Week 22 was a cold splash of reality for the Washington
Capitals as they took their annual trip to the west coast. They found out that
in an 82 game season, no team is immune from an off week, even a team threatening
to lap the field in the standings.
Record: 1-1-1
If you are going to put a bow on Week 22, it was just the
third non-winning week (by standings points) for the Caps this season, and one
of the others was a one-game week shortened by a game that was postponed due to
Winter Storm Jonas in Week 16. The week
was spent entirely in the Pacific time zone, the Caps taking their annual
California spin. While we do not wish
they all could be California games, the Caps having a history of struggles in
the Golden State, this was the third consecutive season in which they did not
post a losing record on their three-game sojourn.
If you are not inclined to dress this week up in a bow, then
you realize that the Caps are now 5-4-1 in their last ten games. As of Sunday morning, this is the 12th-best
ten-game record in the league (tied with Chicago, another team with Stanley Cup
designs, so there is that). Then there
is the record against their cohort – playoff-eligible teams. In their last 11 contests against teams
currently eligible for the postseason, the Caps are 6-4-1.
Offense: 2.00/game
(season: 3.16 /game; rank: 2nd)
Hitters go through slumps in baseball, shooters go through
slumps in basketball, quarterbacks go through spells when they couldn’t hit the
ocean from a boat with a pass. So it is
with hockey players. There are times
when the puck just doesn’t find its way to the back of the net. So it was in Week 22 for Washington, which
managed just six goals on 89 shots on goal for the week. A 6.7 percent shooting week from a team with
the likes of team goal-scoring leader Alex Ovechkin (no goals on 11 shots), second-ranked
goal scorer (coming into Week 22) Evgeny Kuznetsov (no goals on seven shots), and
Marcus Johansson (no goals on five shots; we will get to him in a moment) is
unusual. But better the slumps be
dispatched now than having to deal with them a month from now.
Johansson is a bit of an odd case in Week 22. All five of his shots on goal for the week
came in the middle game, the 4-3 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Kings. It was his second-highest shot total for the
season, matching his five-shot effort (also with no goals) against Colorado on
November 21st and exceeded by a seven-shot game against Buffalo on
December 30th. Johansson
finished the week with no shots on goal in three of his last four games, and he
had just nine shot attempts in more than 46 minutes of ice time, including those five shots on goal against Los Angeles.
Defense: 3.33/game (season: 2.34 /game; rank: 3rd)
Slow starts in Week 22 manifested themselves in high shot
volumes in the first period. The Caps
were outshot overall by a 34-23 margin in the first 20 minutes of games, and
this reflected the underlying possession numbers as well. In the three first periods of the week, the
Caps were out-attempted at 5-on-5 by a 50-38 margin (43.2 percent
Corsi-for). The Caps did do better in
the final 40 minutes of games, allowing 23 shots in the second periods of the
contests and 24 in the third periods, but they found themselves too often, as
has been the case too often over the last month, letting teams dominate early
in games.
The odd part of Week 21 with respect to those possession
numbers is that over the three games, the total number of Corsi events per 60
minutes varied in a small range – 107.0 to 108.3, a little more than one shot
attempt per 60 minutes across the three games.
The Caps were dominated in the split of those relatively equal numbers
in two of the games, 61.7 to 46.6 attempts per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 against
Anaheim and 58.9 to 49.3 against San Jose.
They did much better in the middle game of the week, 60.5 to 46.5
against the Kings, the top possession team in the league (numbers from war-on-ice.com).
Goaltending: 2.90 /.894 (season: 2.22 / .922 / 2 shutouts)
Week 22 was not a good week overall for the
goaltenders. Usually, when there has
been an off week, it was a case of Braden Holtby having a hiccup, but backup
Philipp Grubauer doing well in relief.
This week, both netminders struggled to an extent. Braden Holtby was 1-0-1 for the week, with a
2.34 goals against average and a .913 save percentage. Philipp Grubauer finally had an off night
afteralmost three months of solid play as a backup to or in relief of Holtby. The four goals he allowed on 27 shots against
San Jose in the last game of the week was the first time he allowed more than
three goals in a contest since he allowed four goals on 18 shots against
Florida on February 2nd and just the second time he did so since
allowing four goals on 23 shots in his first appearance of the season back on
October 23rd against Edmonton.
Holtby is more of a concern than Grubauer, though. In his last 20 appearances he has a fine
win-loss record of 13-4-2. However, he
has a goals against average of 2.89 and a save percentage of .901. That save percentage is of particular
concern. Think of it this way. There are 37 goalies this season to have
logged more than 1,500 minutes of ice time.
