Record: 2-1-0
When the Caps ended Week 8 by dropping a decision to the Toronto
Maple Leafs by their largest goal margin of the season (6-2), they had the look
of a team that was lethargic and lacking focus.
Then the Caps fell behind the Vancouver Canucks, 3-1, in the second
period of their first contest of Week 9, it looked as if the Caps were in a
full dive. Starting with John Carlson’s
goal late in that second period, though, the Caps outscored opponents, 8-3 over
the next seven-plus periods of hockey and won or tied each of the six periods
in the last two games of the week.
Offense: 3.00/game
(season: 2.81/game; rank: 11th)
Week 9 was a strange one, considering that the Caps averaged
a healthy three goals per game. None of
the nine goals for the week were recorded by the top line. The Nicklas Backstrom-Alex Ovechkin-Tom
Wilson line finished the week with two assists (one for Backstrom, one for
Wilson). The threesome combined for a
total of 16 shots on goal in three games, and unexpectedly low share of the 82
shots on goal the team recorded for the week.
On the other hand, the Caps got scoring from some unexpected
sources. Jay Beagle had goals in each of
the two games to end the week, the first time in his career he scored goals in
consecutive games. Brooks Laich scored a
pair, his first two goals of the season.
John Carlson had a two-goal game, the first multi-goal game of his
career. Add in single goals by Karl
Alzner (breaking a 42-game streak without one), Evgeny Kuznetsov (promoted from
the fourth line to the second in place of scratched Andre Burakovsky against
New Jersey), and Eric Fehr (breaking his own six-game streak without a goal),
and it was a week for the support troops.
Defense: 2.00/game (season: 2.65/game; rank: T-16th)
It was something of an odd week for the Caps and a lesson in
looking at numbers at too high a level.
Looking at the possession numbers at 5-on-5, the Caps had their best
game of the week in their lone loss, finishing with a 55.88 Corsi-for
percentage in their 4-3 loss to Vancouver.
Their worst game of the week came against the New Jersey Devils – a 37.50
Corsi-for percentage at 5-on-5 (numbers from war-on-ice.com).
That New Jersey game dropped the Caps from a 53.74 Corsi-for percentage for the
first two games of the week at 5-on-5 to 49.01.
When tied, though, the numbers behaved as one might have expected. The Caps were below 50 percent against the
Canucks (49.06), while they did well in their two wins (58.06 against Carolina,
52.08 against New Jersey).
As for the on-ice damage, 15 different Caps were on ice for
goals against in Week 9. John Carlson,
Brooks Orpik, and Troy Brouwer were victims of three of the six goals against
for the week. In the case of Carlson and
Orpik, all of them came in the 4-3 loss to Vancouver, all of them on the
penalty kill. Brouwer was the victim on
the penalty kill twice in that game. The
only Caps to find themselves on ice for even strength goals against in Week 9
were Matt Niskanen, Karl Alzner, and Andre Burakovsky, each on ice for two
goals against.
Goaltending: 2.02 GAA / .938 SV (season: 2.58 / .905 / 1 SO)
It was another good week for Braden Holtby. In what has been an inconsistent season for
the Caps, Holtby is settling into a consistent rhythm. Consider his last four weeks:
- Week 6: 1-1-0, 1.52, .944
- Week 7: 2-1-0, 1.65, .937
- Week 8: 1-1-1, 3.32, .893
- Week 9: 2-1-0, 2.02, .938
In his last dozen decisions Holtby is 7-4-1, 2.11, .930. It has lifted him into 14th place
in goals-against average overall (2.34) and 22nd in save percentage
(.916). What set Week 9 apart for Holtby
was his even-strength save percentage.
Stopping 81 of 84 even strength shots (.964 save percentage) lifted him
into 16th place in even strength save percentage among 38 goalies
appearing in at least 10 games.
The flip side of this is that Justin Peters has not started
and finished a game since November 15th, a span of nine games and 21
days. Given the importance of the
upcoming schedule (ten Eastern Conference games to end the calendar year, seven
of them against division rivals), Holtby is likely to be leaned on
heavily. That he is in a good place,
consistency-wise, is a good sign as the Caps plunge ahead with that schedule,
but Peters needs to demonstrate he can provide reliable relief, too.
Power Play: 1-for-5 / 20.0 percent (season: 28.2 percent;
rank: 2nd)
Three games, five chances, one goal. In no game did the Caps have as many as three
power play opportunities. Since November
1st, the Caps have had two or fewer power play opportunities nine
times in 17 games, and only Boston has had fewer power play opportunities
overall (66) than the Caps (71). Too
much of anything is a bad thing, or so the story goes, but the Caps haven’t had
enough man advantages to make their power play the advantage in games that it
could be.
