Tuesday, June 23, 2015

The Peerless Prognosticator Brings You the Most Mocktentatious of 2015 Mock Drafts


It is the last week of June, not quite Shark Week as weeks go, but to NHL fans it is "Hope Week.”  Fans of all 30 teams will be waiting fervently, hoping that when their team is called to the podium, the powers that be will announce a name that will change the fortunes of their club for the better.  Part of this week’s traditions is the publishing of mock drafts.  Far be it from the cousins or I to trivialize traditions, so we will present with all due modesty our own prognostications for the first round of the NHL entry draft in Sunrise, Florida, this Friday evening.  So cut yourself a slice of mock apple pie, and pour yourself an alcohol-free beer, and take a look at what the cousins and I came up with.


1.  Edmonton Oilers: Connor McDavid, Center, Erie Otters (OHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Leon Draisaitl, C (3rd overall)
  • 2013: Darnell Nurse, D (7th overall)
  • 2012: Nail Yakupov, RW (1st overall)

Since 2007, the Oilers have had seven top-ten draft picks, four in the top-five, and three top overall picks.  Since 2007-2008, Edmonton has not finished a season with more than 41 wins, have not finished better than third in their division, and have not made the playoffs so much as once.  You would think they cannot screw this up, picking the most highly thought of amateur since Sidney Crosby, but in the back of your mind you might be thinking that somehow they will.


2.  Buffalo Sabres: Jack Eichel, Center, Boston University (NCAA)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Sam Reinhart, C (2nd overall)
  • 2013: Rasmus Ristolainen, D (8th overall)
  • 2012: Mikhail Grigorenko, C (12th overall)

In each of the last five drafts the Sabres picked from a successively higher position in the first round.  For the second straight year they get to pick second overall.  In two of the last three drafts they went for centers with their first pick, but this time they get to take a center who would be the unquestioned top pick but for the fact that this is the Connor McDavid draft.


3.  Arizona Coyotes: Dylan Strome, Center, Erie Otters (OHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Brendan Perlini, LW (12th overall)
  • 2013: Max Domi, C (12th overall)
  • 2012: Henrik Samuelsson, C (27th overall)

The draft will be something of a sanctuary for Coyote fans that once more have to endure the machinations of arena politics.  This will be the Coyotes’ first top-five pick since they took Kyle Turris with the third overall pick in 2007.  After taking defensemen in the first round in three straight years ending in 2011, they have gone for forwards in each of the last three years.  They could go for defenseman Noah Hanafin here, but they won’t.


4.  Toronto Maple Leafs: Noah Hanafin, Defense, Boston College (NCAA)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: William Nylander, C (8th overall)
  • 2013: Frederik Gauthier, C (21st overall)
  • 2012: Morgan Rielly, D (5th overall)

After taking centers in each of the last two drafts with the first pick available to them, the Maple Leafs look for blue line help.  The odd thing here is that Toronto has never spent a first-round pick on an NCAA player.  Hanafin just completed his freshman season with Boston College.


5.  Carolina Hurricanes: Mitch Marner, Center. London Knights (OHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Haydn Fleury, D (7th overall)
  • 2013: Elias Lindholm, C (5th overall)
  • 2012: Phil DiGiuseppe, F (38th overall)

A few years back, Carolina did pretty well at the top of the draft.  Jeff Skinner and Justin Faulk in 2010, Victor Rask in 2011, Elias Lindholm in 2013.  More to the point, they have done somewhat better drafting forwards than defensemen, Faulk notwithstanding.  They will get a chance to add to that success here.


6.  New Jersey Devils: Ivan Provorov, Defense, Brandon Wheat Kings (WHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: John Quenneville, C (30th overall)
  • 2013: Steven Santini, D (42nd)
  • 2012: Stefan Matteau, LW 29th overall)



7.  Philadelphia Flyers: Lawson Crouse, Left Wing, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Travis Sanheim, D (17th overall)
  • 2013: Samuel Morin, D (11th overall)
  • 2012: Scott Laughlin, LW (20th overall)



8.  Columbus Blue Jackets: Mikko Rantanen, RW (TPS/SM Liga)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Sonny Milano, LW (16th overall)
  • 2013: Alexander Wennberg, C (14th overall)
  • 2012: Ryan Murray, D (2nd overall)



9.  San Jose Sharks: Pavel Zacha, Center, Sarnia Sting (OHL)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Nikolay Goldobin, RW (27th overall)
  • 2013: Mirco Mueller, D (18th overall)
  • 2012: Tomas Hertl, LW (17th overall)



10.  Colorado Avalanche: Zach Werenski, Defense, University of Michigan (NCAA)

Last three first draft picks:
  • 2014: Conner Bleackeley, C (23rd overall)
  • 2013: Nathan MacKinnon, C (1st overall)
  • 2012: Mitchell Heard, C (41st overall)



11.  Florida Panthers: Matthew Barzal, Center, Seattle Thunderbirds, WHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Aaron Ekblad, D (1st overall)
  • 2013: Aleksander Barkov, C (2nd overall)
  • 2012: Michael Matheson, D (23rd overall)



12.  Dallas Stars: Kyle Conor, Left Wing/Center (USHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Julius Honka, D (14th overall)
  • 2013: Valeri Nichuskhin, RW (10th overall)
  • 2012: Radek Faksam, C (13th overall)



13.  Los Angeles Kings: Timo Meier, Right Wing, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Adrian Kempe, LW (29th overall)
  • 2013: Valentin Zykov, RW (37th overall)
  • 2012: Tanner Pearson, LW (30th overall)



