second period,
and Jay Beagle sustained a hand injury that required surgery and will keep him
out of the lineup for six weeks.
Backstrom came back to play in the last two games of the week, but for a
team already missing both defensemen on its top pair – John Carlson and Brooks
Orpik – and now a center who could play decent defense and win a lot of
faceoffs, the four game week took its toll in the end.
Offense: 3.25/game
(season: 3.13 /game; rank: 2nd)
The Caps had a good week in the offensive end of the rink,
but it could have been better.
Washington faced four goaltenders (three of them backups) who started
their games against the Caps with a combined record of 21-28-8, 2.74,
.905. Then they faced a third-string
goalie – Columbus’ Anton Forsberg – making his first appearance of the season
in overtime of a 4-4 game, and they failed to score on him despite the benefit of a 4-on-3 power play.
Overall, there was a lack of balance in the week as
well. Of the 13 goals scored, Alex
Ovechkin had four of them, bringing his season total to 21, lifting him into
fifth place in the league in goals, just a hat trick behind the Dallas Stars’
Jamie Benn. Eight other Caps shared in
the other nine goals, Marcus Johansson the only Cap of that group with two
goals for the week.
If there were surprises in Week 12 for the Caps on offense,
they came in the collection of players who had assists. Tom Wilson tied for the team lead in that
area with three helpers in four games, giving him 11 on the year (his career
high is 13, set last season). Matt
Niskanen tied Wilson for the team lead with three assists for the week,
bringing his total for the season to 14.
Of note is the fact that Niskanen recorded assists in each of the last
three games of the week, and two of those assists came on the power play as he
took over responsibility on the top power play unit for the injured John
Carlson.
Defense: 2.50/game (season: 2.16 /game; rank:1st)
It was not a bad week for the Caps in terms of shots against,
the team holding opponents to fewer than 30 shots in two of the four games. It was not as if the Caps faced stiffs in
that department as the Buffalo Sabres, who the Caps faced twice, and the
Carolina Hurricanes ranked 13th
and 14th in shots per game at week’s end (the Columbus Blue Jackets,
who were held to 29 shots, rank 21st) .
Then there was the subtle problem. With John Carlson and
Brook Orpik on the shelf with injuries, Niskanen and Karl Alzner were moved up
a rung to the top pair this week. By the
end of the week they had performed relatively well, Alzner being the only one
of that pair to have been on ice for a goal against at 5-on-5 (and it was just
one). But it was Niskanen and Alzner on
the ice with the clock approaching one minute in regulation and the Columbus
net empty when Brandon Saad got behind them both to score the game-tying goal
in the Caps’ 5-4 Gimmick loss to end the week.
Niskanen averaged more than 28 minutes of ice time for the week, Alzner
almost 24 minutes, and they looked to be dragging a bit at the end.
Possession was an issue for the Caps in Week 12, again. This week’s profile looked different
though. Overall, the Caps out-attempted
opponents at 5-on-5 to a Corsi-for percentage of 52.3. However, they were plus-22 in 5-on-5 attempts
in the second Buffalo game of the week, minus-4 over the other three
games. And, their close score Corsi was
a poorer 48.2 percent, plus-14 against Buffalo in that second of the
home-and-home games and minus-23 otherwise.
Goaltending: 2.22 /.929 / 1 shutout (season: 2.02 / .927 / 2
shutouts)
Goaltending was another case of what looked like a good week
overall until one got down to the particulars, especially at the end of the
week. Braden Holtby took the first two
games of the week, the home-and-home set against Buffalo, and allowed just two
goals on 58 shots (a .966 save percentage), winning both games and pitching a
shutout in the first of the two games.
Holtby and Philipp Grubauer split the last two games of the
week, going 0-1-1, 3.39, .892. What was
more disturbing was the save percentage in the third period of those last two
games: .778 (14-for-18). Was this a case
of opponents getting better opportunities against a depleted and fatigued
defense, was it a blip on an otherwise fine goaltending ledger for the season,
or was it evidence of an emerging slump that might be a case of poor possession
chickens coming home to roost?
Power Play: 3-for-10 / 30.0 percent (season: 25.6 percent;
rank: 2nd)
The Caps had a good week on the man advantage for the most part, part of a run
that has them converting 33.3 percent of their opportunities (9-for-27) over
the last three weeks. But not everything
was unicorns and accordions here, either.
The Caps played four games and had just ten power play
opportunities. They had none against
Carolina in a 4-2 loss, the second time this season they were not awarded a
power play opportunity. They had only
one chance in the game in Buffalo to start the week. More than half of their opportunities (six)
and two of their power play goals for the week came against Columbus. Overall, the Caps finished the week tied for
the tenth-fewest power play opportunities per game (3.08).
