The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
The Washington Capitals wrap up the pre-All-Star Game portion of their schedule, the symbolic half way point of the season, when they visit the New York Islanders at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum on Saturday afternoon in a 1:00 start. The Caps will look to build on an impressive win over the New Jersey Devils, 5-2, on Thursday night to take a two-game winning streak into the break.
The Washington Capitals wrap up the pre-All-Star Game portion of their schedule, the symbolic half way point of the season, when they visit the New York Islanders at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum on Saturday afternoon in a 1:00 start. The Caps will look to build on an impressive win over the New Jersey Devils, 5-2, on Thursday night to take a two-game winning streak into the break.
Then and Now…
Saturday will be the 221st time that the Capitals
and Islanders have met in the regular season.
Washington has a 110-91-6 (13 ties) overall record against New York and
a 54-51-3 (two ties) record on Long Island.
Since 2005-2006, the Caps are 33-19-6 against the Islanders overall and
17-9-3 on the road.
Active Leaders vs. Opponent…
Noteworthy Opponents…
Warroad, Minnesota, has prepared a number of NHL players
well known to Caps fans – T.J. Oshie (who was born in Everett, Washington, but
who moved to Warroad and played high school hockey there), Alan Hangsleben, and
Dave Christian. Warroad’s contribution to
the New York Islanders is forward Brock Nelson, now in his seventh year with
the Isles. New York took Nelson with the
30th overall pick of the 2010 draft, and he has been an overachiever
relative to his draft position, ranking 10th in games played in his
draft class (526), seventh in goals (142), 18th in assists (135), 15th
in points (277), 26th in plus-minus (plus-10), and 18th
in penalty minutes (197). Over his
seven-year career with the Isles, Nelson leads the active members of the team
in games played, is second in goals, second in assists, and third in points.
This season, Nelson is producing at rates that are the best
of his career. He is on a pace to finish
the season with 33 goals, 31 assists, and 64 points, all of which would be
career highs. He has been an especially
durable player as well, missing only two games over the last six seasons,
including this one to date. Nelson has
been very productive on home ice lately, going 8-6-14, plus-2, over his last 14
games at home, a run that includes four multi-point games. In 26 career games against the Caps, Nelson
is 7-5-12, minus-5.
Matt Martin is one aggravation away from jumping into the
top ten in Islander history in career penalty minutes. He passed Islander legend Brent Sutter for 11th
place last Monday in a 6-2 loss to the New York Rangers, and he did it
quickly. On just his first shift of the
game, 2:13 into the first period and seven seconds into his shift, Martin
locked horns with the Rangers’ Brendan Smith on a faceoff just after Micheal Haley
and Ross Johnston dropped gloves. It
earned Martin a five-minute major and a ten-minute misconduct (Smith earned the
same), both players excused from further action for participating in a “secondary”
fight after the first one finished. The
15 minutes Martin earned gave him a total of 762 minutes in his Islander
career, 21 minutes behind Gerry Hart for tenth place in team history.
This is Martin’s stock in trade. In nine years as an Islander (he also spent
two with the Toronto Maple Leafs), he reached the ten-goal mark once (he has 51
in 538 games as an Islander) and has never recorded as many as 20 points. He does have four seasons topping 100 penalty
minutes, although he has been relatively behaved this season, recording only 14
penalty minutes in 33 games apart from his outburst against the Rangers. In fact, Martin has penalty minutes in only
three of 34 games to date, another 12 minutes against Chicago on December 27th
and a minor penalty against New Jersey on January 2nd. On the other hand, that is 29 penalty minutes
in his last 11 games. Martin is 3-2-5,
minus-1, in 32 career games against Washington with 44 penalty minutes.
Eight skaters have dressed for all 46 games played by the
Islanders to date, and Anthony Beauvillier is the youngest of the group at age
22. Beauvillier was taken with the 28th
overall pick in the 2015 Entry Draft by the Islanders and is already in his
fourth NHL season with the club. He had
a good rookie season in 2016-2017, posting nine goals and 24 points in 66
games, ranking in the top-25 in both categories among rookies. He followed that up with a solid sophomore
season, going 21-15-36 in 71 games in 2017-2018. But those 21 goals that season are a career
best; he seems to have plateaued on his career arc for the moment. He slid to 18 goals in 81 games last season,
and his 12 goals in 46 games so far this season put him on a pace to match his
career high of 21.
Beauvillier has been off his game of late. After going 10-12-22, plus-8 in his first 32
games, he is just 2-2-4, minus-8, in his last 13 games. He did break out in the Islanders’ 8-2 win
over Detroit last Tuesday, posting a goal and an assist in the win, breaking a
five-game streak without a point on home ice before posting a goal against the New York Rangers on Thursday.
Even with that slump at home, there has been a decided home ice tilt in
his game. He is 8-9-17, plus-4, in 24
games at Nassau Coliseum, but just 4-5-9, minus-4, in 22 road games this
season. Beauvillier is 0-4-4, plus-2, in
13 career games against Washington.