14.  Boston Bruins: Travis Konecny, Right Wing, Ottawa 67's (OHL))

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: David Pastrnak, LW (25th overall)
  • 2013: Linus Arnesson, D (60th overall)
  • 2012: Malcolm Subban, G (24th overall)



15.  Calgary Flames: Ilya Samsonov, Goaltender, Magnitogorsk (MHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Sam Bennett, C (4th overall)
  • 2013: Sean Monahan, C (6th overall)
  • 2012: Mark Jankowski, C (21st overall)



16.  Edmonton Oilers (from Pittsburgh): Jakub Zboril, Defense, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Leon Draisaitl, C (3rd overall)
  • 2013: Darnell Nurse, D (7th overall)
  • 2012: Nail Yakupov, RW (1st overall)



17.  Winnipeg Jets: Nick Merkley, Center/Right Wing, Kelowna Rockets (WHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Nikolaj Ehlers, LW (9th overall)
  • 2013: Josh Morrissey, D (13th overall)
  • 2012: Jacob Trouba, D (9th overall)



18.  Ottawa Senators: Thomas Chabot, Defense, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Andreas Englund, D (40th overall)
  • 2013: Curtis Lazar, C (17th overall)
  • 2012: Cody Ceci, D (15th overall)



19.  Detroit Red Wings: Evgeni Svechnikov, Center, Cape Breton (QMJHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Dylan Larkin, C (15th overall)
  • 2013: Anthony Mantha, RW (20th overall)
  • 2012: Martin Frk, RW (49th overall)



20.  Minnesota Wild: Jacob Larsson, Defense, Frolunda (Swe-J20)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Alex Tuch, RW (18th overall)
  • 2013: Gustav Olofsson, D (46th overall)
  • 2012: Matthew Dumba, D (7th overall)



21. Buffalo Sabres (from New York Islanders): Paul Bittner, Left Wing, Portland Winterhawks (WHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Sam Reinhart, C (2nd overall)
  • 2013: Rasmus Ristolainen, D (8th overall)
  • 2012: Mikhail Grigorenko, C (12th overall)



22.  Washington Capitals: Joel Eriksson Ek, Center, Farjestad (SWE-SHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Jakub Vrana, LW (13th overall)
  • 2013: Andre Burakovsky, LW (23rd overall)
  • 2012: Filip Forsberg, C (11th overall)

Starting in 2006, when the Capitals selected Nicklas Backstrom fourth overall, Washington drafted players on Swedish teams with their first pick in the first round six times in eight drafts (for the record: Backstrom, Anton Gustafsson, Marcus Johansson, Filip Forsberg, Andre Burakovsky, and Jakub Vrana).  All of them are forwards.  Only twice in the last 12 drafts have the Caps selected a defenseman with the first pick available to them: Karl Alzner in 2007 and Sasha Pokulok in 2005.  Picking a forward from Sweden would hardly be an outside-the-box pick here.


23.  Vancouver Canucks: Jeremy Roy, Defense, Sherbrooke Phoenix (QMJHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Jake Virtanen, RW (6th overall)
  • 2013: Bo Horvat, C (9th overall)
  • 2012: Brendan Gaunce, C (26th overall)



24.  Toronto Maple Leafs (from Nashville): Colin White, Center (USHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: William Nylander, C (8th overall)
  • 2013: Frederik Gauthier, C (21st overall)
  • 2012: Morgan Rielly, D (5th overall)



25.  Winnipeg Jets (from Buffalo from St. Louis): Denis Guryanov, Right Wing, Togliatti (MHL)
  • 2014: Nikolaj Ehlers, LW (9th overall)
  • 2013: Josh Morrissey, D (13th overall)
  • 2012: Jacob Trouba, D (9th overall)



26.  Montreal Canadiens: Oliver Kylington, Defense, Farjestad (SHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Nikita Scherbak, RW (26th overall)
  • 2013: Michael McCarron, RW (25th overall)
  • 2012: Alex Galchenyuk, C (3rd overall)



27.  Anaheim Ducks: Jeremy Bracco, Right Wing (USHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Nick Ritchie, LW (10th overall)
  • 2013: Shea Theodore, D (26th overall)
  • 2012: Hampus Lindholm, D (6th overall)



28.  Tampa Bay Lightning (from New York Rangers): Brandon Carlo, Defense, Tri-City Americans (WHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Anthony DeAngelo, D (19th overall)
  • 2013: Jonathan Drouin, LW (3rd overall)
  • 2012: Slater Koekkoek, D (10th overall)



29.   Philadelphia Flyers (from Tampa Bay): Gabriel Carlsson, Defense, Linkoping (SWE-J20)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Travis Sanheim, D (17th overall)
  • 2013: Samuel Morin, D (11th overall)
  • 2012: Scott Laughlin, LW (20th overall)



30.  Arizona Coyotes (from Chicago): Noah Juulsen, Defense, Everett Silvertips (WHL)

Last three first picks:
  • 2014: Brendan Perlini, LW (12th overall)
  • 2013: Max Domi, C (12th overall)
  • 2012: Henrik Samuelsson, C (27th overall)


And there you have it.  Thirty young men whose dreams will come true this weekend.  Thirty general managers having put their futures in the hands of 18-year olds.  Think of it as teenagers’ revenge.

As always, do not use these picks for cash wagering, only for lining the birdcage.


2 comments:

crowesnest said...

Might just be me, but this better be a good draft class. The dearth of real NHL caliber players the last three drafts is frightening.

RY said...

I sincerely hope the Caps take Kylington if he drops, but I don't think they'll be able to pass up on a Swedish forward.