In 2007-2008, when Alex Ovechkin set an NHL record for goals by a left wing with 65, he accomplished the feat by being a one-man force of nature. He shot from here, there, and everywhere. His 446 shots led the league by almost 100 shots over second-place Henrik Zetterberg (358). His total of 199 missed shots was more than the shots on goal of 293 other skaters of 371 who qualified for the shooting percentage title. Those 65 goals was a total a full 25 percent greater than the second-place finisher for the Rocket Richard Trophy (Ilya Kovalchuk, 52 goals).
And chances were, Ovechkin would score off a one-man rush or a one-timer from the left-wing faceoff circle as much as not. He was the go-to guy on the play, the one you expected to be the finisher.
Fast forward to last night. The Caps are losing to the New York Islanders, 4-1, late in the second period. As the clock ticked under a minute to play in the period, the Caps were moving up ice, Ovechkin one of a group of skaters that included Jeff Schultz, Dennis Wideman, Marcus Johansson, and Brooks Laich. Ovechkin had already touched the puck briefly on the play, moving it across ice to Johansson leaving the Caps’ defensive zone. For the next few seconds it was the Johansson-Laich show, with Johansson skating down the left wing into the Islanders’ zone and sliding the puck to Laich skating down the middle. Ovechkin was more or less the odd wing out on the play, cutting across in front of Laich as the pass was coming through and filling a lane on the left side.
Laich took the shot from the high slot, and Islander goalie Evgeni Nabokov had to make a difficult save. But in having to make that difficult save, Nabokov could not control the rebound, and the puck slid to his right… right onto the tape of the odd wing filling his lane – Ovechkin. From momentum alone, Ovechkin was in a position to sweep the puck past the now out of position Nabokov to bring the Caps within two goals as the second period ended. The play was not designed for him, and in fact was not a first option for Johansson making his pass once inside the Islanders’ blue line. It was opportunism as a product of persistence – finishing his role in the play – that resulted in a goal.
Move forward to the third period. The Caps have closed the gap to one goal and are breaking into the Islander zone as the period was just winding down past the midway point. Joel Ward has trouble controlling the puck, but manages to wiggle it into the Islanders' zone as part of a three-man attack. From the right wing, Ward slid the puck to center Keith Aucoin skating down the middle. With only two Islanders back, Ovechkin is the open wing on the left side. Aucoin slides him the puck, and Ovechkin fires. Not once, and not again after defenseman Steve Staios slid himself out of the play trying to block the first shot. It is the third time – a chip shot just past Nabokov’s right shoulder, not a wicked wrister or a one-time slap shot – that gently settles in the back of the net. It is another example of persistence, of staying with a play enough to get those two extra whacks at the puck.
On neither play did Ovechkin carry the puck while outside the offensive zone. Only once did he touch it at that distance – to start Marcus Johansson on a rush on the other side of the ice that ended with Ovechkin scoring the Caps' second goal of the game. But by being persistent and opportunistic, without the expenditure of energy characteristic of so many of those goals in that 65-goal season, Ovechkin was the finisher on the goal that gave the Caps a breath of life after being down three goals and the one that brought them the rest of the way back from that deficit.
After being his own SportsCenter Top Ten highlight film for much of his first five seasons (in which he scored at a pace of 56 goals-per-82 games), he is having to become a different kind of player. He isn’t as successful off those one-man rushes or those one-timers as he once was. Teams have figured that out. And all that energy used can take its toll on a player.
On two occasions last night there was a player who perhaps used the experience gained as he closes in on 600 games played in the NHL (regular season and playoffs). He wasn’t the highlight reel for five seconds moving up the ice and pulling fans out of their seats that he was four seasons ago. He was the guy who bided his time as his teammates made a play, and he was there for the finish. Not the prettiest goals you will see – both scored on the doorstep by being the last guy on the play – but they count all the same. And for a team needing goal scoring, that is what the Caps are going to need from Ovechkin as the days get longer this spring.
The Alex Ovechkin that fans saw in his first five seasons is gone. It might not be a case of “what’s wrong” with Alex Ovechkin since then as much as it was a case that his results were accomplished in a way unique in this period of system-based, automaton-like hockey. He was, for a moment in time, one of a kind. He was the one-man force of nature that had no analog on any team in the league. And, for that matter, had not seen the likes of in years, perhaps since Mario Lemieux was in his heyday stickhandling up ice and leaving defenders and goaltenders bewildered as he was celebrating another goal, or since Pavel Bure was thrilling fans with mad dashes up the ice that ended in highlight quality goals.
What fans might have been watching last night was a glimpse of the player Ovechkin is to become as he matures. Still a force capable of the occasional breathtaking flight up ice to score a highlight reel goal. But more often than not a finisher, a player who has learned the game, who can let his teammates do the heavy lifting on plays, yet who can finish those plays when need be.
It is the difference between being a force of nature and being a part of its evolution.
It's once and always Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals hockey, all day, all night, all the time . . . or when I get around to it
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
A TWO-point night -- Game 70: Capitals 5 - Islanders 4 (OT/Gimmick)
For 39 minutes they had nothing…nothing.
But for the Washington Capitals there was that last minute of the second period. Down 4-1, outshot 21-13, having already allowed two goals on four New York Islander power plays, the Caps made a play. Jeff Schultz took a hit to slide the puck to Dennis Wideman. Then, Wideman chipped it off the boards to Alex Ovechkin. From there, a cross-ice pass to Marcus Johansson. As he crossed the Islander blue line Johansson found Brooks Laich cutting to the middle. Laich snapped a shot on Islanders goalie Evgeni Nabokov, and Nabokov made the save. But he left a juicy rebound in doing so, right onto the stick of Ovechkin who was cutting to the net on the left side. Ovechin swept the puck into the net, and the Caps were within two with 53 seconds left in the period. A play on which all five skaters touched the puck for the Caps, it was a harbinger of things to come in the last 20 minutes.
111 seconds into the third period, Dmitry Orlov went all Josh Bailey on the Islanders. You might recall in the last meeting of these teams, Bailey scored for the Islanders when he stormed down the slot, and the Caps’ defense parted in a scene reminiscent of Charlton Heston parting the Red Sea in the movie, The Ten Commandments. This time it was Orlov steaming down the slot, taking a pass from Marcus Johansson, and with three Islander defenders forming a nice triangle around Orlov, the Caps’ defenseman had a clean, clear look at where he wanted to put the puck. Where he put it was behind goalie Evgeni Nabokov to cut the Islander lead to one.
Then it was Ovechkin one more time. Joel Ward dribbled the puck across the Islander line and pushed it to Keith Aucoin in the middle. Aucoin forwarded the puck to Ovechkin skating down the left side. Ovechkin took a shot…repelled by Nabokov. Another…repelled again. The third time was the charm, Ovechkin chipping the puck over Nabokov’s shoulder to tie the game.
After a scoreless overtime, it was time for the trick shot competition, and in this a player like Matt Hendricks has found his niche. Hendricks has only four goals in the hockey portion of games this season, but last night he Charlie Brown’ed Nabokov, articles of goalie equipment scattered throughout the crease, and backhanded the puck past a prone Nabokov for the game-winning score and the extra standings point. It was Hendricks’ second goal in the Gimmick this season, both of them being game-deciding scores.
Other stuff…
-- In case you have not been paying attention, Dmitry Orlov is now third among rookie defensemen in scoring. His 17 points trails only Carolina’s Justin Faulk (19) and Toronto’s Jake Gardiner (21). Orlov has played the fewest games of this trio (51, compared to 54 for Faulk and 63 for Gardiner).
-- Ovechkin is getting better at one part of his game. Recall the indifferent effort in a shot block attempt that led to the only goal in a 1-0 loss to Philadelphia recently. Last night…two blocked shots.
-- A difficult night for John Carlson…on ice for three goals against.
-- The Caps went 64 games without being held without a power play opportunity. It has now happened twice in the last six games.
-- At the other end, this was the second time in four games that the Caps allowed two power play goals (the other coming in the 3-2 overtime win over Tampa Bay last Thursday). In March the penalty killers are only 11-for-16 (68.8 percent).
-- In the battle for territory, the Caps had only nine faceoffs (again) in the Islanders’ zone last night, winning only three of them. Brooks Laich took ten by himself in the Washington end (of a total of 26).
-- Jay Beagle and the off-ice official in the visitors’ penalty box at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum are now on a first name basis. Beagle took three minor penalties last night, all for obstruction type inforations (two trips and a hook).
-- The Caps certainly did not play their best game of the season last night. It wasn’t even their best game this week. But it might not have been as bad defensively as allowing four goals might look. The Islanders managed only 20 even strength shots on goal in 65 minutes of play. If not for the leaky penalty kill, the Caps might have had control of this game much sooner.
-- If you are wondering, yes, that was a career best night for Keith Aucoin. Three assists marks his first three-point game in the NHL. And with seven points in 15 games, it is not out of bounds to think he could set a career best in points for a season (currently 13 in 38 games with Carolina in 2007-2008).
-- Should it have been surprising that the Islanders lost the way they did? Perhaps not. They were 15-1-7 (emphasize the “seven”) when leading at the second intermission of games this season. Now, 15-1-8, dead last in the league in winning percentage of such games.
-- There was that whole third-period horror show, too. The Islanders came into the game having allowed 74 goals in the third period of games and carrying a minus-15 (goals for/goals against). Now, 76 goals and minus-17.
In the end, the Caps won a game they probably should not have won, and they managed to keep the heat on Florida, a 5-2 winner over Toronto last night. A good thing, too, because the suddenly resurgent Buffalo Sabres (6-2-0 in their last eight games) are only four points behind the Caps for eighth place in the East and host Colorado tonight. There is no relief from here on out. Spring is in the air, and you can smell a “playoff” scent.
But for the Washington Capitals there was that last minute of the second period. Down 4-1, outshot 21-13, having already allowed two goals on four New York Islander power plays, the Caps made a play. Jeff Schultz took a hit to slide the puck to Dennis Wideman. Then, Wideman chipped it off the boards to Alex Ovechkin. From there, a cross-ice pass to Marcus Johansson. As he crossed the Islander blue line Johansson found Brooks Laich cutting to the middle. Laich snapped a shot on Islanders goalie Evgeni Nabokov, and Nabokov made the save. But he left a juicy rebound in doing so, right onto the stick of Ovechkin who was cutting to the net on the left side. Ovechin swept the puck into the net, and the Caps were within two with 53 seconds left in the period. A play on which all five skaters touched the puck for the Caps, it was a harbinger of things to come in the last 20 minutes.
111 seconds into the third period, Dmitry Orlov went all Josh Bailey on the Islanders. You might recall in the last meeting of these teams, Bailey scored for the Islanders when he stormed down the slot, and the Caps’ defense parted in a scene reminiscent of Charlton Heston parting the Red Sea in the movie, The Ten Commandments. This time it was Orlov steaming down the slot, taking a pass from Marcus Johansson, and with three Islander defenders forming a nice triangle around Orlov, the Caps’ defenseman had a clean, clear look at where he wanted to put the puck. Where he put it was behind goalie Evgeni Nabokov to cut the Islander lead to one.
Then it was Ovechkin one more time. Joel Ward dribbled the puck across the Islander line and pushed it to Keith Aucoin in the middle. Aucoin forwarded the puck to Ovechkin skating down the left side. Ovechkin took a shot…repelled by Nabokov. Another…repelled again. The third time was the charm, Ovechkin chipping the puck over Nabokov’s shoulder to tie the game.
After a scoreless overtime, it was time for the trick shot competition, and in this a player like Matt Hendricks has found his niche. Hendricks has only four goals in the hockey portion of games this season, but last night he Charlie Brown’ed Nabokov, articles of goalie equipment scattered throughout the crease, and backhanded the puck past a prone Nabokov for the game-winning score and the extra standings point. It was Hendricks’ second goal in the Gimmick this season, both of them being game-deciding scores.
Other stuff…
-- In case you have not been paying attention, Dmitry Orlov is now third among rookie defensemen in scoring. His 17 points trails only Carolina’s Justin Faulk (19) and Toronto’s Jake Gardiner (21). Orlov has played the fewest games of this trio (51, compared to 54 for Faulk and 63 for Gardiner).
-- Ovechkin is getting better at one part of his game. Recall the indifferent effort in a shot block attempt that led to the only goal in a 1-0 loss to Philadelphia recently. Last night…two blocked shots.
-- A difficult night for John Carlson…on ice for three goals against.
-- The Caps went 64 games without being held without a power play opportunity. It has now happened twice in the last six games.
-- At the other end, this was the second time in four games that the Caps allowed two power play goals (the other coming in the 3-2 overtime win over Tampa Bay last Thursday). In March the penalty killers are only 11-for-16 (68.8 percent).
-- In the battle for territory, the Caps had only nine faceoffs (again) in the Islanders’ zone last night, winning only three of them. Brooks Laich took ten by himself in the Washington end (of a total of 26).
-- Jay Beagle and the off-ice official in the visitors’ penalty box at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum are now on a first name basis. Beagle took three minor penalties last night, all for obstruction type inforations (two trips and a hook).
-- The Caps certainly did not play their best game of the season last night. It wasn’t even their best game this week. But it might not have been as bad defensively as allowing four goals might look. The Islanders managed only 20 even strength shots on goal in 65 minutes of play. If not for the leaky penalty kill, the Caps might have had control of this game much sooner.
-- If you are wondering, yes, that was a career best night for Keith Aucoin. Three assists marks his first three-point game in the NHL. And with seven points in 15 games, it is not out of bounds to think he could set a career best in points for a season (currently 13 in 38 games with Carolina in 2007-2008).
-- Should it have been surprising that the Islanders lost the way they did? Perhaps not. They were 15-1-7 (emphasize the “seven”) when leading at the second intermission of games this season. Now, 15-1-8, dead last in the league in winning percentage of such games.
-- There was that whole third-period horror show, too. The Islanders came into the game having allowed 74 goals in the third period of games and carrying a minus-15 (goals for/goals against). Now, 76 goals and minus-17.
In the end, the Caps won a game they probably should not have won, and they managed to keep the heat on Florida, a 5-2 winner over Toronto last night. A good thing, too, because the suddenly resurgent Buffalo Sabres (6-2-0 in their last eight games) are only four points behind the Caps for eighth place in the East and host Colorado tonight. There is no relief from here on out. Spring is in the air, and you can smell a “playoff” scent.
Tuesday, March 13, 2012
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR -- Game 70: Capitals at Islanders, March 13th
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
On the road again…just can’t wait to get on the road again. Well, given the Washington Capitals’ road record that might be a bit of a stretch, but the road is where the Caps find themselves. They start a five-game road trip with a journey to Long island to take on the New York Islanders. It brings to mind the first recorded road trip by automobile. Bertha Benz (wife of Karl Benz, developer of the first patented automobile) – we are not making this up, and we are assuming Wikipedia isn’t either, but hey, you never know – is credited with the first road trip by car. Mannheim to Pforzheim…66 miles in a car that did a maximum of 10 miles an hour. One can feel the wind blowing through one’s hair at the thought.
The Capitals will be hoping to keep up a more energetic pace against the Islanders than that of the car Ms. Benz took on here trailblazing trip, taking a three-game winning streak into their game against the Isles. The team the Caps will be facing was sitting at .500 (25-25-8) on February 18th and was six points out of a playoff spot. It was the last time the Islanders saw the .500 mark. Since then they are 3-6-2 in 11 games and have lost their last three (0-2-1).
Has it been a lack of offense? The Islanders have scored only 21 goals in those 11 games (1.91 per game). A lack of defense? New York has allowed 38 goals in the 11 games (3.45 per game). A power play with no power? They’ve had a 3-for-32 mark on the power play (9.4 percent). An ineffective penalty kill? An almost unbelievable 25-for-38 on the penalty kill (65.8 percent). It is almost amazing that the Islanders have won three games in those last 11 contests.
