Friday, September 09, 2016

Washington Capitals 2016-2017 Previews -- Forwards: Andre Burakovsky

Andre Burakovsky

“Good habits formed at youth make all the difference.”
-- Aristotle


When last we met Andre Burakovsky, he was having a devil (or a Flyer, or a Penguin) of a time trying to get his offensive game untracked in the postseason.  In 12 postseason games last spring, he had one point (a goal in a 4-3 Game 1 win over Pittsburgh in the second round).  Almost as much as the lack of points was the lack of offensive aggression.  He had 16 shots on goal in 12 games, which seems a bit light for a scoring winger.  He did not record his first shot on goal of the playoffs until Game 4 of the opening round against Philadelphia.

It was a disappointing end to what was a rather pleasant sophomore year for Burakovsky.  He appeared in 79 games and almost doubled his goal (17 to 9), assist (21 to 13), and points production (38 to 22) over his rookie season.  He almost doubled his shots on goal (126 to 65 as a rookie) and lifted his shots on goal per game by almost 30 percent (from 1.23 to 1.59).  He even received as many Lady Byng Trophy votes as teammate Nicklas Backstrom (okay, each got one fifth-place vote).

He even endured a two-game benching without undue harm to his confidence, although it did take him a little while longer to get going as far as points production was concerned.  In his last 47 games of the regular season he went 15-15-30, a healthy 50-plus points rate over a full season. 

On the other hand, Burakovsky was not an especially impressive possession player.  He finished smack in the middle – seventh – of 13 forwards with at least 250 minutes of ice time in Corsi-for (51.5 percent; numbers from Corsica.hockey).  It was a substantial drop from his rookie season (54.6). It might have contributed to a drop in goals-for/goals-against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 from 61.1 percent in 2014-2015 to 53.1 percent last season.

Fearless’ Take…

Burakovsky is one of seven players in Caps history to record at least 25 career goals and at least 30 career assists by the age of 20.  The rest of the list isn’t bad.  It is that last part – by the age of 20 – that might get lost in the noise.  Burakovsky is just the seventh Capital in team history to play in at least 100 NHL games by the age of 20 and just the second since 1987 (Tom Wilson is the other).  It is also good to keep in mind that this is just his fourth year playing hockey in North America, a year of Canadian juniors (Erie Otters) being his first.  Burakovsky is not as much a work in progress as he is a canvass that has just been put on the easel to be painted.

Cheerless’ Take…

Looking back on last season, maybe that playoff performance shouldn’t have been a surprise.  It’s not like he went into the playoffs guns a’blazin’.  He had a goal and an assist over his last 11 regular season games.  He did the same thing in 2015; he was 0-1-1 in his last 11 regular season games.  Then, he went without a point in his first six postseason games.  And here is something odd about his shots.  Yeah, he had 126 shots in 79 games last season, but 10 of them came in one game (a 5-2 loss to the Florida Panthers on February 2nd in which he recorded one of the two goals).  That leaves 116 shots in 78 other games (in 20 of them, he did not have a shot on goal).  Still an improvement over the previous year, but it doesn’t sound quite as impressive.

The Big Question… Is this the season Andre Burakovsky puts it together over a full year?

We do not pose that question thinking he cannot do it; we pose it wondering if, still short of his 22nd birthday, he has the experience and physical maturity to do it.  This is a big season for the Caps, arguably their last best chance to win a Stanley Cup in the short term.  If this is the year that Burakovsky can put together a solid 82-game campaign and not wilt down the stretch and the postseason, it could be the best boost the club could get in finally reaching that goal.  If there is something to provide some incentive in addition to the thrill of victory, it is that Burakovsky is entering the last year of his entry-level contract (AAV or $894,166 according to generalfanager.com).  But here is something to think about.  If Burakovsky was to sustain the production he has had early in seasons over the full 82-game slate, a 25-35-60 season would not be out of the question.  That would give him 51 career goals and 69 career assists.  Let’s round that assist number up to 70.  Since the 2004-2005 lockout, only 14 players 21 or younger had three seasons in the NHL and at least 50 goals and 70 assists.  It is a list that includes the likes of Sidney Crosby, Steven Stamkos, Alex Ovechkin, Evgeni Malkin, Nathan MacKinnon, and Taylor Hall.  It would be a big leap for Burakovsky, but not bigger than the one he made from his rookie to his sophomore year.