1. The Islanders net
goal differential on the power play at home (plus-7) is tied for third-worst in
the league, ahead on only Montreal and San Jose (each at plus-6).
2. No team spends
less time per game on the power play than the Islanders (3:36), a product of
having the fewest opportunities per game in the league at home (2.08).
3. Only Vancouver and
Pittsburgh have allowed fewer first period goals on home ice (13 and 12,
respectively) than the Islanders (14).
4. The Islanders are
tied for the third-worst record in the league, by winning percentage, when
leading after the first period on home ice (6-2-2/.600). Detroit (4-4-0/.500) and New Jersey
(2-4-2.,250) are worse.
5. The Islanders have
trailed on home ice after one period only four times this season (2-2-0). Only Vancouver has trailed after 20 minutes
less frequently (twice – 0-2-0).
1. The Caps have
eight wins on the road when leading after one period. Only Toronto has more (nine).
2. Carrying on in
that vein, the Caps have 11 wins on the road when leading after two
periods. Again, that is second in the
league. Only Colorado (12) has more.
3. Washington has
scored 33 third period goals in road games this season, most in the league.
4. Shot matter for
the Caps on the road. They have ten wins
when outshooting opponents in their building, most in the league. And, only
three teams have fewer regulation losses in road games when being outshot than
the Caps (three): Chicago (once), St. Louis (twice) and Dallas (twice).
5. Only Carolina and the New York Rangers have spent more time
shorthanded (6:21 and 6:52, respectively) than the Caps (6:18) in road games.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
New York: Thomas Greiss
Very soon, Thomas Greiss will dress for his 188th
game as a New York Islander goalie. When
he does, he will jump past Tommy Salo into fifth place on the all-time list of
games played by Islander goaltenders, topped only by Kelly Hrudey (241), Glenn
Resch (282), Rick DiPietro (318), and Billy Smith (674). And, while it will not come against the
Capitals, Greiss will soon become the fifth goalie in team history to reach the
100 win mark (he has 98). He is fourth
in team history in goals against average (2.67; minimum: 50 games), and he is
tops in save percentage (.916; minimum: 50 games). Rather remarkable numbers for a goalie who
has never seemed to take a firm grasp of a number one job in any of his four
NHL stops (he has played for San Jose, Phoenix/Arizona, and Pittsburgh in
addition to the Islanders).
This season, Greiss was once more cast as a backup, or
perhaps as a “1-A” goalie when Semyon Varlamov was signed as a free agent. He made the job a competition early, going
9-1-0 (one no-decision), 2.07, .934 in his first 11 appearances. In his last 11 appearances he has fallen off,
going 4-6-0 (one no-decision), 3.16, .905.
He might be emerging from the slump, though. In his has three appearances he stopped 67 of
72 shots (.931 save percentage) while posting a pair of wins and a no-decision. He has been much more effective at home than
the road in terms of record (8-2-0 versus 5-5-0), goals against average
(2.22/2.86) and save percentage (.927/.915).
Greiss is 3-3-1, 2.15, .927, with one shutout in seven career
appearances against the Caps.
Washington: T. J. Oshie
Warroad’s other entry in this game is T.J. Oshie. If the Caps were a high-performance
automobile, you might think of Alex Ovechkin as the engine, Nicklas Backstrom
as the steering and suspension, and Oshie as the transmission (tortured
metaphor, thy name is “Peerless”). Oshie
is a player who plays in several gears – high, higher, and higher still. He is that rare “energy” player who provides
that energy without resorting to playing outside the rules. He plays above his weight class in terms of
toughness, often goes into high-danger/high-reward areas to make plays, and
scores important goals at important times in games. Since he joined the Caps in the 2015-2016
season, he is second to Alex Ovechkin in goals scored (120 to 214 for
Ovechkin), fifth in assists (121), fifth in points (241), fifth in plus-minus
(plus-50), second in power play goals (40 to 82 for Ovechkin), fifth in power
play points (70), and tied for third in game-winning goals (18). Odd fact about those game winning goals… with
his next one, Oshie will tie Craig Laughlin and Sergei Gonchar for 22nd
on the all-time franchise ranking.
Oshie has been a bit streaky of late. He had a stretch of six games in which he
recorded a lone assist, and then he followed that up with three goals and three
assists over a four-game span. He goes
into Saturday’s game without a point in his last three games. Oshie has not scored a goal on the road since
he potted one in a 5-2 win in Tampa over the Lightning on December 14th,
a streak of six road games without a goal.
Oshie is 11-14-25, plus-9, in 24 career games against the Islanders.
In the end…
With a win, the Caps will go into their eight-day break with
the best record in the league and would be no worse than six points clear of
the rest of the Metropolitan Division.
The Caps can put the Islanders, already reeling with a 6-7-2 record in
their last 15 games, into a deep hole in the division standings by putting 11
points between themselves and New York with a win in regulation. The Caps still have the best road record in
the league by wins (17, three more than any other team) and winning percentage
(.729, the only team with a winning percentage over .700 on the road). When you couple this with the Islanders’
2-5-2 record on home ice in their last eight games, signs point to a Caps win.
Capitals 4 – Islanders 2