Perhaps no game, though, was as difficult a loss to take for the Islanders as the 3-2 overtime loss to the Caps on February 28th in Washington, when the Islanders took 2-0 lead into the last five minutes of regulation. But Troy Brouwer scored with 3:29 left in the contest, and Brouwer did it again with 26 seconds left to send the game to overtime. In the extra session Alex Ovechkin made the Caps’ comeback complete with a goal at 1:35 of overtime. It was a game that briefly pushed the Caps into eighth place in the Eastern Conference (they would drop back to ninth in the conference on March 1st). Here is how the teams compare to one another:
1. Twelve of the 21 goals scored by the Islanders over the last 11 games have been scored by three players – John Tavares, Matt Moulson, and Josh Bailey have four apiece. PA Parenteau (three) and Kyle Okposo (two), have another five between them. That leaves only four goals in 11 games over the rest of the Islander roster. The Islanders might be getting primary scoring, even a bit of secondary scoring, but tertiary? quaternary, quinary, senary, septenary, octonary? No…nary.
2. The Islanders are the sort of team that sticks around, but has trouble with that 60 minute thing. They are a minus-7 (goals for/goals against) in the first period, minus-12 in the second period, and minus-15 in the third.
3. That the Islanders would be so weak in the third period might be something of a surprise in that only three teams in the league have been shorthanded fewer times in the third period than the Isles.
4. Only one team (Anaheim) has been shorthanded more often in overtime than the Islanders. Of the five times New York has been shorthanded in overtime, they allowed the game-winning goal three times. It has not worked the other way. The Islanders have had two overtime power plays this season but did not score on either of them.
5. Five goaltenders have recorded wins for the Islanders this season. Five goaltenders have recorded losses, too. Of that group, the only goalie with a save percentage under .900 is the one signed through the 2020-2021 season (Rick DiPietro, .876).
1. Only two teams in the league have spent less time on the power play this season than the Capitals (4:58 per game). Small wonder…only five teams have had fewer power play opportunities than the Caps (3.1 per game).
2. The Caps are 19-7-1 when they score at least one power play goal this season, 16-21-5 when they don’t. They had power play goals in six of their first seven games on their way to a 7-0-0 start (8-for-27, 29.6 percent). They have had power play goals in only 21 of 62 games since (27-for-186, 14.5 percent).
3. The Caps have mastered thievery at home; they are fourth in the league in takeaways on home ice. But on the road? Dead last. The team they are facing leads the league in home takeaways.
4. Jeff Halpern is third in the league in faceoff winning percentage (58.3 percent). He is 82nd among 86 skaters eligible for league leadership in total draws taken.
5. Alex Ovechkin is sixth in the league in power play goals this season (11; no other Cap has more than five). The flip side of that is that Ovechkni ranks only in a tie for 43rd in even strength goals (16). In case you are wondering, he has not had a shorthanded goal since January 3, 2009, when he burned the Rangers’ Steve Valiquette for the game-winner in a 2-1 Caps win.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
New York: Matt Moulson
There are currently 13 30-goal scorers in the NHL. Steven Stamkos, Evgeni Malkin, Ilya Kovalchuk among them. Names any hockey fan would recognize. Matt Moulson, should he score one tonight, would join that group. He might be the most unknown of them. And it is not as if he hasn’t been in that group before. Moulson finished with 30 goals in his first full season in the NHL, in 2009-2010, then had 31 last season. He projects to a career-best 34 this season. He is a “slow and steady wins the race” sort of goal scorer, having only two multi-goal games this season (although one of them was a four-goal outburst against Dallas on December 3rd). Against the Caps he has only three goals in 11 career games, one of them coming in the teams’ last meeting on February 28th, a 3-2 Caps overtime win.
Washington: Jason Chimera
None in eight, one in 16, two in 28, three in 36. Since Jason Chimera had two goals in a 4-3 Gimmick loss to New Jersey on December 23rd, that is his goal-scoring track. On that pace he will score one more goal in the Caps’ last 13 games this season and finish with 17, higher than his 14.3 goals per 82 games to date in his career, but a far cry from the pace of 32 goals he was on after he potted that pair against the Devils in December. Getting the likes of Ovechkin going more frequently at even strength is on the Caps’ to-do list as they chase a playoff spot. But getting the occasional secondary goal from guys like Chimera (and Joel Ward, Matt Hendricks, etc.) will be an important ingredient, too.
Keys:
1. Score first. The Caps do not have an especially good record when scoring first (23-6-4, good for 12th in winning percentage in the league), but there is a reason the Islanders are where they are in the standings. In a league where scoring first is essential for winning, the Isles are tied with Edmonton for 25th in wins when allowing the first goal and are 26th in winning percentage.
2. Line Matching? Try “Attitude Matching.” The Islanders have been no push over for the Caps. The Caps are 1-2-0 this season against the New Yorkers, their lone win coming in a rush at the end of regulation and an overtime goal the last time these teams met. The Islanders are a pesky sort of team, at least in how they have played the Caps. If the Caps don’t put on their man pants, they could end up being undressed by the Islanders, a team playing now only for pride and to be a spoiler for teams such as the Caps.
3. Hold on tight. The Caps have had a tendency to give up leads lately. They scored first on Carolina, held a two-goal lead at one point and lost in overtime. They scored first against Tampa Bay and lost the lead before scoring late in regulation and winning in overtime. They got out to a 2-0 lead against Boston and coughed it up before winning, 4-3. This is not a recipe for consistent success, despite the recent outcomes. Get a lead, and hold on tight…or at least tighter.
In the end, this is a dangerous game for the Caps. After this they go to Winnipeg, where the Jets don’t lose often and are still lurking, only four points behind the Caps. Then the Caps go to Chicago and Detroit in a back-to-back set of games. Ths game has “looking ahead” written all over it. We will see how well the Caps can do to make it a “one game at a time” game.
Capitals 3 – Islanders 2
On the road again…just can’t wait to get on the road again. Well, given the Washington Capitals’ road record that might be a bit of a stretch, but the road is where the Caps find themselves. They start a five-game road trip with a journey to Long island to take on the New York Islanders. It brings to mind the first recorded road trip by automobile. Bertha Benz (wife of Karl Benz, developer of the first patented automobile) – we are not making this up, and we are assuming Wikipedia isn’t either, but hey, you never know – is credited with the first road trip by car. Mannheim to Pforzheim…66 miles in a car that did a maximum of 10 miles an hour. One can feel the wind blowing through one’s hair at the thought.
The Capitals will be hoping to keep up a more energetic pace against the Islanders than that of the car Ms. Benz took on here trailblazing trip, taking a three-game winning streak into their game against the Isles. The team the Caps will be facing was sitting at .500 (25-25-8) on February 18th and was six points out of a playoff spot. It was the last time the Islanders saw the .500 mark. Since then they are 3-6-2 in 11 games and have lost their last three (0-2-1).
Has it been a lack of offense? The Islanders have scored only 21 goals in those 11 games (1.91 per game). A lack of defense? New York has allowed 38 goals in the 11 games (3.45 per game). A power play with no power? They’ve had a 3-for-32 mark on the power play (9.4 percent). An ineffective penalty kill? An almost unbelievable 25-for-38 on the penalty kill (65.8 percent). It is almost amazing that the Islanders have won three games in those last 11 contests.
Perhaps no game, though, was as difficult a loss to take for the Islanders as the 3-2 overtime loss to the Caps on February 28th in Washington, when the Islanders took 2-0 lead into the last five minutes of regulation. But Troy Brouwer scored with 3:29 left in the contest, and Brouwer did it again with 26 seconds left to send the game to overtime. In the extra session Alex Ovechkin made the Caps’ comeback complete with a goal at 1:35 of overtime. It was a game that briefly pushed the Caps into eighth place in the Eastern Conference (they would drop back to ninth in the conference on March 1st). Here is how the teams compare to one another:
(click pic for larger image)
2. The Islanders are the sort of team that sticks around, but has trouble with that 60 minute thing. They are a minus-7 (goals for/goals against) in the first period, minus-12 in the second period, and minus-15 in the third.
3. That the Islanders would be so weak in the third period might be something of a surprise in that only three teams in the league have been shorthanded fewer times in the third period than the Isles.
4. Only one team (Anaheim) has been shorthanded more often in overtime than the Islanders. Of the five times New York has been shorthanded in overtime, they allowed the game-winning goal three times. It has not worked the other way. The Islanders have had two overtime power plays this season but did not score on either of them.
5. Five goaltenders have recorded wins for the Islanders this season. Five goaltenders have recorded losses, too. Of that group, the only goalie with a save percentage under .900 is the one signed through the 2020-2021 season (Rick DiPietro, .876).
1. Only two teams in the league have spent less time on the power play this season than the Capitals (4:58 per game). Small wonder…only five teams have had fewer power play opportunities than the Caps (3.1 per game).
2. The Caps are 19-7-1 when they score at least one power play goal this season, 16-21-5 when they don’t. They had power play goals in six of their first seven games on their way to a 7-0-0 start (8-for-27, 29.6 percent). They have had power play goals in only 21 of 62 games since (27-for-186, 14.5 percent).
3. The Caps have mastered thievery at home; they are fourth in the league in takeaways on home ice. But on the road? Dead last. The team they are facing leads the league in home takeaways.
4. Jeff Halpern is third in the league in faceoff winning percentage (58.3 percent). He is 82nd among 86 skaters eligible for league leadership in total draws taken.
5. Alex Ovechkin is sixth in the league in power play goals this season (11; no other Cap has more than five). The flip side of that is that Ovechkni ranks only in a tie for 43rd in even strength goals (16). In case you are wondering, he has not had a shorthanded goal since January 3, 2009, when he burned the Rangers’ Steve Valiquette for the game-winner in a 2-1 Caps win.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
New York: Matt Moulson
There are currently 13 30-goal scorers in the NHL. Steven Stamkos, Evgeni Malkin, Ilya Kovalchuk among them. Names any hockey fan would recognize. Matt Moulson, should he score one tonight, would join that group. He might be the most unknown of them. And it is not as if he hasn’t been in that group before. Moulson finished with 30 goals in his first full season in the NHL, in 2009-2010, then had 31 last season. He projects to a career-best 34 this season. He is a “slow and steady wins the race” sort of goal scorer, having only two multi-goal games this season (although one of them was a four-goal outburst against Dallas on December 3rd). Against the Caps he has only three goals in 11 career games, one of them coming in the teams’ last meeting on February 28th, a 3-2 Caps overtime win.
Washington: Jason Chimera
None in eight, one in 16, two in 28, three in 36. Since Jason Chimera had two goals in a 4-3 Gimmick loss to New Jersey on December 23rd, that is his goal-scoring track. On that pace he will score one more goal in the Caps’ last 13 games this season and finish with 17, higher than his 14.3 goals per 82 games to date in his career, but a far cry from the pace of 32 goals he was on after he potted that pair against the Devils in December. Getting the likes of Ovechkin going more frequently at even strength is on the Caps’ to-do list as they chase a playoff spot. But getting the occasional secondary goal from guys like Chimera (and Joel Ward, Matt Hendricks, etc.) will be an important ingredient, too.
Keys:
1. Score first. The Caps do not have an especially good record when scoring first (23-6-4, good for 12th in winning percentage in the league), but there is a reason the Islanders are where they are in the standings. In a league where scoring first is essential for winning, the Isles are tied with Edmonton for 25th in wins when allowing the first goal and are 26th in winning percentage.
2. Line Matching? Try “Attitude Matching.” The Islanders have been no push over for the Caps. The Caps are 1-2-0 this season against the New Yorkers, their lone win coming in a rush at the end of regulation and an overtime goal the last time these teams met. The Islanders are a pesky sort of team, at least in how they have played the Caps. If the Caps don’t put on their man pants, they could end up being undressed by the Islanders, a team playing now only for pride and to be a spoiler for teams such as the Caps.
3. Hold on tight. The Caps have had a tendency to give up leads lately. They scored first on Carolina, held a two-goal lead at one point and lost in overtime. They scored first against Tampa Bay and lost the lead before scoring late in regulation and winning in overtime. They got out to a 2-0 lead against Boston and coughed it up before winning, 4-3. This is not a recipe for consistent success, despite the recent outcomes. Get a lead, and hold on tight…or at least tighter.
In the end, this is a dangerous game for the Caps. After this they go to Winnipeg, where the Jets don’t lose often and are still lurking, only four points behind the Caps. Then the Caps go to Chicago and Detroit in a back-to-back set of games. Ths game has “looking ahead” written all over it. We will see how well the Caps can do to make it a “one game at a time” game.
Capitals 3 – Islanders 2
Sunday, March 11, 2012
Think there is pressure in playing hockey in Toronto?
This was the banner at the Toronto Sun web site after the Maple Leafs lost to Washington:
And this was the Toronto Star...
At least the Globe and Mail saved it for the sports page.
And this was the Toronto Star...
At least the Globe and Mail saved it for the sports page.
A TWO-point night: -- Game 69: Capitals 2 - Maple Leafs 0
Another day, another win. The Washington Capitals made it three in a row tonight with a 2-0 win over the slumping Toronto Maple Leafs. It is the Caps’ second three-game winning streak in the last 17 days and makes it a fine send-off for their five-game road trip that starts Tuesday on Long Island.
In this one, the Caps got all they needed on a neutral zone blunder. Jake Gardiner was skating through the neutral zone midway through the first period, but not with much momentum. Gardiner tried to drop the puck to Phil Kessel who was circling behind him to gain speed. Brooks Laich read the intent of Gardiner and jumped between Gardiner and Kessel just as Gardiner was leaving the puck for Kessel. Laich interrupted the pass, and when the puck slid to the boards Laich was the only player in position to pick it up. He did, and he had a break on goalie Jonas Gustavsson. Before Kessel could close the distance, Laich fired the puck short-side over Gustavsson’s pad, and the Caps had the lead they would not relinquish.
The Caps got some insurance in the first minute of the third period. Dennis Wideman sent a long pass up to Alexander Semin along the boards at the Toronto blue line. Semin carried the puck into the zone and froze Mikhail Grabovski with a hard stop. When Grabovski tried to move up on Semin, the Caps winger spun around him as if Grabovski was a skating pylon. Semin stepped up and tried to curl and drag the puck past John-Michael Liles, but the puck squirted loose and to Gustavsson’s left. Only Mathieu Perreault was in the vicinity, and Perreault wasted no time burying the puck past the Leafs’ goaltender for the second and final goal of the evening.
After that, it was the Michal Neuvirth show, or more precisely, the “let’s do whatever we need to do to get Neuvirth a shutout” show. The Caps did, and Neuvirth finished the evening turning away all 23 shots for his third shutout of the year.
Other stuff…
-- Brooks Laich apparently saw the Toronto tendency for that neutral zone drop pass when he was home watching the Leafs and Flyers last night. In light of the way Laich was able to apply that lesson to game experience, one wonders how long it will take – given what has been written about Alex Ovechkin lately – for the captain to do more of that (whether he does already or not).
-- With the shutout Neuvirth is 5-4-2, 2.27, .921 with two shutouts in 14 appearances in the 2012 portion of the season. He is quietly rehabilitating his season after a slow start. And he did what he had to do to preserve his own shutout with a fine left pad save on a redirect from Matt Frattin in the third period.
-- Rule 53.2 states:
Now…was that broken stick in the third period laying in the neutral zone accidentally slid into Alex Ovechkin’s path as he was skating through?