In the end…

Andre Burakovsky is still, at this writing, about 150 days short of his 22nd birthday.  Like any youngster with potential, he has had flashes of showing just what that potential is, and stretches in which he disappears.  In his first two seasons, those disappearing stretches have come late in seasons, including the playoffs.  That is a habit that cannot be tolerated for long if he and the Caps are going to make a deep postseason run.  It might be asking a lot for him to grow up a little faster, but the fact is that this season might present the best opportunity the Caps will have to win a championship in the short-term.  It is not all on Burakovsky’s shoulders, by any means, but he has the skill to be an impact player for this club, and there is no better time to establish the habit of being one than now.

Projection: 78 games, 20-26-46, plus-8

Photo: Justin K. Aller/Getty Images North America


Washington Capitals 2016-2017 Previews -- Forwards: Jay Beagle


Jay Beagle

“The shovel is brother to the gun.”
-- Carl Sandburg


Carl Sandburg penned that line in his poem, “Iron,” a short verse about war and death.  Hockey is not war, but it is a battle. Players do not die, but they do make physical sacrifices.  And for every big scorer with a powerful shot, there is a teammate with a shovel of sorts doing his part.

Jay Beagle does not have a big gun in his arsenal.  He carries a shovel.  At 30 years of age, it appears he is and will remain a player whose top-end offensive numbers will be modest – he has 18 goals and 37 points in 119 games over his last two seasons, his best two seasons in the NHL, although his shooting percentage over those two seasons (11.4 percent) is far above his career mark (9.5 percent).  He does two things not commonly showing up in the box score very well.  For example, of 114 players taking at least 250 faceoffs last season, Beagle was third in winning percentage (58.1 percent), behind Jonathan Toews (58.6 percent) and Ryan Kesler (58.5 percent).  If he had won three more of the 637 draws he took, he would have finished first.  And, his goals against/60 (1.39) was second-best on the team (Nicklas Backstrom: 1.37).  That might be as attributable to Beagle’s fourth line role as it might be to defensive skill, but it is still a good number.

Jay Beagle might be a fourth-liner, but he’s also sixth on the active roster list of Capitals skaters in games played (311).  It would be more, but he has missed significant chunks of games to injury since he made his first appearance in the NHL in the 2008-2009 season.  He missed seven games late in the 2010-2011 season to an upper-body injury.  There were the 31 games missed at the start of the 2011-2012 injury due to a concussion suffered in a fight.  He had two stretches (five games and 14 games) out of the lineup in 2014-2015 due to upper-body injuries.  And there were the 24 games missed last season to a hand injury.

Fearless’ Take…

By now, most Caps fans know that Jay Beagle is something of a good luck charm.  Until the Caps lost to the New York Rangers last March 4th, 3-2, the Caps had never lost a game in regulation time when Beagle scored a goal.  As it is, the Caps are 23-1-5 in the 29 games in which Beagle scored a goal over his career.  Think of it as the power of secondary (or tertiary…or quaternary, given his fourth-line role) scoring.  More than that, though, is that perhaps the light has gone on over Beagle’s head on the matter of scoring at this level.  Not that he is ever going to make anyone forget Alex Ovechkin as a goal scorer, but his goals and points per game over the last two seasons (0.15/0.31) are more than double his production over his first four seasons (0.07/0.14).

Cheerless’ Take…

I think someone performed an exorcism on Beagle, because there’s no possession.  Get it?  Get it??  OK, but hey, he finished 10th of 13 forwards on the team with 250 or more 5-on-5 minutes in Corsi-for percentage last year (49.83; numbers from Corsica.hockey).  And it might have been nice if he had more than one point in the Caps’ last nine playoff games last spring.  Sure, he’s a fourth liner, but it’s a bit of a trend…two points in his last nine playoff games in 2015, one in seven games in 2013 (the Caps did not reach the postseason in 2014), two in 12 games in 2012.  Just a little more would help.

The Big Question… Is Jay Beagle a potential 30-point player?

Don’t laugh.  Well, don’t laugh too hard.  Over his last two seasons, his per-82 game scoring pace is 12-13-25.  If he stays healthy, perhaps he gets into and stays in a rhythm.  Consider that last season he was 6-6-12 in his first 36 games before injuring his hand against Buffalo and missing almost two months.  That’s a 14-14-28 pace over 82 games.  Maintaining that kind of a scoring pace does depend on his being healthy and maintaining the shooting percentage he posted over the last two seasons.  A healthy dose of skepticism with respect to the latter might be in order when one remembers that his 11.4 percent shooting percentage over the last two seasons dwarfs the 6.4 percent he posted over his first six seasons.  Is it a new normal, or does he regress to a lower steady state?  If it is the former, maybe he can be a 30-point player, or close to it.