Although Week 9 was an efficient week in one respect – 20.0
percent, making it eight weeks in nine that the Caps were 20 percent or better –
it was not in others. The Caps were
1-for-7 shooting in 9:46 in total power play time. The takeaway number here might be “1.” Alex Ovechkin managed one power play shot on
goal in 9:27 of power play ice time. It
would be Nicklas Backstrom and Evgeny Kuznetsov leading the team in shots with
two apiece (Kuznetsov getting the lone goal).
What makes this worthy of notice?
Those guys play the right wing wall on the power play, suggesting that
teams are giving away the shot from that side to prevent the back door
one-timers to Ovechkin.
Penalty Killing: 3-for-6 / 50.0 percent (season: 75.3
percent; rank: 28th)
The Good… denying the Carolina Hurricanes as much as a
single power play opportunity and allowing the New Jersey Devils only two to
end the week.
The Bad… the second straight week that the Caps were at or
below 50 percent on penalty killing overall.
The Ugly… allowing the Vancouver Canucks three power play
goals on six shots in 4:48 of power play time in the first game of Week 9.
As a Caps fan one would like to take away the fact that the
week ended a lot better than the way it started. It does not hide the fact that the Caps
finished the week 28th in the league in penalty killing, and Braden
Holtby is 27th of 38 goalies appearing in ten or more games in
shorthanded save percentage (.855). It
is not that he has faced uncommon shot burdens.
He is 23rd among that group of goaltenders in total power
play shots faced (76). If there is an
aspect of Holby’s game that can use some shoring up, this is it. He is, after all as they say, often required
to be the team’s best penalty killer.
Even Strength Goals For/Goals Against: 8-3 / plus-5 (season,
5-on-5 goals for/goals against ratio: 0.96; rank: T-19th)
It was a very good week for the Caps in this regard. They upped their total number of 5-on-5 goals
for the season by more than 15 percent (from 38 to 44).
They also displayed a consistency on the other side of the ledger, allowing
just one even-strength goal in each of the three games. They won or tied in even strength goals in each of the three games as well. If that is a trend, it would be a good one to have, if the Caps can maintain a dominant power play and improve their penalty killing.
Faceoffs: 94-for-189 / 49.7 percent (season: 50.7 percent; rank: 13th)
Week 9 was a bit of an odd week in the circle for the
Caps. Sure, Nicklas Backstrom took the
lion’s share of the total draws (69 of 189, of which he won 37: 53.6 percent),
he usually does. It was the rest of the
team that looked a bit odd. Eric Fehr,
the converted winger, took the second highest number of faceoffs (43, inning 20
for a 46.5 percent win share). The
second line? The week split between
Andre Burakovsky and Evgeny Kuznetsov in that role, but between them they took
only 16 faceoffs, winning seven (43.8 percent). Meanwhile, there was Michael Latta taking 26
draws from the fourth line, winning 12 (46.2 percent). It was quite a bit to go on in a week in
which the Caps were one draw under 50 percent.
Goals by Period:
The Caps came into the week as a team that did not perform
as well late as they did early in games.
Going into Week 9 the Caps were a minus-5 in goal differential in the
third periods of games. What they did
was win the third periods, 3-2, and the second periods for good measure,
4-2. That was the difference in the week
for the Caps, who got the game-winning goal late in the third period of their
win over Carolina (nullifying the goal the Hurricanes scored earlier in the
period to tie the game) and getting a pair in the second period against the
Devils to put New Jersey behind the eight-ball going into the last 20 minutes,
down 3-1 in what would be a 4-1 Caps win.
It was evidence, at least late in the week, of playing the “60 minute
game” with more focus.
In the end…
Maybe Week 9 was a tease, maybe it was the first step in
that long-awaited winning streak the Caps have hinted at from time to time (and
failed to produce). Either way, closing
the week outscoring opponents 6-2 in two games, being perfect in limited
shorthanded situations faced (2-for-2), and getting a power play goal in four
opportunities, while finishing on the good side of the close-score possession
numbers is what you are looking for to sustain a level of success. And, the Caps did this largely without much
in the way of offensive contributions from it first line. In that lies a caution. Secondary scoring is “secondary” for a
reason. Sustaining a level of success
will be difficult if the “primary” scoring is lacking. That will be something to look for in Week
10.
Three Stars:
- First Star: John Carlson (2-2-4, plus-6, 23:32 average ice time)
- Second Star: Braden Holtby (2-1-0, 2.02, .938)
- Third Star: Jay Beagle (2-0-2, one game-winning goal, tied career high in goals scored, season (4))
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