-- Jay Beagle did not have a point, but he did have two shots, two hits, two blocked shots, and he won five of six draws in just under 16 high-energy minutes. Finally, Caps fans might be seeing the contributions Beagle can offer that might not have been in his power to give for a while after he was concussed by Arron Asham in a fight in a game against Pittsburgh in the first week of the season.
-- How many times do you think Matt Hendricks led the Caps in shot attempts this season? At least once. He had six attempts tonight to lead the Caps (four on goal, which also led the team).
-- David Steckel played 16 shifts and took 10 faceoffs (winning eight) for Toronto. This is the definition of a “one-trick pony.”
-- Are the Caps willing to pay a price? Well, tonight they did in this respect. It was a game in which the Caps recorded 21 blocked shots. Often this season, that would have been the product of perhaps 65 or more shot attempts. Tonight, they recorded that many on 52 shots attempts – 40.4 percent of the shot attempts taken by Toronto.
-- The Caps allowed the Leafs only two power plays, shutting them out on both (while scoring one goal of their own). That makes 11 straight games in which the Caps have allowed fewer than five power play opportunities to the opponent. They are 24-for-30 on the penalty kill in those games. If the Caps aren’t going to be especially efficient (80.0 percent), and if they are not going to score power plays of their own (2-for-27 on the power play in those same 11 games – 7.4 percent), then they had better minimize opponents’ chances. They have done a pretty good job of that.
-- One of the things that might have made Michal Neuvirth’s job easier, in addition to his teammates blocking such a high percentage of shot attempts in front of him, was the fact that there were only nine faceoffs in the Washington end of the ice all night.
-- Dale Hunter might lean heavily on his top three lines, but not to the point where he abuses any of those lines’ ice time, at least not in this game. Looking at the lines as they started the game, the fourth line of Mike Knuble, Keith Aucoin, and Joel Ward skated a total of 34:03 at even strength. But the other three lines had a spread of only 4:42 between the line with the most total time and the one with the least. A little more than a shift per player. That meant that an Alex Ovechkin had only 16:02 in even strength ice time and only 17:44 for the game. Keeping fresh down the stretch will help everyone.
-- The win over Toronto came in the Caps’ 10th back-to-back set of the season. They have now swept back-to-backs three times, including their last two.
In the end, last week ended well, with two wins, and this one started well with a getaway win. And, the Caps have taken advantage of their games in hand with Winnipeg to pull out to a four-point lead over the ninth-place Jets. The wins haven’t been pretty, but at this time of year if you want pretty, take a walk around the Tidal Basin and take in the cherry blossoms. Now, it’s just about the wins.
In this one, the Caps got all they needed on a neutral zone blunder. Jake Gardiner was skating through the neutral zone midway through the first period, but not with much momentum. Gardiner tried to drop the puck to Phil Kessel who was circling behind him to gain speed. Brooks Laich read the intent of Gardiner and jumped between Gardiner and Kessel just as Gardiner was leaving the puck for Kessel. Laich interrupted the pass, and when the puck slid to the boards Laich was the only player in position to pick it up. He did, and he had a break on goalie Jonas Gustavsson. Before Kessel could close the distance, Laich fired the puck short-side over Gustavsson’s pad, and the Caps had the lead they would not relinquish.
The Caps got some insurance in the first minute of the third period. Dennis Wideman sent a long pass up to Alexander Semin along the boards at the Toronto blue line. Semin carried the puck into the zone and froze Mikhail Grabovski with a hard stop. When Grabovski tried to move up on Semin, the Caps winger spun around him as if Grabovski was a skating pylon. Semin stepped up and tried to curl and drag the puck past John-Michael Liles, but the puck squirted loose and to Gustavsson’s left. Only Mathieu Perreault was in the vicinity, and Perreault wasted no time burying the puck past the Leafs’ goaltender for the second and final goal of the evening.
After that, it was the Michal Neuvirth show, or more precisely, the “let’s do whatever we need to do to get Neuvirth a shutout” show. The Caps did, and Neuvirth finished the evening turning away all 23 shots for his third shutout of the year.
Other stuff…
-- Brooks Laich apparently saw the Toronto tendency for that neutral zone drop pass when he was home watching the Leafs and Flyers last night. In light of the way Laich was able to apply that lesson to game experience, one wonders how long it will take – given what has been written about Alex Ovechkin lately – for the captain to do more of that (whether he does already or not).
-- With the shutout Neuvirth is 5-4-2, 2.27, .921 with two shutouts in 14 appearances in the 2012 portion of the season. He is quietly rehabilitating his season after a slow start. And he did what he had to do to preserve his own shutout with a fine left pad save on a redirect from Matt Frattin in the third period.
-- Rule 53.2 states:
“Minor Penalty - A minor penalty shall be imposed on any player on the ice who throws his stick or any part thereof or any other object in the direction of the puck or an opponent in any zone, except when such act has been penalized by the assessment of a penalty shot or the awarding of a goal.
“When a defending player shoots or throws a stick or any other object at the puck or the puck carrier in the defending zone but does not interfere in any manner with the puck or puck carrier, a minor penalty shall be assessed.
“When the player discards the broken portion of a stick or some other object by tossing it or shooting it to the side of the ice (and not over the boards) in such a way as will not interfere with play or opposing player, no penalty will be imposed for so doing…”
Now…was that broken stick in the third period laying in the neutral zone accidentally slid into Alex Ovechkin’s path as he was skating through?
-- Jay Beagle did not have a point, but he did have two shots, two hits, two blocked shots, and he won five of six draws in just under 16 high-energy minutes. Finally, Caps fans might be seeing the contributions Beagle can offer that might not have been in his power to give for a while after he was concussed by Arron Asham in a fight in a game against Pittsburgh in the first week of the season.
-- How many times do you think Matt Hendricks led the Caps in shot attempts this season? At least once. He had six attempts tonight to lead the Caps (four on goal, which also led the team).
-- David Steckel played 16 shifts and took 10 faceoffs (winning eight) for Toronto. This is the definition of a “one-trick pony.”
-- Are the Caps willing to pay a price? Well, tonight they did in this respect. It was a game in which the Caps recorded 21 blocked shots. Often this season, that would have been the product of perhaps 65 or more shot attempts. Tonight, they recorded that many on 52 shots attempts – 40.4 percent of the shot attempts taken by Toronto.
-- The Caps allowed the Leafs only two power plays, shutting them out on both (while scoring one goal of their own). That makes 11 straight games in which the Caps have allowed fewer than five power play opportunities to the opponent. They are 24-for-30 on the penalty kill in those games. If the Caps aren’t going to be especially efficient (80.0 percent), and if they are not going to score power plays of their own (2-for-27 on the power play in those same 11 games – 7.4 percent), then they had better minimize opponents’ chances. They have done a pretty good job of that.
-- One of the things that might have made Michal Neuvirth’s job easier, in addition to his teammates blocking such a high percentage of shot attempts in front of him, was the fact that there were only nine faceoffs in the Washington end of the ice all night.
-- Dale Hunter might lean heavily on his top three lines, but not to the point where he abuses any of those lines’ ice time, at least not in this game. Looking at the lines as they started the game, the fourth line of Mike Knuble, Keith Aucoin, and Joel Ward skated a total of 34:03 at even strength. But the other three lines had a spread of only 4:42 between the line with the most total time and the one with the least. A little more than a shift per player. That meant that an Alex Ovechkin had only 16:02 in even strength ice time and only 17:44 for the game. Keeping fresh down the stretch will help everyone.
-- The win over Toronto came in the Caps’ 10th back-to-back set of the season. They have now swept back-to-backs three times, including their last two.
In the end, last week ended well, with two wins, and this one started well with a getaway win. And, the Caps have taken advantage of their games in hand with Winnipeg to pull out to a four-point lead over the ninth-place Jets. The wins haven’t been pretty, but at this time of year if you want pretty, take a walk around the Tidal Basin and take in the cherry blossoms. Now, it’s just about the wins.
That Was The Week That Was -- Week 22 (March 4-10)
Week 22…something we haven’t seen in a while, a winning week. But it could have been a lot more.
Record: 2-1-1
It was the first winning week since Week 16, but if you consider that the Caps had three of the four games on home ice and won their only road game, there is a sense of unfulfillment with the week’s record. The Caps left three points on the table in losing two games (one in overtime). Those points would have put the Caps in front of the Florida Panthers and in first place in the Southeast Division. The week did end on a high note, though, with the Caps taking two points out of TD Garden in Boston in a 4-3 win. And for a team with as poor a record on the road as the Caps, getting what was their second straight road win (they won in Toronto on February 25th) was a good sign, especially since the Caps had not won consecutive road games since games at Ottawa and Winnipeg on December 7th and 15th (they had two home games between those contests).
Offense: 2.50/game (season: 2.66/rank: T-13th)
The good news is that the Caps spread things around on offense. Eight different players had goals, and 14 different skaters had points. The bad news was that no Cap had more than two goals for the week (Jay Beagle and Brooks Laich), and the leading overall points producer was rookie defenseman Dmitry Orlov (four assists). The hard part was the lack of production from the big three guns still in the lineup in the home portion of the week. Alex Ovechkin did have a goal (the overtime winner in a 3-2 decision over Tampa Bay), the only one among the trio of Ovechkin, Alexander Semin, and Mike Green to have one (Semin and Green had no points on the five-game homestand). Semin did have a fine game against Boston to close the week, but Green sat that one out, having been suspended for three games for his hit on Brett Connolly in the Caps’ win over Tampa Bay.
Defense: 2.50/game (season: 2.79/rank: 21st)
It would have been a pretty good week but for the game against Carolina on Tuesday. In that one, the Caps went out to a 2-0 lead, then let it get away when the Hurricanes scored three goals in less than 17 minutes to take a 3-2 lead in a game the Caps would lose, 4-3 in overtime. It would be hard to quarrel much with the Caps’ week outside of that game. They held the Philadelphia Flyers – a team that led the league in scoring when they faced the Caps – to a single goal. And even against Boston – a team that was second in the league in scoring heading into Saturday’s game – three goals on Boston ice was not an indicator of poor defense. If there was a problem it was in not being able to hold early leads. In each of the three games in which the Caps scored they scored first (twice having 2-0 leads) and lost the lead in each of those games.
Goaltending: 2.43/.915
Tomas Vokoun won both games this week in which he appeared. Michal Neuvirth lost in both of his appearances. Other than that, their weeks were almost identical, Vokoun stopping 54 of 59 shots in 124 minutes of play and Neuvirth stopping 54 of 59 shots in 123 minutes of play. If there was a bright spot in the week for the goaltenders, it was that in four games they stopped 45 of 46 first period shots (.978 save percentage), at least giving their teammates a chance to get off on the right foot at the other end. The second period was another matter – 26 saves on 32 shots on goal (.813).
Power Play: 1-for-6/16.7 percent (season: 16.5 percent/rank: 18th)
Until the Caps scored on their last power play of the week, they had been 0-for-18 over their previous seven-plus games. During this past week they finished 1-for-6 in four games, but there were two general problems with that performance. First, not a problem of a power play, per se, but still a lingering problem is the inability to draw penalties in the first place. Eighteen power play opportunities over seven games – 2.6 per game. Even if the Caps had the best power play in the league (that belonging to Edmonton at 21.8 percent), it would have meant a total of three more goals over those 18 games. In this week, it does not rise to the level of providing the Caps with as much as a single additional goal.
The second issue this week was shots and who was getting them. Dennis Wideman…four. Alex Ovechkin…three. Brooks Laich…three. Add in one apiece for Alexander Semin and Troy Brouwer, and the right people from those available were taking them (to a point…we’ll get to that). But the Caps need to have these people converting their chances, too. Only Laich among this group potted a goal among the 12 power play shots on goal for the week. Absent from the shot totals was Mike Green, who did skate 5:31 on three power plays in the middle two games of the week (the Caps had no power plays in the first game of the week, and Green was suspended for the last one). Getting Green going on the power play could only improve the Caps’ performance on the power play down the stretch. He still does not have a point in ten games since returning to the lineup.
Penalty Killing: 6-for-8/75.0 percent (season: 80.6 percent/rank:22nd)
The Caps did a lot right on the penalty kill this week. Eight shorthanded situations faced (two per game) did not put the Caps in too much jeopardy. They allowed only eight shots in 13:23 of power play time. And it was not as if the shots they allowed came from particularly dangerous players. No one from the Flyers registered a shot on goal on their lone power play against the Caps. Neither Eric Staal nor Jeff Skinner had one for the Hurricanes in their game against Washington. Justin Faulk, who is tied with Staal for the team lead in power play goals, had but one shot. Against Tampa Bay, neither Steven Stamkos (ten power play goals on the season) nor Martin St. Louis (four) had one. And against Boston, neither Zdeno Chara (seven power play goals) nor Milan Lucic (seven) had a shot on goal.
But the Caps let shots from Ryan Malone and Teddy Purcell leak through – a tap-in by Malone and a redirect off a Caps skate on a shot from Purcell. A fine line between a perfect week and one that wasn’t.
Paying the Price: 101 hits/55 blocked shots (season rank: 11th/7th)
Games against the Flyers and two against divisional opponents – as close as we get these days to rivalry games – and a total of 85 hits for the Caps in those three contests. It probably would surprise no one that Alex Ovechkin had 15 hits in four games for the week, or even that Matt Hendricks had 14. But with 13, there was Dmitry Orlov, who is expressing more and more facets of his game as the games roll on.
Faceoffs: 106-for-230/46.1 percent (season: 50.1 percent/rank: 14th)
It was a bit of an odd week in the circle. The total numbers – 46.1 percent – do not look all that good. However, the Caps did manage a 50.0 percent mark in the offensive end (33-for-66) and one better than 50 percent (44-for-87; 50.6 percent) in the defensive end. Perhaps stranger was that the best performances came from the bottom half of the lines, at least in the offensive end. Brooks Laich and Mathieu Perreault were a combined 14-for-37 (37.8 percent), while Marcus Johansson (who played a lot of wing this week) and Jay Beagle were a combined 14-for-20 (70.0 percent). In the defensive end, performance was generally good among those players who took high volumes of draws. Laich, Perreault, and Johansson all finished above 50 percent and a combined 35-for-58 (60.3 percent).
Turnovers: plus-15
There is a logic in this result if you look at the Caps’ place in the standings. The threat of missing the playoffs (their being outside the top-eight for most of the week) begets a certain urgency. A more urgent team applies more pressure to their opponents. The stronger pressure leads to more takeaways. And that was the number that stands out this week – 46 takeaways in four games. And that includes only two takeaways in Boston, where the official scorer recorded a total of only eight turnovers for the two teams combined.
And it was guys one would normally call “grinders” who led the way. Troy Brouwer was credited with six takeaways, Jason Chimera and Brooks Laich four apiece. It was the sort of performance the Caps are going to have to have the rest of the way – aggressive on the puck on defense, stingy when they have it.
Impressions:
A 2-1-1 week is, at first glance, an improvement. As we noted, it is the first winning week since Week 16. But going 1-1-1 at home is a record one wants the Caps to have on the road, not what they need – or should accept – at home. And even the win was hard-earned with a late goal in regulation to tie and an overtime goal to win against Tampa Bay.
The home record for the week could have left a bitter taste in the Caps’ mouths with their heading off on the road to face a tough team in Boston. The Caps came out strong in that one and held fast when the Bruins made a push late. It was a preview of things to come if this team should make the playoffs, and they will have to demonstrate that they can go out strong and hold fast when they are on the road. They will get ample opportunity to demonstrate their ability to do that this coming week with the start of a five-game road trip after they host Toronto tonight.
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!! -- Game 69: Maple Leafs at Capitals, March 11th
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
The Washington Capitals look to make it three wins in a row when they come back home on Sunday to face the Toronto Maple Leafs in the last meeting of the clubs of the season. After losing the first meeting of the season, 7-1, in Toronto the Caps have taken the last two meetings – 4-2 at Verizon Center on December 9th and by the same 4-2 score in Toronto on February 25th.