In the end…

Jay Beagle is a decent fourth line forward.  As far as value goes, if you look at average annual value, Beagle (31 years old, $1,750,000) sits squarely among a group of players of whom is might be said there are some you might rather have (Teddy Purcell) and others you might prefer Beagle to (Matt Hendricks; AAV information from generalfanager.com) as a Capital.  If you turn that statement around a bit, though, you might conclude that Jay Beagle is a very replaceable player.  Such is the case with fourth liners.  Is there that much difference between Beagle and a Mark Letestu or a Ryan Garbutt, both of whom are also in that AAV neighborhood?

If you are thinking “production,” though, getting a handle on Beagle is not so easy.  He has produced at a better-than-career level the past couple of years, but is that sustainable or a product of the randomness of better shooting percentages?  He might be more effective with more consistent health, but he has missed at least 20 games in each of the last three seasons.  The one thing that seems as certain as anything is that there will be no talk of Beagle as a potential third-line center. He has as well-defined a role as anyone on the team: fourth line minutes, winning faceoffs, and providing an energy lift in the 12-14 minutes of ice time he seems likely to get per game.  It’s hard, but necessary work.  Bring a shovel.

Projection: 62 games, 7-8-15, minus-1


Photo: Bruce Bennett/Getty Images North America

Wednesday, September 07, 2016

Washington Capitals 2016-2017 Previews -- Forwards: Nicklas Backstrom

The World Cup of Hockey is about to begin, and we are in the home stretch of the off-season.  Before you know it, the puck will drop on the NHL's 2016-2017 season, and that means it is time to look ahead at what this season might hold in store for the Washington Capitals.

Nicklas Backstrom

“Quiet minds cannot be perplexed or frightened but go on in fortune or misfortune at their own private pace, like a clock during a thunderstorm.”
-- Robert Louis Stevenson



Last season we led off our preview of Nicklas Backstom this way…

“Nicklas Backstrom came into the National Hockey League in the 2007-2008 season.  Since then, 478 players have appeared in at least 300 games.  Of that group, only four players have averaged more assists per game than Backstrom: Sidney Crosby, Henrik Sedin, Evgeni Malkin, and Joe Thornton.”

Nothing changed when the 2015-2016 season came to an end.  Backstrom still has the fourth highest assists-per-game mark in the NHL over the last nine seasons.  What establishes him among the best playmakers in the league even more firmly is the fact that no player in the last nine seasons has more years with 50 or more assists than Backstrom (he, Sedin, Thornton, and Ryan Getzlaf each have six such seasons). 

His possession numbers have been a model of consistency since he entered the league.  In nine seasons he has an aggregate Corsi-for at 5-on-5 of 54.12 percent, with a range of 49.32 percent in 2013-2014 (the only time he finished a season under 50 percent) to 59.41 percent in his rookie season of 2007-2008 (he was 52.06 last season, numbers from Corsica.hockey).

Backstrom is methodically moving up the all-time franchise rankings.  If he appears in 80 games this season he will move into ninth place in games played in franchise history (732, ten behind eighth-place Brooks Laich).  If he produces at his per-80 game pace this season he would finish with 20 goals, putting him in ninth place in Caps history (185, three behind eighth-place Bobby Carpenter).  With 59 assists at his career per-80 game pace he would add to his all-time Caps franchise-best and become the first Capital to hit the 500 career assist mark (he has 477, 36 in front of second-place Alex Ovechkin).

He has done all of this as a very durable player.  He missed 40 games of the 2011-2012 season with a concussion, but otherwise missed only 12 games in eight other seasons.  Six times in nine seasons he appeared in every regular season game.

Fearless’ Take…

Nicklas Backstrom comes into the 2016-2017 season firmly ensconced in the pantheon of Capitals greats.  We know you don’t need convincing of this but consider, there are six players in the history of the franchise who have 100 or more goals, 100 or more assists, a plus-minus of plus-50 or better, and a shooting percentage of 10 percent or better. That sextet is Alex Ovechkin, Pater Bondra, Mike Gartner, Alexander Semin, Kelly Miller, and Backstrom.  Of that group, only Semin has fewer games played with the Caps than Backstrom.  Since he came into the league in 2007-2008 he is one of just nine players who have at least 150 goals, at least 400 assists, a plus-minus of plus-50 or better, and a shooting percentage of 10 percent or better.  The others on that list look like a Hall of Fame in Waiting gallery. 