Only one – Toronto’s Jonathan Bernier – has a save percentage lower than
.901.
Power Play: 2-for-8 / 25.0 percent (season: 23.8 percent;
rank: 2nd)
There was nothing particularly wrong with the power play in
Week 22, but it came up short at the wrong times, specifically in the last game
of the week in San Jose. Overall, the
Caps scored power play goals in two of the three games of the week (including
that game in San Jose), extending a run in which they scored a power play to
seven times in nine games (8-for-26/30.8 percent).
The Caps were efficient enough, recording two goals on 12
total power play shots on goal in 11:55 of power play ice time. But there was an unevenness to it, too. T.J. Oshie scored the only power play goals
of the week on three total shots. Alex
Ovechkin was blanked on four shots on goal, and four other Caps came up empty
on single shots apiece.
That game against San Jose was one that left a bad taste in
one’s mouth with respect to the power play.
The Caps did score a 5-on-3 goal, their third 5-on-3 goal of the
season. However, they did not convert
the ensuing 5-on-4, and they allowed a shorthanded goal on another power
play. Those were the momentum killers
that kept the Caps from climbing all the way out of the holes they kept digging
by falling behind the Sharks, and it helped send them to their only regulation
loss of the week.
Penalty Killing: 7-for-9 / 75.0 percent (season: 84.2
percent; rank: 4th)
The Caps finished Week 22 under 80 percent on the penalty
kill for the first time since Week 17 and for just the fourth time this season. They allowed power play goals in the last two
games of the week. Not coincidentally,
they came in losses. In fact, the Caps
have now lost the last four games in which they allowed a power play goal
(0-3-1).
It was an efficient week for the penalty killers, who
allowed opponents just nine shots on goal in 15:25 of shorthanded ice
time. And in neither instance of an
opponent goal could it be a called a case of defensive breakdowns. Against Los Angeles, an Alec Martinez shot
hit a stick and two skates before finding the back of the net, and against San
Jose it was more a case of goalie Philipp Grubauer misplaying a Joe Pavelski
shot into a goal than a breakdown in front of him. The penalty killers probably deserved a
better fate than a 75 percent week.
Faceoffs: 72-for-175 / 41.1 percent (season: 49.5% / rank: 20th)
Woof! The Caps were
awful in the circle for the week. They
were below 50 percent in all three games, they were below 50 percent in all
three zones, and no Capital taking ten or more draws finished the week above 50
percent. The best they could manage in
any game was 43.9 percent against the Kings.
The best they could manage in any zone was 45.5 percent in the offensive
zone. And, Nicklas Backstrom was the
best the Caps could do among players with ten or more draws taken, finishing
the week 23-for-54 (42.6 percent). It
was a grim week in this area of the game.
Goals by Period:
About those slow starts… recording no goals in any first
period and allowing five goals to opponents made for a difficult week, always
having to climb out of a hole.
Washington allowed at least one goal in the first period in each game of
the week, part of a skid in which they have allowed the first goal of the game
13 times in 15 games and getting outscored in the first period by a combined
17-4 margin.
That the Caps eked out close positive differentials in the
second and third periods did little to make up for the slow starts, but at
least they continue to be dominant in those periods, finishing the week with goal
differentials of plus-28 in the second period and plus-33 in the third period
for the season. The fact that they are a
minus-6 in the first period is something that jumps out from the score sheet,
though, and is perhaps the most important thing to be addressed as the Caps
head into the final stages of the regular season.
In the end…
The Capitals are not the dominating team that they were over
the first 50-60 games of the season.
Their last ten games have been plagued by slow starts and uneven
goaltending. Important players are in a
bit of a rut – Alex Ovechkin and Braden Holtby being the noteworthy culprits
here. But they are hardly alone. The third line of Marcus Johansson, Tom
Wilson, and Jason Chimera had one point for the week, and that was a power play
assist by Johansson. That group has not
had a goal since Wilson had one against Pittsburgh on March 1st. It is not a team that is firing on all
cylinders lately. One can wave this away
with the thought that perhaps everyone is getting this out of their systems at
the same time, and better now than in April.
But it will make next week one to watch with a measure of concern as the
Caps have an opportunity to turn things around with a pair of home games. The team with the league’s best home record
(26-6-2) needs to take advantage of the schedule to get back on track.
Three Stars:
- First Star: T.J. Oshie (2-1-3, minus-2, 2 PPG, 9 shots on goal, 4 hits)
- Second Star: Nicklas Backstrom (1-1-2, minus-1, GW shootout goal, 7 shots on goal
- Third Star: Evgeny Kuznetsov (0-3-3, even, 7 shots on goal)