Toronto comes into this game hanging on by their fingernails – by a fingernail – to playoff contention. And that fingernail is cracked and falling off. It looked a lot better a month or so ago for the Leafs. After beating Edmonton for their third win in a row on February 6th, Toronto was 28-19-6, in second place in the Northeast Division and in sixth place in the East.
Since then, however, Toronto’s season has gone right into the dumper. Starting with a 2-1 loss at Winnipeg on February 7th, The Maple Leafs are 2-11-2, one win coming in overtime against the Oilers and the other against the hopeless Montreal Canadiens. They have not won a game at home since that February 6th game against Edmonton. The numbers in that run are not pretty:
Goals for: 2.20
Goals against: 3.60
Power Play: 8-for-48 (16.7 percent)
Penalty Kill: 28-for-33 (84.9 percent)
One-goal wins/losses: 1/8
Wins/Losses by 3+ Goals: 0/2
Part of the problem is that their schedule has been grueling. Of the 15 games that make up their 2-11-2 run, nine of their losses have come against playoff-eligible teams. Two others have come against teams currently in ninth place (Winnipeg and San Jose). But even with that the Leafs are this close. In their last nine games, six of their eight losses have come by one goal, including one in overtime and another in a Gimmick.
Having come up on the wrong side of all these decisions has left the Leafs in a dark place – six points behind the Caps for eighth place with 14 games to play. For the Leafs, their season almost boils down to this game, a game in which they have to take the ice a day after losing in a trick shot competition to the Flyers and losing an hour of sleep in the process with the change to Daylight Savings Time.
Leafs fans probably smell a conspiracy in the whole setting the clocks ahead thing.
Here is how the two teams compare in their numbers:
1. In one important respect Toronto’s goal scoring has been drying up. Phil Kessel, Joffrey Lupul, and Mikhail Grabovski are the top three goals scorers for the Maple Leafs. In their last 14 games, Kessel has four goals, Lupul has four, and Grabovsky has three. For all of them, that is a goal-scoring pace per 82 games that is less than the number of goals each has right now.
2. Second periods have killed the Leafs this season. They have allowed the highest number of second period goals (84) and scored 61 of their own. Their minus-23 goal differential in the middle period is the worst in the league. The Maple Leafs are a “plus” team in the first and third periods (plus-6 and plus-8, respectively).
3. Toronto has allowed more 5-on-5 goals this year than every team except Tampa Bay. Having the ninth best 5-on-5 goal total has not been enough to offset the problems at the defensive end.
4. No one seems to reflect more the Leafs’ woes than goalie Jonas Gustavsson. He has one win in his last nine decisions covering 11 appearances (1-5-3, 3.51, .886).
5. And it’s not as if James Reimer has been much better, if at all. Reimer has lost his last four decisions and six of his last seven. In addition to his 1-6-0 record, he has a GAA of 4.27 and a save percentage of .862. Given that Gustavsson played an lost in the 1-0 Gimmick loss to the Flyers on Saturday, Reimer would seem to be the choice for Sunday’s game against Washington.
1. In three games against the Leafs this season the Caps are 4-for-12 on the power play. Except, all four power play goals came in on six opportunities in a 4-2 win on December 9th.
2. In the season series, 13 different Caps have points, and seven different Caps share the nine goals they have. Dennis Wideman is the leading scorer for the Caps in the series (2-2-4).
3. Jason Chimera has taken a minor penalty in each of the three games against Toronto this season. Overall the Caps have almost as many different players having taken penalties (11) as they have point-getters (13).
4. In the first game of the season series the Caps allowed Toronto 16 shots on goal in the first period, the Maple Leafs scoring three goals on their way to a 7-1 win. Toronto managed only a total of 17 shots on goal in the first period of the next two games of the series, scoring on none of them, as the Caps took a pair of 4-2 decisions.
5. Alex Ovechkin has 21 shots on goal in the three games against Toronto but does not have a goal. He does lead the team with three assists.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Toronto: Nikolai Kulemin
Last year, Nikolai Kulemin set a career high of 30 goals scored, almost doubling his total from the previous season (16). This year, the goals have been much harder to come by. He has seven for the season and only two in his last 26 games. He has only one road goal in the 2012 portion of the season. At the moment his seven goals is his lowest total of any of his years in organized hockey dating back to 2003-2004 when he was a 17-year old skating for Metallurg Magnitogorsk-2 in Russia. He is 2-4-6 in 14 career games against Washington.
Washington: Dennis Wideman
Since appearing in the All Star Game in Ottawa, Dennis Wideman is 1-7-8, minus-5 in 20 games. He has picked things up of late, though, with assist in each of his last three games and four in his last six contests. He has had his moments against Toronto over the years. He is 7-13-20 in 26 career games against Toronto, including his team leading scoring line of 2-2-4 in three games this year. Six of his seven career goals against the Maple Leafs have come on the power play
Keys:
1. No Let Down. Winning two points in Boston was good, but giving them away against a struggling team at home would wipe out that good work. That means playing a first period a lot like the one they played against Boston, one that featured a more urgent pressure than they have exhibited in too many games this season.
2. Make Toronto work on defense. Toronto has not allowed a power play in any of its last five games. That might be a product of having faced only nine shorthanded situations in those five games. In fact, Toronto has faced more than three shorthanded situations only three times in their last 29 games. The Caps have struggled on their own in forcing teams to go shorthanded (only eight power plays in their last five games). Making Toronto work on the penalty kill with more frequency could be outside their comfort zone.
3. Big D. Only three teams have scored more goals on the road than the Maple Leafs. Even if they do have only 19 goals in their last eight road games (2.38/game), they are a team that has enough firepower to make the Caps’ evening difficult if provided too many openings.
In the end, this is one of those games that can pose problems. Guys come home after a trip, have to deal with what they have to do at home before they head back on the road. And there might be a bit of looking ahead to that five-game road trip since so much importance is being attached to it. But this is a chance to bury Toronto’s dim playoff chances once and for all, and if things break right, take over the Southeast Division lead with a win (if Florida loses in regulation time to Carolina on Sunday. What it boils down to is that the Caps are at a place on the calendar and the standings where focus should not be a problem.
The Washington Capitals look to make it three wins in a row when they come back home on Sunday to face the Toronto Maple Leafs in the last meeting of the clubs of the season. After losing the first meeting of the season, 7-1, in Toronto the Caps have taken the last two meetings – 4-2 at Verizon Center on December 9th and by the same 4-2 score in Toronto on February 25th.
Toronto comes into this game hanging on by their fingernails – by a fingernail – to playoff contention. And that fingernail is cracked and falling off. It looked a lot better a month or so ago for the Leafs. After beating Edmonton for their third win in a row on February 6th, Toronto was 28-19-6, in second place in the Northeast Division and in sixth place in the East.
Since then, however, Toronto’s season has gone right into the dumper. Starting with a 2-1 loss at Winnipeg on February 7th, The Maple Leafs are 2-11-2, one win coming in overtime against the Oilers and the other against the hopeless Montreal Canadiens. They have not won a game at home since that February 6th game against Edmonton. The numbers in that run are not pretty:
Goals for: 2.20
Goals against: 3.60
Power Play: 8-for-48 (16.7 percent)
Penalty Kill: 28-for-33 (84.9 percent)
One-goal wins/losses: 1/8
Wins/Losses by 3+ Goals: 0/2
Part of the problem is that their schedule has been grueling. Of the 15 games that make up their 2-11-2 run, nine of their losses have come against playoff-eligible teams. Two others have come against teams currently in ninth place (Winnipeg and San Jose). But even with that the Leafs are this close. In their last nine games, six of their eight losses have come by one goal, including one in overtime and another in a Gimmick.
Having come up on the wrong side of all these decisions has left the Leafs in a dark place – six points behind the Caps for eighth place with 14 games to play. For the Leafs, their season almost boils down to this game, a game in which they have to take the ice a day after losing in a trick shot competition to the Flyers and losing an hour of sleep in the process with the change to Daylight Savings Time.
Leafs fans probably smell a conspiracy in the whole setting the clocks ahead thing.
Here is how the two teams compare in their numbers:
(click pic for larger image)
1. In one important respect Toronto’s goal scoring has been drying up. Phil Kessel, Joffrey Lupul, and Mikhail Grabovski are the top three goals scorers for the Maple Leafs. In their last 14 games, Kessel has four goals, Lupul has four, and Grabovsky has three. For all of them, that is a goal-scoring pace per 82 games that is less than the number of goals each has right now.
2. Second periods have killed the Leafs this season. They have allowed the highest number of second period goals (84) and scored 61 of their own. Their minus-23 goal differential in the middle period is the worst in the league. The Maple Leafs are a “plus” team in the first and third periods (plus-6 and plus-8, respectively).
3. Toronto has allowed more 5-on-5 goals this year than every team except Tampa Bay. Having the ninth best 5-on-5 goal total has not been enough to offset the problems at the defensive end.
4. No one seems to reflect more the Leafs’ woes than goalie Jonas Gustavsson. He has one win in his last nine decisions covering 11 appearances (1-5-3, 3.51, .886).
5. And it’s not as if James Reimer has been much better, if at all. Reimer has lost his last four decisions and six of his last seven. In addition to his 1-6-0 record, he has a GAA of 4.27 and a save percentage of .862. Given that Gustavsson played an lost in the 1-0 Gimmick loss to the Flyers on Saturday, Reimer would seem to be the choice for Sunday’s game against Washington.
1. In three games against the Leafs this season the Caps are 4-for-12 on the power play. Except, all four power play goals came in on six opportunities in a 4-2 win on December 9th.
2. In the season series, 13 different Caps have points, and seven different Caps share the nine goals they have. Dennis Wideman is the leading scorer for the Caps in the series (2-2-4).
3. Jason Chimera has taken a minor penalty in each of the three games against Toronto this season. Overall the Caps have almost as many different players having taken penalties (11) as they have point-getters (13).
4. In the first game of the season series the Caps allowed Toronto 16 shots on goal in the first period, the Maple Leafs scoring three goals on their way to a 7-1 win. Toronto managed only a total of 17 shots on goal in the first period of the next two games of the series, scoring on none of them, as the Caps took a pair of 4-2 decisions.
5. Alex Ovechkin has 21 shots on goal in the three games against Toronto but does not have a goal. He does lead the team with three assists.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Toronto: Nikolai Kulemin
Last year, Nikolai Kulemin set a career high of 30 goals scored, almost doubling his total from the previous season (16). This year, the goals have been much harder to come by. He has seven for the season and only two in his last 26 games. He has only one road goal in the 2012 portion of the season. At the moment his seven goals is his lowest total of any of his years in organized hockey dating back to 2003-2004 when he was a 17-year old skating for Metallurg Magnitogorsk-2 in Russia. He is 2-4-6 in 14 career games against Washington.
Washington: Dennis Wideman
Since appearing in the All Star Game in Ottawa, Dennis Wideman is 1-7-8, minus-5 in 20 games. He has picked things up of late, though, with assist in each of his last three games and four in his last six contests. He has had his moments against Toronto over the years. He is 7-13-20 in 26 career games against Toronto, including his team leading scoring line of 2-2-4 in three games this year. Six of his seven career goals against the Maple Leafs have come on the power play
Keys:
1. No Let Down. Winning two points in Boston was good, but giving them away against a struggling team at home would wipe out that good work. That means playing a first period a lot like the one they played against Boston, one that featured a more urgent pressure than they have exhibited in too many games this season.
2. Make Toronto work on defense. Toronto has not allowed a power play in any of its last five games. That might be a product of having faced only nine shorthanded situations in those five games. In fact, Toronto has faced more than three shorthanded situations only three times in their last 29 games. The Caps have struggled on their own in forcing teams to go shorthanded (only eight power plays in their last five games). Making Toronto work on the penalty kill with more frequency could be outside their comfort zone.
3. Big D. Only three teams have scored more goals on the road than the Maple Leafs. Even if they do have only 19 goals in their last eight road games (2.38/game), they are a team that has enough firepower to make the Caps’ evening difficult if provided too many openings.
In the end, this is one of those games that can pose problems. Guys come home after a trip, have to deal with what they have to do at home before they head back on the road. And there might be a bit of looking ahead to that five-game road trip since so much importance is being attached to it. But this is a chance to bury Toronto’s dim playoff chances once and for all, and if things break right, take over the Southeast Division lead with a win (if Florida loses in regulation time to Carolina on Sunday. What it boils down to is that the Caps are at a place on the calendar and the standings where focus should not be a problem.
Capitals 4 – Maple Leafs 2
Saturday, March 10, 2012
A TWO-point afternoon -- Game 68: Capitals 4 - Bruins 3
Well, it wasn’t dull.
The Washington Capitals took to the road in what will be the first of six road games in the next seven covering 13 days. The Caps got off on the right foot on this journey, defeating the Boston Bruins, 4-3, at TD Garden.
It started as if the Caps would run the B’s out of their own building. They outshot the Bruins 12-3 in the first 8:15 of the game and got goals from Alexander Semin and Matt Hendricks. Semin was Alex-on-the-spot to put back an uncharacteristically long Tim Thomas rebound off a drive from the left point by Karl Alzner. Just 25 seconds later, Matt Hendricks finish a play with some hard work on a play filled with it.
Hendricks started the play along the left wing wall in the Boston zone, outdueling defenseman Dennis Seidenberg for the puck. Hendricks swept in deep into the corner, where Jay Beagle took over. Beagle was able to fend off the other defenseman – Joe Corvo – and circled out to find a passing lane. He found Dmitry Orlov at the top of the zone, and Orlov sent the puck to the net. Orlov’s drive was deflected on its way in by Troy Brouwer, preventing Thomas from being able to corral the puck cleanly. Hendricks took one whack and then another as he was being knocked down by Seidenberg at the top of the crease. But the nuisance wasn’t enough to stop Hendricks from snapping the puck past Thomas for the 2-0 lead 8:15 into the game.
The first period was part of some of the best 19:51 of compete level shown by the Caps this season. They were everywhere pressuring the Bruins, keeping the home team from getting clean breakouts and not allowing much in the way of chances when they could gain the offensive zone. They even killed off three penalties in the process. But 19:51 isn’t 20 minutes, and the last nine seconds wiped out a lot of that good work. With a faceoff to Caps goalie Tomas Vokoun’s right, Jay Beagle and Patrice Bergeron tied one another up on the draw. The puck leaked toward the Caps net, and Milan Lucic was more alert than any Capital – particularly defenseman John Carlson, who did not step up smartly when Lucic cut in to grab the puck. Lucic snapped a shot through Vokoun with six seconds left in the period, and the Caps’ lead was halved.
It looked bad for the Caps when Boston tied the game 4:58 into the second period on an unassisted goal by Brad Marchand. But Jay Beagle, who frankly deserved a star in this game, put the Caps back in front on an amazing centering feed from Alexander Semin. Six minutes later the Caps got some insurance on, of all things, a power play. Brooks Laich deflected a drive by defenseman Dennis Wideman through Tim Thomas before Adam McQuaid could get to the top of the crease to defend Laich.
They would need that insurance when Johnny Boychuk scored for the Bruins with 3:13 left in regulation. But the Caps stiffened. In that last 3:13 Boston did a lot of buzzing in the Caps’ end, but they managed only three shot attempts in that last 3:13, two of them on net, and both of them stopped by Vokoun to seal the win.