Cheerless’ Take…

Let’s get right to it cuz.  If the Caps are going to win a Cup, Backstrom has to be the straw to stir the drink, as much as Alex Ovechkin.  Last spring, Backstrom had points in five of the six Caps wins, and he had points in two of the six losses (compare that to 5-in-6 and 2-in-6 for Ovechkin).  There are elite centers that do not go to Stanley Cup finals, but teams that go to Stanley Cup finals do not often do so without an elite center.  Backstrom has to be that guy this year.

The Big Question… Does Backstrom have another level in him still?

Nicklas Backstrom scored a career-high 101 points in 2009-2010, his third in the NHL.  That was a product of a career-best 33 goals and a personal high of 68 assists.  In six seasons since, he has averaged nearly a point a game (384 points in 406 games), but he has not had more than 20 goals in any of those six seasons (last season), and he has not had more than 61 assists (2013-2014).  Whether he surpasses those totals could be dependent on who he centers.  He has centered Alex Ovechkin for most of his career, but with the emergence of Evgeny Kuznetsov, the Caps might have a “1” and “1A” center (take your pick which is which) as much as a first and second line center.  If “another level” would be welcome, it would be more in the postseason.  Last season offered a glimmer of hope in this area.  His 11 points in 12 games (two goals, nine assists) was the first time he finished a postseason in double digit points since he went 3-12-15 in 14 games in 2008-2009.

In the end…

Perhaps as much as any player in the history of the franchise, Nicklas Backstrom personifies the characteristics of dependability and reliability.  But therein lies a paradox.  His is a position the team can count on for a certain level of production (15-20 goals, about a point per game).  His dependability and reliability allows the team (coaches and management) to devote more attention to other areas.  On the other hand, Backstrom’s consistency is hard to divorce from a different, broader consistency, the failure of the club to go deep into the postseason.  This is not to lay the blame for the Caps’ playoff misfortunes at Backstrom’s feet – such things are a team endeavor.  But there is at least a coincidental relationship of Backstrom doing “x,” and the team doing “y”…consistently. 

Backstrom is among the best centers in the NHL.  Of this there can be no doubt, but can he be counted among an elite group that might include Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and John Tavares?  The answer lies, in part, in the paradox of the perverse relationship of his consistent production and the team’s regularity in terms of results.  That level of production can be counted on, but it gets the team only so far.  If the Caps can count on Backstrom to hit certain marks in the regular and postseason, then in light of their disappointing playoff finishes, the club has to get better performances out of other players.  It might be reasonable to expect that sort of a result from Evgeny Kuznetsov and Andre Burakovsky, both of whom had underwhelming playoff performances last spring, but who remain very young players.  However, Nicklas Backstrom’s ability to accelerate that “private pace” and squeeze just a bit more out of his game could do wonders for the Caps’ postseason chances in 2016-2017.

Projection: 79 games, 20-59-79, plus-13

Photo: Patrick Smith/Getty Images North America


Monday, September 05, 2016

Washington Capitals: If Players Were Presidents -- Dino Ciccarelli


In May 1920, while addressing the Home Market Club in Boston, Warren Harding made the following statement:

“America’s present need is not heroics, but healing; not nostrums, but normalcy; not revolution, but restoration; not agitation, but adjustment; not surgery, but serenity; not the dramatic, but the dispassionate; not experiment, but equipoise; not submergence in internationality, but sustainment in triumphant nationality.”

The “Return to Normalcy” was a theme in the campaign Harding waged in his pursuit of the Republican nomination for President of the United States in 1920.  It was successful; he won the party’s nomination and the general election later that year.  He would serve just over two years before passing away in office, but in his 29 months in office, “normalcy” would not be a word to describe his administration, even if for much of his term in office he would enjoy a favorable reputation.

In his assuming the office with the aim of returning to a period of familiar calm, his serving for such a short period of time, and the evolving perceptions of his time in Washington, Warren Harding’s presidency has a familiar ring to it.  If there is a Washington Capital to whom he and his administration might be compared, it might be to Dino Ciccarelli.

Born and raised in Ohio (the eighth and, to date, last President from the Buckeye State), Harding spent time as a young man working as a teacher and in insurance before settling into a role managing and editing a newspaper in Marion.  His position served as a springboard to politics, starting as a delegate to the Ohio state Republican convention and leading to his first run for elective office, a county auditor position. 