What chances the Caps had, they fared well., to a point They finished the week with three goals on 23
shots (13.0 percent shooting) in 17:01 of power play time (1.35 shots per
minute). More than a third of the shots
came from Alex Ovechkin (8), but he did not record any of the three power play
goals. Marcus Johansson, Jason Chimera,
and T.J. Oshie recorded the goals for the Caps. The blot on the record was the power play in overtime against Columbus to end the week in which they shot 0-for-6 against a third string goalie (Anton Forsberg) on their way to a 5-4 freestyle loss.
Penalty Killing: 11-for-13 / 84.6 percent (season: 84.7
percent; rank: 5th)
Week 12 was a solid week for the penalty killers, part of
another good three week run (27-for-31/87.1 percent). That the Caps finished the week a plus-one in
special teams despite a special teams index (power play plus penalty killing
percentages) of 114.6 was not a problem of the men manning the shorthanded
responsibility. One might have liked
finishing the week with less time spent killing penalties, the Caps skating
18:20 in shorthanded situations, 6:49 more than they spent on the power
play. But they made up for it with
killing off penalties in an efficient manner, allowing only 17 shots on goal in
that 18:20 of shorthanded ice time (0.93 shots per minute).
It would have been a lot better week without the last game
of the week. In their first three games
of Week 12, the Caps killed all 10 shorthanded situations they faced and held
opponents to 15 shots in 18 minutes of shorthanded ice time (0.83 shots per
minute). In that last game of the week,
against Columbus, the Blue Jackets scored on both of their power play shots on
goal and went 2-for-3 in 1:10 of power play ice time.
Even Strength 5-on-5 Goals for/Goals Against: 9-7 / plus-2
(season, 5-on-5 goals for/goals against ratio: 1.43; rank: 1st)
It was a good week overall, but it was better early than it
was late at 5-on-5. The Caps opened the
week scoring both of their goals at evens in the shutout of Buffalo. After that
it was break-even, splitting four 5-on-5 goals with the Sabres in their second
game, going minus-1 in the 4-2 loss to Carolina, and going plus-1 in the 5-4
trick shot loss to Columbus.
It says something that a week in which the Caps had a 1.29
goals-for/goals-against ratio at 5-on-5 results in a drop in that number for
the season. It also hints at what might
be a regression in that number if it starts to align more closely with possession numbers
that are still an issue, an issue made more important by the injuries the team
is dealing with at the moment.
Faceoffs: 111-for-241 / 46.1 percent (season: 49.5% / rank: 21st)
It was a bad week in the circle for the Caps. They were under 50 percent in all four games
and in all three zones for the week. It
was worse for missing Jay Beagle for the last two-plus games of the week after
he suffered a hand injury. Beagle was
his typical efficient self, going 14-for-21 before he was sidelined. The rest of the club was 44.1 percent, worse
in the offensive end (42.3 percent) and the defensive end (43.3 percent). Michael Latta was the only Cap taking more
than ten draws for the week who finished over 50 percent (13-for-23/56.5
percent).
Goals by Period:
Third periods were not kind to the Caps in Week 12. The five
goals allowed over the last three games after the shutout of Buffalo were
double the goals allowed over the first two periods of games for the week and constitute
20 percent of the total goals allowed by the club in the third period of games
this season before Week 12 (25). As it is, the Caps are
still the only club in the league to allow 30 or fewer goals in all three
regulation periods this season. Only
four other teams have allowed 30 or fewer goals in two of the regulation
periods this season.
In the end…
A 2-1-1 week looks better when the “2” comes at the end of
the week and is something to build on.
When the week ends with a pair of losses, ending the Caps’ consecutive
games streak without suffering back-to-back losses at 37 games, and to a pair
of struggling teams, no less, it is cause for some concern.
As the Caps embark on Week 13 and the last three games of
their five-game road trip, they are facing their biggest challenge of the
season – fight through the injuries that have depleted their defense and
shortened the depth chart at center, and solve the persistent possession
numbers problem they have had for more than a month. If they do neither, the burden on goaltending
becomes more acute and the likelihood of continued success diminished.
Three Stars:
- First Star: Alex Ovechkin (4-0-4, plus-1, 26 shots on goal, 53 shot attempts; 10 shots on goal against Buffalo; 22 shot attempts against Columbus)
- Second Star: Braden Holtby (2-0-1, 1.95, .931, one shutout)
- Third Star: Marcus Johansson (2-2-4, plus-1, power play/game-winning goal, personal season high seven shots on goal against Buffalo).