Other stuff…
-- In a space of just a few seconds Caps fans saw what is so confounding about Alexander Semin. He chased down Adam McQuaid in the faceoff circle to Thomas’ right and hounded McQuaid behind the Bruins’ net. McQuaid appeared sufficiently concerned with Semin’s peskiness that he skated smack into teammate Dennis Seidenberg, thus taking both out of the play as Semin skated through and collected the puck in the corner. Then, with Milan Lucic bearing down on him, Semin whipped a centering pass right onto the tape of Beagle’s stick, and Beagle did the rest. It was the kind of play that show Semin’s talent in skating, in his ability to annoy puck-carriers with his stick chipping at their elbows and their stick, his ability to take a hit to deliver a play, and his superior passing skills. One wonders why that sort of mix of talent isn’t in display more frequently. He has it in him.
-- Beagle, Matt Hendricks, and Brooks Laich. With Nicklas Backstrom injured and Mike Green suspended, this was the kind of stepping up the Caps desperately needed on the road in getting goals from that trio.
-- Why did Beagle deserve a star? Well, there was the goal (his second of the season), his winning seven of 11 draws (including four of six in the defensive zone), and in what became a grinding kind of a game as the minutes ticked by he has more even strength ice time (16:44) than Alex Ovechkin (13:03), Brooks Laich (16:20), and for that matter every other Caps forward.
-- Who thought Marty Turco might have gotten the call after the Bruins went down 2-0 early? With the Bruins in Pittsburgh tomorrow, a change there might have given Thomas a break before that game. Now, does Thomas start tomorrow’s game with no rest? Boston is not in any jeopardy of dropping out of the playoff mix, but they are in a fight with Ottawa for the Northeast Division lead (three points, and the Bruins have two games in hand) and a top-three seed.
-- Dmitry Orlov makes a base salary of $640,000 and has performance bonuses of $260,000. Dennis Wideman makes $3,937,500 and will be a free agent after season’s end. Wideman will not be back. His two assists gave Orlov points in three straight games (on ice for only one goal against), and he is 1-7-8, plus-7 in his last 12 games dating back to February 13th. There is always a fear of a sophomore slump (see: John Carlson), but right now Orlov is sturdy enough on the Caps’ blue line.
-- Odd fact. In the first period there was not a single icing call until the 19:38 mark – an icing call against the Caps. Thirteen seconds, there was another, again against the Caps. Three seconds after that, the Bruins had a goal. The Caps just did not manage the ice well in those last 22 seconds, and it cost them.
-- Sometimes, stuff happens. Alex Ovechkin skates into a bad place – or at least one in which he cannot do much if anything good – up along the players’ benches and into a hit by Jordan Caron. As a result, the Caps can’t get the puck into the Boston end as they start to make a line change. Result – a goal two seconds after the hit when Brad Marchand takes up the loose puck with no Caps around him and fires it past Vokoun to tie the game.
-- You have to feel for Mike Knuble. He gets into the game, skates 11:26, and finishes the game with exactly one mark on his line of the score sheet. It is technically a missed shot. It was a snap shot at an open net that hit the near post and caromed away. It would have given the Caps a 5-2 lead with seven minutes left and effectively salted the game away. Boston made it 4-3 less than four minutes later.
-- There is also this odd Knuble fact in this game… he skated more shifts in the third period (seven) than did Alex Ovechkin (six).
-- If you are in the game long enough, you know to make the smart play, even when a superstar is on your line. It came late with the Caps nursing a lead. Keith Aucoin skates into the Boston zone with Alex Ovechkin flanking him. Aucoin could have left the puck inside the Boston line for Ovechkin on his right. But Boston had numbers at the blue line, and a mistake there – a bad pass, Ovechkin fumbling the puck – could have resulted in a rush the other way. Aucoin held the puck and skated it in deeper himself, running a few more seconds off the clock and keeping the Caps with territorial advantage.
-- Another odd fact. Caps fans know that the team has struggled on the power play on the road – last in the league, in fact, coming into this game. But try this on. The Caps have power play goals in two of their last three road games and have two goals on their last six opportunities dating back to the 5-2 win at Ottawa on February 22nd.
In the end, Karl Alzner said it best after the game…
That about says it…this isn’t the Beauty Contest System to crown a champion in college football. Win, and you’re in. The Caps get a chance to double down on their good fortune when they come home to face Toronto tomorrow. And if there isn’t enough incentive for that, if the Caps can knock of the Leafs and Carolina the Panthers, the Caps will find themselves in first place in the Southeast.
But let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. This was a good win, perhaps the best one since the Caps shutout Florida, 4-0, more than a month ago. And they did it with two big pieces missing and by doing it the old-fashioned way, grinding it out when things were getting tough on the road. Sounds like a formula.
The Washington Capitals took to the road in what will be the first of six road games in the next seven covering 13 days. The Caps got off on the right foot on this journey, defeating the Boston Bruins, 4-3, at TD Garden.
It started as if the Caps would run the B’s out of their own building. They outshot the Bruins 12-3 in the first 8:15 of the game and got goals from Alexander Semin and Matt Hendricks. Semin was Alex-on-the-spot to put back an uncharacteristically long Tim Thomas rebound off a drive from the left point by Karl Alzner. Just 25 seconds later, Matt Hendricks finish a play with some hard work on a play filled with it.
Hendricks started the play along the left wing wall in the Boston zone, outdueling defenseman Dennis Seidenberg for the puck. Hendricks swept in deep into the corner, where Jay Beagle took over. Beagle was able to fend off the other defenseman – Joe Corvo – and circled out to find a passing lane. He found Dmitry Orlov at the top of the zone, and Orlov sent the puck to the net. Orlov’s drive was deflected on its way in by Troy Brouwer, preventing Thomas from being able to corral the puck cleanly. Hendricks took one whack and then another as he was being knocked down by Seidenberg at the top of the crease. But the nuisance wasn’t enough to stop Hendricks from snapping the puck past Thomas for the 2-0 lead 8:15 into the game.
The first period was part of some of the best 19:51 of compete level shown by the Caps this season. They were everywhere pressuring the Bruins, keeping the home team from getting clean breakouts and not allowing much in the way of chances when they could gain the offensive zone. They even killed off three penalties in the process. But 19:51 isn’t 20 minutes, and the last nine seconds wiped out a lot of that good work. With a faceoff to Caps goalie Tomas Vokoun’s right, Jay Beagle and Patrice Bergeron tied one another up on the draw. The puck leaked toward the Caps net, and Milan Lucic was more alert than any Capital – particularly defenseman John Carlson, who did not step up smartly when Lucic cut in to grab the puck. Lucic snapped a shot through Vokoun with six seconds left in the period, and the Caps’ lead was halved.
It looked bad for the Caps when Boston tied the game 4:58 into the second period on an unassisted goal by Brad Marchand. But Jay Beagle, who frankly deserved a star in this game, put the Caps back in front on an amazing centering feed from Alexander Semin. Six minutes later the Caps got some insurance on, of all things, a power play. Brooks Laich deflected a drive by defenseman Dennis Wideman through Tim Thomas before Adam McQuaid could get to the top of the crease to defend Laich.
They would need that insurance when Johnny Boychuk scored for the Bruins with 3:13 left in regulation. But the Caps stiffened. In that last 3:13 Boston did a lot of buzzing in the Caps’ end, but they managed only three shot attempts in that last 3:13, two of them on net, and both of them stopped by Vokoun to seal the win.
Other stuff…
-- In a space of just a few seconds Caps fans saw what is so confounding about Alexander Semin. He chased down Adam McQuaid in the faceoff circle to Thomas’ right and hounded McQuaid behind the Bruins’ net. McQuaid appeared sufficiently concerned with Semin’s peskiness that he skated smack into teammate Dennis Seidenberg, thus taking both out of the play as Semin skated through and collected the puck in the corner. Then, with Milan Lucic bearing down on him, Semin whipped a centering pass right onto the tape of Beagle’s stick, and Beagle did the rest. It was the kind of play that show Semin’s talent in skating, in his ability to annoy puck-carriers with his stick chipping at their elbows and their stick, his ability to take a hit to deliver a play, and his superior passing skills. One wonders why that sort of mix of talent isn’t in display more frequently. He has it in him.
-- Beagle, Matt Hendricks, and Brooks Laich. With Nicklas Backstrom injured and Mike Green suspended, this was the kind of stepping up the Caps desperately needed on the road in getting goals from that trio.
-- Why did Beagle deserve a star? Well, there was the goal (his second of the season), his winning seven of 11 draws (including four of six in the defensive zone), and in what became a grinding kind of a game as the minutes ticked by he has more even strength ice time (16:44) than Alex Ovechkin (13:03), Brooks Laich (16:20), and for that matter every other Caps forward.
-- Who thought Marty Turco might have gotten the call after the Bruins went down 2-0 early? With the Bruins in Pittsburgh tomorrow, a change there might have given Thomas a break before that game. Now, does Thomas start tomorrow’s game with no rest? Boston is not in any jeopardy of dropping out of the playoff mix, but they are in a fight with Ottawa for the Northeast Division lead (three points, and the Bruins have two games in hand) and a top-three seed.
-- Dmitry Orlov makes a base salary of $640,000 and has performance bonuses of $260,000. Dennis Wideman makes $3,937,500 and will be a free agent after season’s end. Wideman will not be back. His two assists gave Orlov points in three straight games (on ice for only one goal against), and he is 1-7-8, plus-7 in his last 12 games dating back to February 13th. There is always a fear of a sophomore slump (see: John Carlson), but right now Orlov is sturdy enough on the Caps’ blue line.
-- Odd fact. In the first period there was not a single icing call until the 19:38 mark – an icing call against the Caps. Thirteen seconds, there was another, again against the Caps. Three seconds after that, the Bruins had a goal. The Caps just did not manage the ice well in those last 22 seconds, and it cost them.
-- Sometimes, stuff happens. Alex Ovechkin skates into a bad place – or at least one in which he cannot do much if anything good – up along the players’ benches and into a hit by Jordan Caron. As a result, the Caps can’t get the puck into the Boston end as they start to make a line change. Result – a goal two seconds after the hit when Brad Marchand takes up the loose puck with no Caps around him and fires it past Vokoun to tie the game.
-- You have to feel for Mike Knuble. He gets into the game, skates 11:26, and finishes the game with exactly one mark on his line of the score sheet. It is technically a missed shot. It was a snap shot at an open net that hit the near post and caromed away. It would have given the Caps a 5-2 lead with seven minutes left and effectively salted the game away. Boston made it 4-3 less than four minutes later.
-- There is also this odd Knuble fact in this game… he skated more shifts in the third period (seven) than did Alex Ovechkin (six).
-- If you are in the game long enough, you know to make the smart play, even when a superstar is on your line. It came late with the Caps nursing a lead. Keith Aucoin skates into the Boston zone with Alex Ovechkin flanking him. Aucoin could have left the puck inside the Boston line for Ovechkin on his right. But Boston had numbers at the blue line, and a mistake there – a bad pass, Ovechkin fumbling the puck – could have resulted in a rush the other way. Aucoin held the puck and skated it in deeper himself, running a few more seconds off the clock and keeping the Caps with territorial advantage.
-- Another odd fact. Caps fans know that the team has struggled on the power play on the road – last in the league, in fact, coming into this game. But try this on. The Caps have power play goals in two of their last three road games and have two goals on their last six opportunities dating back to the 5-2 win at Ottawa on February 22nd.
In the end, Karl Alzner said it best after the game…
“…it doesn’t matter if you win by an inch or a mile, right? We’re just happy that we got the two points.”
That about says it…this isn’t the Beauty Contest System to crown a champion in college football. Win, and you’re in. The Caps get a chance to double down on their good fortune when they come home to face Toronto tomorrow. And if there isn’t enough incentive for that, if the Caps can knock of the Leafs and Carolina the Panthers, the Caps will find themselves in first place in the Southeast.
But let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. This was a good win, perhaps the best one since the Caps shutout Florida, 4-0, more than a month ago. And they did it with two big pieces missing and by doing it the old-fashioned way, grinding it out when things were getting tough on the road. Sounds like a formula.
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!! -- Game 68: Capitals at Bruins, March 10th
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
The Washington Capitals take to the road with a trip to Boston for a Saturday matinee against the Bruins…
Cheerless, it’s a hockey game, not one of those old time afternoons at the movies.
Look, there is the pre-game warm-up, a hockey game, maybe some mites on the ice at intermission, and if you’re really good, maybe an overtime or a shootout.
Nope.
Nope.
Nope…no Bugs Bunny or Daffy Duck?
Welllll…
Have you seen the Caps’ road power play lately?
Washington will be hoping to generate some spark on the power play in Boston on Saturday, not to mention some even strength…well, strength… and if they’re really in the mood, maybe a shortie or two. It would be novel. In the 2012 portion of the season, the Caps have played in 14 road games. They have scored more than three goals once. That happened to be their most recent road game, a 4-2 win over Toronto on February 25th. But the Caps are moving up in weight class in their next opponent.
Or are they? Boston built a reputation early this season as a juggernaut, leaving opponents’ wreckage in their wake from beating them and beating them up with a deep, talented, and edgy team. They won 10 in a row in November and were 14-0-1 from November 1st through December 5th. Then they ran off a seven-game streak from December 10th through December 28th. On January 12th the Bruins were 28-11-1, and folks were planning the parade down Boylston Street.
January 12th would be an important date in the Bruins’ season. It was the last time they won consecutive games until winning their last two this past week. Since January 12th Boston is a pedestrian 12-12-2. Tim Thomas, the hero of last season’s playoffs and who was rolling along with a record of 18-7-0, 1.95, .939, with four shutouts, was found to be mortal. He is 11-8-0, 2.74, .903, with no shutouts since January 12th.
Tyler Seguin, who started the season with 11 goals in his first 15 games (a 60-goal pace), has seven goals in his last 26 games (a 22-goal pace) since January 12th. Patrice Bergeron was a plus-27 in his first 40 games; is plus-3 in his last 26 games since January 12th. Brad Marchand had 32 points in his first 37 games; he has 11 in his last 23 games since January 12th.
The juggernaut is in a ditch. Here is how the teams compared going into last night's action:
1. Boston does bring the league’s top 5-on-5 offense into the game. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game at 5-on-5, more than Islanders, Kings, and Wild average in total per game.
2. The Bruins have a remarkable disparity in results when outshooting and when being outshot by their opponents, and not in the direction one might expect. They are 21-16-3 (a .525 winning percentage) in games in which they outshoot their opponents, but they are 19-7-0 in games in which they are outshot (a .731 winning percentage, second-best in the league to Detroit).
3. You have heard from time to time recently that the Caps are one of two teams with a perfect record (19-0-0) when leading after two periods. Boston is the other one – 26-0-0.
4. Big, bad Bruins? Boston is 22nd in the league in hits overall, 23rd in hits at home. But there is this… they are second in the league in fighting majors (52), trailing only the New York Rangers. Shawn Thornton has 18 fighting majors by himself, as many or more than five other teams. Only one team (Philadelphia) has more misconduct penalties, and the Bruins lead the league in game misconduct penalties. They do not work or play well with others.
5. As is befitting for their mascot, Boston mauls teams. Their 17-4 record in games decided by three or more goals is the second highest win total and second best winning percentage in such games in the NHL. They are “only” 15-10-3 in one-goal games.
1. About the Caps and that perfect record when leading after two periods. That’s nice, but only four teams have fewer wins when leading after two periods (Minnesota, Columbus, Carolina, and the Islanders…not exactly a Murderer’s Row). That is because no team has had fewer second intermission leads this season than the Caps.
2. The Caps are 7-for-61 on the power play when on the road under Dale Hunter (11.5 percent). Almost identical to their record under Bruce Boudreau (5-for-42; 11.9 percent). Only two teams have fewer road power play goals (Buffalo, Winnipeg), and overall they have the worst road power play in the league (11.6 percent). Add to that the fact that only two teams have allowed more shorthanded goals on the road than the Caps, and one can see that the Caps’ power play is a real adventure on the road.