Harding lost that first bid for office, but he was successful in his next try, winning election as a state senator.  Four years later, he would win election as Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, a position that allowed him to broaden his political base.  Not so much that it positioned him for climbing to the next rung on the political ladder, though.  He ran afoul of the Ohio political establishment in the next election and ended up not running for any office.  By 1910, though, his star was rising again, and he won the Republican nomination for governor.  He lost in the general election, but took a turn in the party spotlight in 1912 when he gave the nominating speech on behalf of William Howard Taft at the 1912 Republican national convention, then took advantage of the recently ratified 17th Amendment to the Constitution, allowing for popular election of United States Senators, to win election to the Senate in 1914.

His pleasant personality and non-confrontational manner when it came to policy made him an attractive candidate to some for the 1920 presidential election.  The one thing he seemed to have going for him was, as fellow Ohioan Harry Daugherty said, “he looked like a President.”  Looking like a president did little for Harding at the 1920 Republican convention.  On the first ballot he finished sixth of 12 candidates receiving votes.  No one won the necessary number, though, and voting went through nine ballots before Harding finally prevailed on the tenth ballot.

Harding won the general election of 1920, the first sitting senator to win the presidency.  His agenda could be described generally as one intending to reverse the progressive policies of the Roosevelt and Wilson administrations.  In economic policy he signed tax cuts and new protective tariffs into law, and it was under his administration that provision for the President sending a budget to Congress was enacted and the General Accounting Office (now the Government Accountability Office) established.

However, his administration would be consumed by events that were a product of his limited administrative skills. Those shortcomings led to individuals being installed in positions who were more political supporters than capable performers.  It was a recipe for corruption.  The “Ohio Gang”  and their associates would be the source of a number of scandals in the Harding administration, the most famous of which (but not the only one) was the “Teapot Dome” scandal, a bribery incident involving Harding’s Secretary of the Interior that was perhaps the biggest scandal in American politics before Watergate in the early 1970’s.

By 1923 the pressures of the office and his own history of health issues began to affect Harding physically.  It did not prevent him from undertaking a trip, a “Voyage of Understanding” to Alaska and to the west coast (with a stopover in British Columbia; he was the first sitting president to visit Canada) in an effort to restore some of his reputation before embarking on a campaign for a second term in office.  However, on the Seattle stop of his tour he fell ill.  He would travel to San Francisco, nevertheless, but upon his arrival fell ill once more. His conditioned worsened over the next several days, and on August 2, 1923, he suffered a heart attack from which he did not recover, his presidency over after just 881 days, the fourth shortest presidency in American history.

Dino Ciccarelli was an undrafted player, despite scoring 119 goals in 164 games over three  years with the London Knights of the Ontario Major Junior Hockey League (now the Ontario Hockey League).  The Minnesota North Stars signed him as a free agent in September 1979, just before Ciccarelli began his last season with the Knights, one in which he recorded 50 goals in 62 games. 

Ciccarelli made the jump to the NHL the following season and in short order became a dangerous goal scorer.  In just his second season he scored what would be a career best 55 goals in 76 games, becoming just the second player in NHL history at the time to record 55 or more goals in a season by the age of 21 (Wayne Gretzky did it twice).  Early in his eighth season with the North Stars, he passed Bill Goldsworthy as the franchise leader in goals scored.  In 1988-1989, his ninth season in Minnesota, he established himself as the franchise leader in goals scored per game (a record he still holds).

However, on March 7, 1989, he was traded with defenseman Bob Rouse to the Caps in exchange for Mike Gartner and Larry Murphy in what would qualify as one of the biggest trades in Caps history.  He did come to the club with issues, as the Washington Post pointed out at the time:

“Ciccarelli comes to the Capitals with some legal baggage. He pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor charge of indecent exposure in an incident outside his Eden Prairie, Minn., home in 1987. He was placed on probation for one year and required to attend counseling. Also, last August, he was convicted of assault, spent a day in jail and was fined $1,000 for a stick attack on Toronto's Luke Richardson last season. No other NHL player had ever received a jail term for an on-ice infraction.”