3. Only three teams have a worse turnover ratio (takeaways to giveaways) on the road than the Caps (minus-62) – Buffalo, Phoenix, and New Jersey.
4. The Caps are 25th in the league in first period goals scored, fourth in the league in third period goals scored.
5. Only three teams have more wins than the Caps this season when trailing at the second intermission (Boston, Tampa Bay, and Pittsburgh). But don’t get a big head about it. The best team in the league (Pittsburgh) has a winning percentage of .308 in such games (8-16-2). The Caps have a winning percentage of .200 (6-22-2).
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Boston: Milan Lucic
Milan Lucic comes into this game on a five-game points streak (1-5-6) and has an outside chance of reaching his career high in points (62, set last season). He currently has 50. He already has a career high in power play goals (seven) and is within striking distance of his career high in penalty minutes (120, 16 short of his 136 in 2008-2009). His is an interesting mix in skills – second on the team in goals, third in points, second in penalty minutes, first in hits, fourth in fights. Against the Caps he is 3-6-9, minus-5 in 16 career games.
Washington: Alexander Semin
Alexander Semin picked the worst time for his scoring well to go dry. He took an oh-fer for the five-game home stand – no goals on 19 shots, no points. But perhaps there is a glimmer of hope he can right himself in Boston. His road production (8-13-21 in 31 games) is little different than his home production (9-11-20 in 32 games). He has 15 points in 20 career games against the Bruins (4-11-15). Two of his goals are game-winners. But there is this, too. He has 20 penalty minutes in 20 games against Boston, a slightly higher rate than his career PIMs per game. Which Semin shows up – the one who produces on the ice, or the one that sits in the penalty box with an ill-timed penalty – could be the difference in this one.
Keys:
1. Simplicity. Boston is not a complicated team. They are deep, and they can wear down opponents with their depth and their physical edge. Being fancy or cute might be just an exercise in frustration. This should be played as a textbook road game for the Caps. Simple equals success.
2. Secondary. In January the Caps knocked off the Bruins without Alex Ovechkin. Now, they have the challenge of matching that outcome without the services of Mike Green, who will be sitting for this game and two more under a suspension. That means guys like Mathieu Perreault (who had a hat trick in that January game), Jeff Halpern and Jay Beagle (an assist apiece) have to step up with secondary scoring.
3. Silence. The goal horn has gone off a lot for the home team when the Caps visit in the 2012 portion of the season – 43 goals in 14 road games (3.07 per game). Defense tightened up some in the last three games of the home stand (seven goals against), and now they have to do that on the road, because Boston doesn’t allow many at home (eight in their last four home games).
In the end, this begins the make-or-break portion of the Caps’ regular season. Six of the next seven games will be on the road, and the Caps will be traveling in what resembles an Original Six tour – they get Boston, Chicago, and Detroit on the road, plus Toronto in their only home game in this stretch. If the Caps can come out of these seven games breaking even, they give themselves a chance to make the last eight games of the season mean something. Getting off to a good start toward that goal would be nice.
Even if there aren't any cartoons.
The Washington Capitals take to the road with a trip to Boston for a Saturday matinee against the Bruins…
“Ooh…think they’ll have cartoons at the matinee, cousin?”
Cheerless, it’s a hockey game, not one of those old time afternoons at the movies.
“But you said it was a matinee, and they always have cartoons.”
Look, there is the pre-game warm-up, a hockey game, maybe some mites on the ice at intermission, and if you’re really good, maybe an overtime or a shootout.
“But no cartoons?”
Nope.
“Not even a Woody Woodpecker?”
Nope.
“No ‘Merrie Melodies’ or “Looney Tunes?’”
Nope…no Bugs Bunny or Daffy Duck?
“You’re sure? How can it be a matinee without any cartoons.”
Welllll…
“So there ARE cartoons?”
Have you seen the Caps’ road power play lately?
Washington will be hoping to generate some spark on the power play in Boston on Saturday, not to mention some even strength…well, strength… and if they’re really in the mood, maybe a shortie or two. It would be novel. In the 2012 portion of the season, the Caps have played in 14 road games. They have scored more than three goals once. That happened to be their most recent road game, a 4-2 win over Toronto on February 25th. But the Caps are moving up in weight class in their next opponent.
Or are they? Boston built a reputation early this season as a juggernaut, leaving opponents’ wreckage in their wake from beating them and beating them up with a deep, talented, and edgy team. They won 10 in a row in November and were 14-0-1 from November 1st through December 5th. Then they ran off a seven-game streak from December 10th through December 28th. On January 12th the Bruins were 28-11-1, and folks were planning the parade down Boylston Street.
January 12th would be an important date in the Bruins’ season. It was the last time they won consecutive games until winning their last two this past week. Since January 12th Boston is a pedestrian 12-12-2. Tim Thomas, the hero of last season’s playoffs and who was rolling along with a record of 18-7-0, 1.95, .939, with four shutouts, was found to be mortal. He is 11-8-0, 2.74, .903, with no shutouts since January 12th.
Tyler Seguin, who started the season with 11 goals in his first 15 games (a 60-goal pace), has seven goals in his last 26 games (a 22-goal pace) since January 12th. Patrice Bergeron was a plus-27 in his first 40 games; is plus-3 in his last 26 games since January 12th. Brad Marchand had 32 points in his first 37 games; he has 11 in his last 23 games since January 12th.
The juggernaut is in a ditch. Here is how the teams compared going into last night's action:
(click pic for larger image)
1. Boston does bring the league’s top 5-on-5 offense into the game. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game at 5-on-5, more than Islanders, Kings, and Wild average in total per game.
2. The Bruins have a remarkable disparity in results when outshooting and when being outshot by their opponents, and not in the direction one might expect. They are 21-16-3 (a .525 winning percentage) in games in which they outshoot their opponents, but they are 19-7-0 in games in which they are outshot (a .731 winning percentage, second-best in the league to Detroit).
3. You have heard from time to time recently that the Caps are one of two teams with a perfect record (19-0-0) when leading after two periods. Boston is the other one – 26-0-0.
4. Big, bad Bruins? Boston is 22nd in the league in hits overall, 23rd in hits at home. But there is this… they are second in the league in fighting majors (52), trailing only the New York Rangers. Shawn Thornton has 18 fighting majors by himself, as many or more than five other teams. Only one team (Philadelphia) has more misconduct penalties, and the Bruins lead the league in game misconduct penalties. They do not work or play well with others.
5. As is befitting for their mascot, Boston mauls teams. Their 17-4 record in games decided by three or more goals is the second highest win total and second best winning percentage in such games in the NHL. They are “only” 15-10-3 in one-goal games.
1. About the Caps and that perfect record when leading after two periods. That’s nice, but only four teams have fewer wins when leading after two periods (Minnesota, Columbus, Carolina, and the Islanders…not exactly a Murderer’s Row). That is because no team has had fewer second intermission leads this season than the Caps.
2. The Caps are 7-for-61 on the power play when on the road under Dale Hunter (11.5 percent). Almost identical to their record under Bruce Boudreau (5-for-42; 11.9 percent). Only two teams have fewer road power play goals (Buffalo, Winnipeg), and overall they have the worst road power play in the league (11.6 percent). Add to that the fact that only two teams have allowed more shorthanded goals on the road than the Caps, and one can see that the Caps’ power play is a real adventure on the road.
3. Only three teams have a worse turnover ratio (takeaways to giveaways) on the road than the Caps (minus-62) – Buffalo, Phoenix, and New Jersey.
4. The Caps are 25th in the league in first period goals scored, fourth in the league in third period goals scored.
5. Only three teams have more wins than the Caps this season when trailing at the second intermission (Boston, Tampa Bay, and Pittsburgh). But don’t get a big head about it. The best team in the league (Pittsburgh) has a winning percentage of .308 in such games (8-16-2). The Caps have a winning percentage of .200 (6-22-2).
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Boston: Milan Lucic
Milan Lucic comes into this game on a five-game points streak (1-5-6) and has an outside chance of reaching his career high in points (62, set last season). He currently has 50. He already has a career high in power play goals (seven) and is within striking distance of his career high in penalty minutes (120, 16 short of his 136 in 2008-2009). His is an interesting mix in skills – second on the team in goals, third in points, second in penalty minutes, first in hits, fourth in fights. Against the Caps he is 3-6-9, minus-5 in 16 career games.
Washington: Alexander Semin
Alexander Semin picked the worst time for his scoring well to go dry. He took an oh-fer for the five-game home stand – no goals on 19 shots, no points. But perhaps there is a glimmer of hope he can right himself in Boston. His road production (8-13-21 in 31 games) is little different than his home production (9-11-20 in 32 games). He has 15 points in 20 career games against the Bruins (4-11-15). Two of his goals are game-winners. But there is this, too. He has 20 penalty minutes in 20 games against Boston, a slightly higher rate than his career PIMs per game. Which Semin shows up – the one who produces on the ice, or the one that sits in the penalty box with an ill-timed penalty – could be the difference in this one.
Keys:
1. Simplicity. Boston is not a complicated team. They are deep, and they can wear down opponents with their depth and their physical edge. Being fancy or cute might be just an exercise in frustration. This should be played as a textbook road game for the Caps. Simple equals success.
2. Secondary. In January the Caps knocked off the Bruins without Alex Ovechkin. Now, they have the challenge of matching that outcome without the services of Mike Green, who will be sitting for this game and two more under a suspension. That means guys like Mathieu Perreault (who had a hat trick in that January game), Jeff Halpern and Jay Beagle (an assist apiece) have to step up with secondary scoring.
3. Silence. The goal horn has gone off a lot for the home team when the Caps visit in the 2012 portion of the season – 43 goals in 14 road games (3.07 per game). Defense tightened up some in the last three games of the home stand (seven goals against), and now they have to do that on the road, because Boston doesn’t allow many at home (eight in their last four home games).
In the end, this begins the make-or-break portion of the Caps’ regular season. Six of the next seven games will be on the road, and the Caps will be traveling in what resembles an Original Six tour – they get Boston, Chicago, and Detroit on the road, plus Toronto in their only home game in this stretch. If the Caps can come out of these seven games breaking even, they give themselves a chance to make the last eight games of the season mean something. Getting off to a good start toward that goal would be nice.
Even if there aren't any cartoons.
Capitals 2 – Bruins 1
Friday, March 09, 2012
A TWO-point night -- Game 67: Capitals 3 - Lightning 2 (OT)
The Hockey Gods giveth, and the Hockey Gods taketh away…
…and vice versa.
It looked a little too much like the Washington Capitals’ previous game – a 4-3 overtime loss to the Carolina Hurricanes. The Caps took an early lead against another Southeast Division opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning, just as they did against Carolina on Tuesday. Again, it was a lead they could not hold. The visitors took a one-goal lead deep into the third period – again. But the Caps got a late goal to tie things up and send them to overtime – again.
But this one had a different ending, in part because the ending had a different beginning. Against Carolina, the visitors chose to open the extra session with an offense-oriented lineup that included Eric Staal and Jiri Tlusty at forward. The Caps countered with a defensive foursome of Jay Beagle, Troy Brouwer, John Carlson, and Karl Alzner. Maybe it set a tone. Carolina won.
Last night, Tampa chose to open the extra frame with Tom Pyatt, Nate Thompson, Eric Brewer, and Victor Hedman – not an explosive quartet. It allowed the Caps to begin with Alex Ovechkin, Marcus Johansson, Mike Green, and Dmitry Orlov. The Caps could go for the kill shot opening with that group. They didn’t score on their first shift in overtime, but it might have put the Lightning back on their heels. Tampa Bay would not record a shot in the extra session, while the Caps had four. The last of them was, in its own way, one of the best shifts of the season for the Caps on offense…
Start with a mistake. Ryan Shannon had the puck for the Lightning at the Tampa blue line, but instead of moving the puck forward, slid it across to Brett Clark (remember the minus-24 of which we spoke in the pregame?...keep it in mind). Clark tried to move it forward, but Ovechkin was in his way. No turnover would be credited, but Clark lost the puck there.
Then, Jason Chimera circled around Ovechkin and collected the puck. Using the circle route to build speed, he jumped inside Shannon, who let him go down the left wing boards. Chimera then outdueled Eric Brewer and then Shannon again for the puck, eventually sending it out to the high slot where Dmitry Orlov was waiting. Orlov had a clear and clean shot from down the middle, a fact that no doubt occurred to Tampa goalie Dustin Tokarski as well in that instant. Poised to defend the shot that was coming from Orlov, it never came…at least not from there. Orlov took a wind up as if to shoot, but slid the puck to his right, where Ovechkin was waiting. Ovechkin threaded a shot past Tokarski before he could slide over, and the Caps had their gift from the Hockey Gods in overtime that they did not receive on Tuesday.
But it was also a play in which guys did things they needed to do -- Ovechkin at least getting in someone's way on defense, Chimera using speed, then grit along the boards (even if Tampa's defense really wasn't putting up much of a fight), Orlov finding a hole in the zone and then using a little moxie to make a play, and finally Ovechkin burying a chance instead of the goalie blocking it away (like Cam Ward did in the Carolina game on Tuesday).
Other stuff…
-- Steven Stamkos skated 30 shifts last night and finished the evening with only two shots on goal and no points. Why? Of those 30 shifts, “Carlzner” were on for 26 of them. Give those two credit for a defensive job well done.
-- But not too much…they were on for both power play goals scored by the Lightning.
-- Tampa Bay coach Guy Boucher is not going to be too happy with his defense. First, how is it that Keith Aucoin (5’8”, 171 pounds) does not get tied up, or smothered, by Victor Hedman (6’6”, 229), allowing Aucoin to get a stick on a Karl Alzner drive to score the game’s first goal?
-- Then there was the Marcus Johansson goal to tie the game late. The Lightning looked like the “Mites on Ice” portion of the evening trying to control the puck along the wall in their own end, and never getting it over the blue line to safety. Eric Brewer failed to move it up the boards and out, then Hedman was slow and out of position to deal with a quick pass from Wideman to Johansson for the shot Tokarski had little chance of stopping.
-- The Caps made the Lightning work on defense, and defense is not what the Lightning do. Sixty-eight shot attempts, 32 of them on goal. At the other end, Tampa had only 45 attempts, 26 of them on goal.
-- Speaking of attempts, one of the things we have been thinking Alex Ovechkin needs to do is to become a bit more “selfish” in his play. Not as in “puck hog,” but as in a Michael Jordan kind of way. I’m the man, and I’m going to be the guy to take the big shots. Ovechkin had 14 shot attempts last night, five of them on goal, one of them in. He is not a sniper, even when he is on, but rather a force of nature that inexorably wears opponents down.
-- We thought it would be a fine idea for Dmitry Orlov to spend the whole year at Hershey. We thought it might even be a fine idea for him to be sent down if and when Mike Green returned to health. Yeah, well, we’re stupid.
-- Jay Beagle gets the canned ham for ink on the scoresheet…two shots, three attempts, three hits, a giveaway, a takeaway, two blocked shots, a penalty, and five wins in eight draws. Beagle is playing the role he needs to play as much as anyone for the Caps these days.
-- At some point we have to wonder if Joel Ward is going to be benched in favor of Mike Knuble. Ward skated less than eight minutes last night, only two shifts in the third period (none in the last ten minutes). He was the only Cap skater without a shot attempt.
-- Spreading things around…12 different Caps skaters finished in plus territory last night. By the same token, six different Caps (out of eight possible skaters) were on the ice for the two Tampa Bay power play goals.
In the end, the Caps found a way to win. They did it with relentless pressure late, outshooting Tampa Bay 17-3 after Teddy Purcell’s goal to tie the game late in the second period. Guess that’s what desperation looks like. Now it gets harder. A trip to Boston on Saturday afternoon, followed by a home game on Sunday against Toronto. Then, a five-game road trip. By the time the Caps return to Verizon Center on March 23rd to face Winnipeg, we will know if there is anything left of the Caps’ season.
Let’s hope the Hockey Gods are in a giving mood.
…and vice versa.
It looked a little too much like the Washington Capitals’ previous game – a 4-3 overtime loss to the Carolina Hurricanes. The Caps took an early lead against another Southeast Division opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning, just as they did against Carolina on Tuesday. Again, it was a lead they could not hold. The visitors took a one-goal lead deep into the third period – again. But the Caps got a late goal to tie things up and send them to overtime – again.
But this one had a different ending, in part because the ending had a different beginning. Against Carolina, the visitors chose to open the extra session with an offense-oriented lineup that included Eric Staal and Jiri Tlusty at forward. The Caps countered with a defensive foursome of Jay Beagle, Troy Brouwer, John Carlson, and Karl Alzner. Maybe it set a tone. Carolina won.
Last night, Tampa chose to open the extra frame with Tom Pyatt, Nate Thompson, Eric Brewer, and Victor Hedman – not an explosive quartet. It allowed the Caps to begin with Alex Ovechkin, Marcus Johansson, Mike Green, and Dmitry Orlov. The Caps could go for the kill shot opening with that group. They didn’t score on their first shift in overtime, but it might have put the Lightning back on their heels. Tampa Bay would not record a shot in the extra session, while the Caps had four. The last of them was, in its own way, one of the best shifts of the season for the Caps on offense…
Start with a mistake. Ryan Shannon had the puck for the Lightning at the Tampa blue line, but instead of moving the puck forward, slid it across to Brett Clark (remember the minus-24 of which we spoke in the pregame?...keep it in mind). Clark tried to move it forward, but Ovechkin was in his way. No turnover would be credited, but Clark lost the puck there.
Then, Jason Chimera circled around Ovechkin and collected the puck. Using the circle route to build speed, he jumped inside Shannon, who let him go down the left wing boards. Chimera then outdueled Eric Brewer and then Shannon again for the puck, eventually sending it out to the high slot where Dmitry Orlov was waiting. Orlov had a clear and clean shot from down the middle, a fact that no doubt occurred to Tampa goalie Dustin Tokarski as well in that instant. Poised to defend the shot that was coming from Orlov, it never came…at least not from there. Orlov took a wind up as if to shoot, but slid the puck to his right, where Ovechkin was waiting. Ovechkin threaded a shot past Tokarski before he could slide over, and the Caps had their gift from the Hockey Gods in overtime that they did not receive on Tuesday.
But it was also a play in which guys did things they needed to do -- Ovechkin at least getting in someone's way on defense, Chimera using speed, then grit along the boards (even if Tampa's defense really wasn't putting up much of a fight), Orlov finding a hole in the zone and then using a little moxie to make a play, and finally Ovechkin burying a chance instead of the goalie blocking it away (like Cam Ward did in the Carolina game on Tuesday).
Other stuff…
-- Steven Stamkos skated 30 shifts last night and finished the evening with only two shots on goal and no points. Why? Of those 30 shifts, “Carlzner” were on for 26 of them. Give those two credit for a defensive job well done.
-- But not too much…they were on for both power play goals scored by the Lightning.
-- Tampa Bay coach Guy Boucher is not going to be too happy with his defense. First, how is it that Keith Aucoin (5’8”, 171 pounds) does not get tied up, or smothered, by Victor Hedman (6’6”, 229), allowing Aucoin to get a stick on a Karl Alzner drive to score the game’s first goal?
-- Then there was the Marcus Johansson goal to tie the game late. The Lightning looked like the “Mites on Ice” portion of the evening trying to control the puck along the wall in their own end, and never getting it over the blue line to safety. Eric Brewer failed to move it up the boards and out, then Hedman was slow and out of position to deal with a quick pass from Wideman to Johansson for the shot Tokarski had little chance of stopping.
-- The Caps made the Lightning work on defense, and defense is not what the Lightning do. Sixty-eight shot attempts, 32 of them on goal. At the other end, Tampa had only 45 attempts, 26 of them on goal.
-- Speaking of attempts, one of the things we have been thinking Alex Ovechkin needs to do is to become a bit more “selfish” in his play. Not as in “puck hog,” but as in a Michael Jordan kind of way. I’m the man, and I’m going to be the guy to take the big shots. Ovechkin had 14 shot attempts last night, five of them on goal, one of them in. He is not a sniper, even when he is on, but rather a force of nature that inexorably wears opponents down.
-- We thought it would be a fine idea for Dmitry Orlov to spend the whole year at Hershey. We thought it might even be a fine idea for him to be sent down if and when Mike Green returned to health. Yeah, well, we’re stupid.
-- Jay Beagle gets the canned ham for ink on the scoresheet…two shots, three attempts, three hits, a giveaway, a takeaway, two blocked shots, a penalty, and five wins in eight draws. Beagle is playing the role he needs to play as much as anyone for the Caps these days.
-- At some point we have to wonder if Joel Ward is going to be benched in favor of Mike Knuble. Ward skated less than eight minutes last night, only two shifts in the third period (none in the last ten minutes). He was the only Cap skater without a shot attempt.
-- Spreading things around…12 different Caps skaters finished in plus territory last night. By the same token, six different Caps (out of eight possible skaters) were on the ice for the two Tampa Bay power play goals.
In the end, the Caps found a way to win. They did it with relentless pressure late, outshooting Tampa Bay 17-3 after Teddy Purcell’s goal to tie the game late in the second period. Guess that’s what desperation looks like. Now it gets harder. A trip to Boston on Saturday afternoon, followed by a home game on Sunday against Toronto. Then, a five-game road trip. By the time the Caps return to Verizon Center on March 23rd to face Winnipeg, we will know if there is anything left of the Caps’ season.
Let’s hope the Hockey Gods are in a giving mood.
Thursday, March 08, 2012
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!! -- Game 67: Lightning at Capitals, March 8th
The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!
Desperate: adj \ˈdes-p(ə-)rət, -pərt\
1a . having lost hope (a desperate spirit crying for relief)
b. giving no ground for hope (the outlook was desperate)
2a. moved by despair (victims made desperate by abuse)
b. involving or employing extreme measures in an attempt to escape defeat or frustration (made a desperate leap for the rope)
3. suffering extreme need or anxiety (desperate for money)
4. involving extreme danger or possible disaster (a desperate situation)
5. of extreme intensity
6. shocking, outrageous
Synonyms: despairing, despondent, forlorn, hopeless
Antonyms: hopeful, optimistic
We’re here. Not “must win,” but “can’t lose.” As in, you can’t lose to a team below you in the standings and have much reasonable hope of salvaging the season when you still have nine of your last 14 games against teams ahead of you in the standings.
That is where the Washington Capitals find themselves as they prepare to host the Tampa Bay Lightning in the last game of a five-game home stand. It has been the home stand from hell, one in which the Caps have managed only three standings points earned so far from eight available. Those five points left on the table are the difference between being first in the Southeast Division and third in the Eastern Conference, and ninth place in the conference, out of playoff eligibility.
They can salvage a .500 mark in the home stand if they can get past the Lightning, a team that has roared to life after it seemed at the trading deadline as if it was making plans for next season. Well, maybe not “roared” back to life, but certainly they have dragged themselves back into the playoff conversation upon winning four of their last five games.
But let’s look at their last six games. The first and last contests that bracket this group were disasters for the Lightning, an 8-1 loss to Pittsburgh and a 7-3 loss to Ottawa. In those games the Lightning’s problems were on vivid display, primarily poor goaltending (13 goals on 67 shots, a .806 save percentage) and a propensity to give up early goals (six in the first period of two games combined, adding to their league worst total of 74 goals that they have allowed through games of March 6th).
But then there are those four games in the middle of the six-game set. All of them one-goal wins, two of them in overtime, less awful goaltending (83 saves on 93 shots; .893), and Steven Stamkos going 4-3-7, plus-3 in the four games (he was 1-0-1, minus-4 in the two blowout losses). Here is where the teams stand against one another on the numbers:
1. Who is the best goaltender in the Lightning organization? One might make an argument for a goalie with a record of 27-11-0, a 2.34 goals-against average, a .907 save percentage, and four shutouts. No, he doesn’t play for the parent club. He is Dustin Tokarski, late of the Norfolk Admirals of the AHL, but who has been called into service with Mathieu Garon out for 3-4 weeks with a groin injury. If Tokarski gets the call against the Caps, it will not be his NHL debut. He appeared in two games in the 2009-2010 season, getting mop-up duty in each one (a 5-2 loss to Florida and an 8-2 loss to the New York Rangers, the former a game won by Caps goalie Tomas Vokoun). He does not have a decision and has a 4.09 GAA and .813 save percentage to go along with his total of 44 minutes of playing time.
2. Those last six games are the Tampa Bay season in microcosm. Four one-goal wins, two blowout losses. For the season, the Lightning lead the league in one-goal wins (21) and winning percentage (.700). The also happen to be tied for the league lead in losses by three or more goals (16) and have the fifth worst winning percentage in games decided by three or more goals (.333).
3. Special teams on the road are a problem for the Lightning. They have only 15 power play goals on the road for the season. Only five teams have fewer goals. Meanwhile, their 27 power play goals allowed is the third-highest total on the road this season.
4. Only one team in the NHL has carried fewer leads into the second intermission this season than the Lightning (22 times) – Washington (19).
5. Fifteen times this season the Lightning have allowed five or more goals. Ten times they scored five or more goals of their own.
1. Washington is supposed to be something of a defense-first team, while Tampa is perceived as being among the leakier teams in the league on defense. How many times have the Caps allowed five or more goals? Fifteen, same as Tampa Bay. On the other hand, only five teams have more shutouts than do the Caps and their goaltenders.
2. Odd number: 3. The number of penalty shot goals scored by the Caps this season, most in the league.
3. In their last nine games, the Caps have lost three in a row, won three in a row, and lost three in a row.
4. If Michal Neuvirth gets the call, it will be his 100th appearance in the NHL, tying him with…wait for it…Semyon Varlamov (until or unless Varlamov then appears in tonight’s Avalanche game against Nashville). He would be the tenth goaltender in Caps history to reach that mark of games played and would be four behind Jose Theodore for ninth place. If you’re curious, he would still be 611 games behind Olaf Kolzig for first place.
5. We finally have a new team leader in assists. Twenty-eight games after Nicklas Backstrom left the lineup due to injury, Dennis Wideman passed him with an assist – his 30th – in the 4-3 overtime loss to Carolina on Tuesday.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Tampa Bay: Brett Clark
If you look up Brett Clark at NHL.com, you will see a picture of a what looks to be a truly miserable player. He might have good cause. Among 285 defensemen to have dressed for games this season, only the Islanders’ Milan Jurcina has a worse plus-minus than Clark’s minus-24. He’s is dead last in road plus-minus at minus-18, one better than teammate Eric Brewer. But before you get too confident about the Caps’ chances to score with Clark on the ice, he is “even” against Southeast Division opponents this season. More to the point, he saves his best, as it were, for the Caps, against whom he is a plus-2 in four games this season. Figures.
Washington: Carlzner
Steven Stamkos comes into this game with goals in each of his last four games (5-1-6) and points in nine of his last ten contests (11-8-19). Since December 12th, he has 32 goals in 37 games (a 71-goal pace), nine of them game winners (Tampa Bay has only 19 total wins in that span). Meanwhile, only five defensemen have been on the ice for more goals against (total) than John Carlson. Karl Alzner is tied for 37th highest number of total goals against on ice. You would have to think that pair is going to see a lot of Stamkos. If they can keep from adding from their goals scored against totals, it will be a good night for the Caps.
Keys:
1. Leave the box empty. Tampa Bay is 9-for-36 (25.0 percent) on the power play in their last ten games. They have only 24 total goals in those ten games. Keep from taking too many penalties, and Tampa’s offense shrinks quite a bit.
2. No kicks on this Route 66. Martin St. Louis has faced the Caps in 66 games in his career. He also happens to have 66 career points (23-43-66). He is the classic version of a Cap Killer (see: 2003 playoffs). And he does it in a variety of ways…four career power play goals, three shorties, four game-winners. You are not going to line him up to get a clean hit on him; he’s too smart and too slick for that. So you have to be aware of him…constantly. Like, start now. Find out what room he’s in at the hotel. Send Hamrlik over there to keep an eye on him.
3. Get ‘em early. As noted above, Tampa Bay has a propensity for giving up early goals – most first period goals allowed in the league. And on top of that, teams have been scoring without the benefit of a lot of shots. In their last six games opponents have scored a total of 25 goals on only 162 shots (27.0/game). A 15.4 percent shooting percentage? Shoot early and often, guys, and this game might be over early.
In the end, if the Caps lose this game, the line between hope and delusion becomes a bit clearer. The Caps would have 15 games left, nine of them on the road, and seven of those against teams ahead of them in the standings, including games at Winnipeg (where the Jets refuse to lose), at Chicago, at Detroit (four losses in regulation at home all season), at Philadelphia, at the Rangers, and twice in Boston. That does not make this a “must win” game (those are reserved for elimination games), but at this point it is a “can’t lose” game.
They won’t.
Capitals 5 – Lightning 2
Desperate: adj \ˈdes-p(ə-)rət, -pərt\
1a . having lost hope (a desperate spirit crying for relief)
b. giving no ground for hope (the outlook was desperate)
2a. moved by despair (victims made desperate by abuse)
b. involving or employing extreme measures in an attempt to escape defeat or frustration (made a desperate leap for the rope)
3. suffering extreme need or anxiety (desperate for money)
4. involving extreme danger or possible disaster (a desperate situation)
5. of extreme intensity
6. shocking, outrageous
Synonyms: despairing, despondent, forlorn, hopeless
Antonyms: hopeful, optimistic
We’re here. Not “must win,” but “can’t lose.” As in, you can’t lose to a team below you in the standings and have much reasonable hope of salvaging the season when you still have nine of your last 14 games against teams ahead of you in the standings.
That is where the Washington Capitals find themselves as they prepare to host the Tampa Bay Lightning in the last game of a five-game home stand. It has been the home stand from hell, one in which the Caps have managed only three standings points earned so far from eight available. Those five points left on the table are the difference between being first in the Southeast Division and third in the Eastern Conference, and ninth place in the conference, out of playoff eligibility.
They can salvage a .500 mark in the home stand if they can get past the Lightning, a team that has roared to life after it seemed at the trading deadline as if it was making plans for next season. Well, maybe not “roared” back to life, but certainly they have dragged themselves back into the playoff conversation upon winning four of their last five games.
But let’s look at their last six games. The first and last contests that bracket this group were disasters for the Lightning, an 8-1 loss to Pittsburgh and a 7-3 loss to Ottawa. In those games the Lightning’s problems were on vivid display, primarily poor goaltending (13 goals on 67 shots, a .806 save percentage) and a propensity to give up early goals (six in the first period of two games combined, adding to their league worst total of 74 goals that they have allowed through games of March 6th).
But then there are those four games in the middle of the six-game set. All of them one-goal wins, two of them in overtime, less awful goaltending (83 saves on 93 shots; .893), and Steven Stamkos going 4-3-7, plus-3 in the four games (he was 1-0-1, minus-4 in the two blowout losses). Here is where the teams stand against one another on the numbers:
(click pic for larger image)
2. Those last six games are the Tampa Bay season in microcosm. Four one-goal wins, two blowout losses. For the season, the Lightning lead the league in one-goal wins (21) and winning percentage (.700). The also happen to be tied for the league lead in losses by three or more goals (16) and have the fifth worst winning percentage in games decided by three or more goals (.333).
3. Special teams on the road are a problem for the Lightning. They have only 15 power play goals on the road for the season. Only five teams have fewer goals. Meanwhile, their 27 power play goals allowed is the third-highest total on the road this season.
4. Only one team in the NHL has carried fewer leads into the second intermission this season than the Lightning (22 times) – Washington (19).
5. Fifteen times this season the Lightning have allowed five or more goals. Ten times they scored five or more goals of their own.
1. Washington is supposed to be something of a defense-first team, while Tampa is perceived as being among the leakier teams in the league on defense. How many times have the Caps allowed five or more goals? Fifteen, same as Tampa Bay. On the other hand, only five teams have more shutouts than do the Caps and their goaltenders.
2. Odd number: 3. The number of penalty shot goals scored by the Caps this season, most in the league.
3. In their last nine games, the Caps have lost three in a row, won three in a row, and lost three in a row.
4. If Michal Neuvirth gets the call, it will be his 100th appearance in the NHL, tying him with…wait for it…Semyon Varlamov (until or unless Varlamov then appears in tonight’s Avalanche game against Nashville). He would be the tenth goaltender in Caps history to reach that mark of games played and would be four behind Jose Theodore for ninth place. If you’re curious, he would still be 611 games behind Olaf Kolzig for first place.
5. We finally have a new team leader in assists. Twenty-eight games after Nicklas Backstrom left the lineup due to injury, Dennis Wideman passed him with an assist – his 30th – in the 4-3 overtime loss to Carolina on Tuesday.
The Peerless’ Players to Ponder
Tampa Bay: Brett Clark
If you look up Brett Clark at NHL.com, you will see a picture of a what looks to be a truly miserable player. He might have good cause. Among 285 defensemen to have dressed for games this season, only the Islanders’ Milan Jurcina has a worse plus-minus than Clark’s minus-24. He’s is dead last in road plus-minus at minus-18, one better than teammate Eric Brewer. But before you get too confident about the Caps’ chances to score with Clark on the ice, he is “even” against Southeast Division opponents this season. More to the point, he saves his best, as it were, for the Caps, against whom he is a plus-2 in four games this season. Figures.
Washington: Carlzner
Steven Stamkos comes into this game with goals in each of his last four games (5-1-6) and points in nine of his last ten contests (11-8-19). Since December 12th, he has 32 goals in 37 games (a 71-goal pace), nine of them game winners (Tampa Bay has only 19 total wins in that span). Meanwhile, only five defensemen have been on the ice for more goals against (total) than John Carlson. Karl Alzner is tied for 37th highest number of total goals against on ice. You would have to think that pair is going to see a lot of Stamkos. If they can keep from adding from their goals scored against totals, it will be a good night for the Caps.
Keys:
1. Leave the box empty. Tampa Bay is 9-for-36 (25.0 percent) on the power play in their last ten games. They have only 24 total goals in those ten games. Keep from taking too many penalties, and Tampa’s offense shrinks quite a bit.
2. No kicks on this Route 66. Martin St. Louis has faced the Caps in 66 games in his career. He also happens to have 66 career points (23-43-66). He is the classic version of a Cap Killer (see: 2003 playoffs). And he does it in a variety of ways…four career power play goals, three shorties, four game-winners. You are not going to line him up to get a clean hit on him; he’s too smart and too slick for that. So you have to be aware of him…constantly. Like, start now. Find out what room he’s in at the hotel. Send Hamrlik over there to keep an eye on him.
3. Get ‘em early. As noted above, Tampa Bay has a propensity for giving up early goals – most first period goals allowed in the league. And on top of that, teams have been scoring without the benefit of a lot of shots. In their last six games opponents have scored a total of 25 goals on only 162 shots (27.0/game). A 15.4 percent shooting percentage? Shoot early and often, guys, and this game might be over early.
In the end, if the Caps lose this game, the line between hope and delusion becomes a bit clearer. The Caps would have 15 games left, nine of them on the road, and seven of those against teams ahead of them in the standings, including games at Winnipeg (where the Jets refuse to lose), at Chicago, at Detroit (four losses in regulation at home all season), at Philadelphia, at the Rangers, and twice in Boston. That does not make this a “must win” game (those are reserved for elimination games), but at this point it is a “can’t lose” game.
They won’t.
Capitals 5 – Lightning 2
Wednesday, March 07, 2012
A ONE-point night -- Game 66: Hurricanes 4 - Capitals 3 (OT)
It was as if you were someone who has not ridden a bicycle in years getting on the seat and trying it once more. There was a familiarity to it, but an uncertainty and an unsteadiness about it, too.
That was the Washington Capitals last night, looking at times like the team that averaged almost four goals a game two years ago, pumping 49 shots at Carolina Hurricanes goalie Cam Ward. But the explosiveness, the ability to overwhelm opponents was not there. Unfortunately, the ability to give up odd-man chances at the other end was, and the Caps fell in overtime to the Hurricanes, 4-3.
It looked good for a while. The Caps outshot the Hurricanes, 17-12, in the first 24:11 and took a 2-0 lead on goals by Troy Brouwer and Jay Beagle. A 2-0 lead, some secondary scoring, goals on second chances – Brouwer by picking up a loose puck off his own shot and tucking it high inside the far post on Ward, Beagle on a rebound of a Dmitry Orlov shot.
And then it fell apart. Carolina got one back just 40 seconds after the Beagle goal on a goal by Jiri Tlusty, who snuck past Brouwer and had an open path to the net and a tap-in off a pass from Jerome Samson. Less than four minutes later, the lead was gone. Tim Gleason fired a shot from the top of the zone that sailed wide. But it caromed hard off the end boards to goalie Michal Neuvirth’s right. Jeff Schultz marked Jeff Skinner as the latter was moving across the crease, but it left a hole that Chad LaRose filled when the puck bounced back. Mike Green did not get back to defend LaRose, and it was a wide open net into which LaRose deposited the puck.
Less than two minutes into the third, the Canes had the lead on one of those “if only” kids of plays. It started when Alex Ovechkin had a clean look at the Carolina net, but was foiled on a wrist shot by Ward. When the loose puck came to the Caps’ blue line, it was bouncing. Dennis Wideman took a swing at it and missed. It was all Brandon Sutter needed to chase down the puck and head in on a breakaway. He didn’t miss, and the Hurricanes had a lead.
At that point it looked grim for the Caps, despite having launched 29 shots at Cam Ward to that point. After the Sutter goal they would send another 14 shots at Ward before hitting on their 15th. Brooks Laich and Marcus Johansson executed a nice give and go, Laich getting the redirect of the return pass past Ward to tie the game with less than three minutes in regulation to tie it.
The Caps didn’t get the second point, though. Four-on-four in overtime means more open ice and the chance that small mistakes will be magnified. It happened to Marcus Johansson three and a half minutes into the extra time. He carried the puck from the Caps’ end into the Carolina zone, but as he crossed the blue line, the puck rolled off his stick. Denis Wideman pinched in to try to pick up the loose puck but missed. Carolina then took possession, and with Johansson and Wideman deep on the play in the Carolina zone, it was Sutter and Justin Faulk on a two-on-one break, Mike Green back for the Caps. Sutter held the puck just long enough, slid it over to Faulk, and Faulk buried it past Neuvirth.
One point gained, one point lost, and the Caps were still wobbling their way down the stretch.
Other stuff…
-- Jay Beagle… a goal, three shots, a hit, a takeaway, and he very nearly had a second goal but for the horn going off at the end of the second period. It would have given the Caps a lead at the intermission. The Caps are 19-0-0 when leading after two periods. If only…
-- You could argue that all four goals for Carolina came on misplays by Caps. Brouwer losing Tlusty on the weak side. Green not getting back into position to defend LaRose after his partner took Skinner. Wideman taking a high-risk swipe at a bouncing puck with only open ice behind him for a breakaway. Johansson, Chimera, and Wideman caught deep in the offensive zone leading to a 2-on-1 at the other end for the game-winner.
-- The flip side of that is that it is hard to say with certainty that there were any of those goals that Neuvirth should have had. But sometimes your goalie has to make a save or two he shouldn’t. And if Neuvirth makes one of those saves on either of the last two goals, everyone might be feeling a whole lot better this morning.
-- Last night was only the 19th time in 66 games in which the Caps led at the first intermission. They had the second highest winning percentage in the league when doing so. Now, they are third (16-1-2).
-- As if it is not bad enough the Caps’ power play has gone dim, they are not getting any opportunities. With one power play awarded to them last night (unsuccessful) the Caps have had only eight power play opportunities in their last five games. They are 0-for-14 in their last six games.
-- The Caps had shots from everywhere and everyone. Four Caps had at least five shots on goal: Brooks Laich (seven), John Carlson (six), Alex Ovechkin and Jason Chimera (five each). Only Keith Aucoin and Jeff Schultz did not have a shot on goal.
-- One of the things that helped sink the Caps was doing as poorly as they did in the faceoff circle. The Caps were 27-for-71 (38.0 percent). Brooks Laich was 8-for-15 in the defensive end but only 1-for-10 in the offensive end (9-for-27 overall).
-- It is one thing to be angry over what you perceive as being slew-footed. It is another to shove an official who is trying to keep you from getting at the player you think did it. Hopefully, Dmitry Orlov learned something when he spent his 12 minutes of quiet time. He was the only Caps defenseman not on ice for a goal against, though, so there is that.
-- Alex Ovechkin finished the season series against Carolina with no goal in six games, the second time in three years he has gone oh-fer against the Hurricanes in the season series.
-- With this loss the Caps are now 4-5-2 in their last 11 games on home ice. Three of the losses have been by shutout.
In the end, it is a point not earned. Four games of a five-game home stand and three points earned. The Caps have not won a game in regulation time on their own ice in the home stand. Blowing a 2-0 lead on home ice is not the profile of a team fighting desperately for a playoff berth. And there is no cavalry coming to the rescue. They are going to have to do it themselves and do it largely on the road, because they have squandered five points at home in the past eight days – five points that would have had them in first place in the Southeast Division.
How many times can a playoff spot be handed to this team and have it turn those chances down?
That was the Washington Capitals last night, looking at times like the team that averaged almost four goals a game two years ago, pumping 49 shots at Carolina Hurricanes goalie Cam Ward. But the explosiveness, the ability to overwhelm opponents was not there. Unfortunately, the ability to give up odd-man chances at the other end was, and the Caps fell in overtime to the Hurricanes, 4-3.
It looked good for a while. The Caps outshot the Hurricanes, 17-12, in the first 24:11 and took a 2-0 lead on goals by Troy Brouwer and Jay Beagle. A 2-0 lead, some secondary scoring, goals on second chances – Brouwer by picking up a loose puck off his own shot and tucking it high inside the far post on Ward, Beagle on a rebound of a Dmitry Orlov shot.
And then it fell apart. Carolina got one back just 40 seconds after the Beagle goal on a goal by Jiri Tlusty, who snuck past Brouwer and had an open path to the net and a tap-in off a pass from Jerome Samson. Less than four minutes later, the lead was gone. Tim Gleason fired a shot from the top of the zone that sailed wide. But it caromed hard off the end boards to goalie Michal Neuvirth’s right. Jeff Schultz marked Jeff Skinner as the latter was moving across the crease, but it left a hole that Chad LaRose filled when the puck bounced back. Mike Green did not get back to defend LaRose, and it was a wide open net into which LaRose deposited the puck.
Less than two minutes into the third, the Canes had the lead on one of those “if only” kids of plays. It started when Alex Ovechkin had a clean look at the Carolina net, but was foiled on a wrist shot by Ward. When the loose puck came to the Caps’ blue line, it was bouncing. Dennis Wideman took a swing at it and missed. It was all Brandon Sutter needed to chase down the puck and head in on a breakaway. He didn’t miss, and the Hurricanes had a lead.
At that point it looked grim for the Caps, despite having launched 29 shots at Cam Ward to that point. After the Sutter goal they would send another 14 shots at Ward before hitting on their 15th. Brooks Laich and Marcus Johansson executed a nice give and go, Laich getting the redirect of the return pass past Ward to tie the game with less than three minutes in regulation to tie it.
The Caps didn’t get the second point, though. Four-on-four in overtime means more open ice and the chance that small mistakes will be magnified. It happened to Marcus Johansson three and a half minutes into the extra time. He carried the puck from the Caps’ end into the Carolina zone, but as he crossed the blue line, the puck rolled off his stick. Denis Wideman pinched in to try to pick up the loose puck but missed. Carolina then took possession, and with Johansson and Wideman deep on the play in the Carolina zone, it was Sutter and Justin Faulk on a two-on-one break, Mike Green back for the Caps. Sutter held the puck just long enough, slid it over to Faulk, and Faulk buried it past Neuvirth.
One point gained, one point lost, and the Caps were still wobbling their way down the stretch.
Other stuff…
-- Jay Beagle… a goal, three shots, a hit, a takeaway, and he very nearly had a second goal but for the horn going off at the end of the second period. It would have given the Caps a lead at the intermission. The Caps are 19-0-0 when leading after two periods. If only…
-- You could argue that all four goals for Carolina came on misplays by Caps. Brouwer losing Tlusty on the weak side. Green not getting back into position to defend LaRose after his partner took Skinner. Wideman taking a high-risk swipe at a bouncing puck with only open ice behind him for a breakaway. Johansson, Chimera, and Wideman caught deep in the offensive zone leading to a 2-on-1 at the other end for the game-winner.
-- The flip side of that is that it is hard to say with certainty that there were any of those goals that Neuvirth should have had. But sometimes your goalie has to make a save or two he shouldn’t. And if Neuvirth makes one of those saves on either of the last two goals, everyone might be feeling a whole lot better this morning.
-- Last night was only the 19th time in 66 games in which the Caps led at the first intermission. They had the second highest winning percentage in the league when doing so. Now, they are third (16-1-2).
-- As if it is not bad enough the Caps’ power play has gone dim, they are not getting any opportunities. With one power play awarded to them last night (unsuccessful) the Caps have had only eight power play opportunities in their last five games. They are 0-for-14 in their last six games.
-- The Caps had shots from everywhere and everyone. Four Caps had at least five shots on goal: Brooks Laich (seven), John Carlson (six), Alex Ovechkin and Jason Chimera (five each). Only Keith Aucoin and Jeff Schultz did not have a shot on goal.
-- One of the things that helped sink the Caps was doing as poorly as they did in the faceoff circle. The Caps were 27-for-71 (38.0 percent). Brooks Laich was 8-for-15 in the defensive end but only 1-for-10 in the offensive end (9-for-27 overall).
-- It is one thing to be angry over what you perceive as being slew-footed. It is another to shove an official who is trying to keep you from getting at the player you think did it. Hopefully, Dmitry Orlov learned something when he spent his 12 minutes of quiet time. He was the only Caps defenseman not on ice for a goal against, though, so there is that.
-- Alex Ovechkin finished the season series against Carolina with no goal in six games, the second time in three years he has gone oh-fer against the Hurricanes in the season series.
-- With this loss the Caps are now 4-5-2 in their last 11 games on home ice. Three of the losses have been by shutout.
In the end, it is a point not earned. Four games of a five-game home stand and three points earned. The Caps have not won a game in regulation time on their own ice in the home stand. Blowing a 2-0 lead on home ice is not the profile of a team fighting desperately for a playoff berth. And there is no cavalry coming to the rescue. They are going to have to do it themselves and do it largely on the road, because they have squandered five points at home in the past eight days – five points that would have had them in first place in the Southeast Division.
How many times can a playoff spot be handed to this team and have it turn those chances down?
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