Any issues that might have accompanied Ciccarelli to Washington were put aside in short order as he scored 12 goals in 11 games to close the 1988-1989 regular season, including a four-goal outburst against the Hartford Whalers in an 8-2 rout on March 18th.  He added another three goals in six postseason games, but it was not enough to lift the Caps past the Philadelphia Flyers in the first round of the playoffs.  The following season, Ciccarelli scored 41 goals for the Caps, becoming the seventh player in franchise history to score 40 or more in a season.  He added another eight in eight games of the 1990 postseason.  However, he suffered a knee injury in Game 2 of the second round against the New York Rangers that ended his season.  This was the postseason in which John Druce would score 14 goals in 15 games for the Caps.  Ciccarelli was matching him goal for goal, game for game, when he went out.  It is just one more in a series of “what if’s” that haunt this franchise, wondering how far the Caps might have gone with a healthy Ciccarelli (the Caps were eliminated in the conference finals against the Boston Bruins).

That 1990 postseason, or more precisely, its aftermath, would affect Ciccarelli, the club, and the future of the franchise for some years to come.  He and three other Capitals – Scott Stevens, Geoff Courtnall, and Neil Sheehy – were accused of assaulting a 17-year old girl on May 12, 1990 in a limousine outside a club in Georgetown.   A grand jury decided not to pursue the case, but with respect to the hockey team, the damage was done.  Scott Stevens signed an offer sheet as a restricted free agent with the St. Louis Blues in July that the Caps chose not to match (the team accepted five first round draft picks as compensation).  Courtnall, who scored 77 goals in 159 games in two years with the Caps (plus six in 21 postseason games) was traded in July to the Blues for Peter Zezel and Mike Lalor, neither of whom made much of an impression on the club.  Sheehy missed the entire 1990-1991 regular season with a broken ankle, then left Washington for the Calgary Flames in free agency. 

Except for two postseason games in which Sheehy played in the 1991 postseason, Ciccarelli was the only one of the four to play for the Caps after that incident in May 1990.  He gamely tried to let his performance on the ice serve to rehabilitate his image – he scored 59 goals in 132 games over the next two seasons despite injuries limiting him to 54 games in the 1990-1991 season.  After the 1991-1992 season, though, one in which he was 38-38-76 in 78 games, he was traded to the Detroit Red Wings for Kevin Miller in what has to rank among the worst trades in Caps history.  Miller was coming off consecutive 20-goal seasons for the Red Wings, but he appeared in just ten games for the Caps (without a goal) before he was traded to the St. Louis Blues for Paul Cavallini, who scored just five goals in 71 games in his only season in Washington (Cavallini would be traded for future considerations, which became Enrico Ciccone, who would later be traded to Tampa Bay for Joe Reekie, who played in more than 500 games over nine years for the Caps, so there is that).

Ciccarelli went on to play seven more seasons after leaving Washington scoring 164 goals for Detroit, the Tampa Bay Lightning, and the Florida Panthers.  He retired after the 1998-1999 season with 608 goals, the ninth-most in NHL history at the time.  Today he is one of just 19 players in NHL history with 600 or more career goals and is a 2010 inductee into the Hockey Hall of Fame.

Warren Harding came to Washington and served briefly as President, a well-liked figure during his tenure, but remembered more for the scandals that occurred under his administration.  Dino Ciccarelli came to Washington as an accomplished and formidable offensive player, one who quickly developed a devoted following in his short tenure with the club.  But he is remembered almost, if not as much for an incident off the ice as for his accomplishments on it while a Capital.  In their misfortune, in no small part a product of situations they might have avoided, these two had similar histories in Washington.   

Sunday, September 04, 2016

Washington Capitals: If Players Were Presidents -- Matt Bradley


If William Howard Taft seemed to be a “natural” to become the 27th President of the United States, given the resume he built on his way to the White House, Woodrow Wilson would seem to be anything but a “natural” to rise to that high office.  Spending much of his adult professional life as an academic and college administrator, he did rise up the political ladder, and Wilson served two terms as the 28th President, presiding over a nation that would find itself engaged in the first “world war” among its people.

It would be easy to characterize Wilson as too bookish to merit a comparison with a tough-as-nails hockey player, but it would be a too-easy-to-paint picture of Wilson, and there is a Washington Capital to whom he can be compared, if at first it does not make sense to the mind’s eye: Matt Bradley.

Woodrow Wilson was firmly in the tradition of other Presidents of the United States, at least in terms of his birthplace.  He was the third of four children both to a Staunton, Virginia, family.  Shortly after his family moved to North Carolina in his late teens, Wilson started studies at Davidson University, but he transferred to Princeton University the following year.  Upon graduation he enrolled in the University of Virginia Law School, but he withdrew after one year due to health issues.  He completed his law studies in North Carolina and was admitted to the Georgia bar.  He soon found that law was not to his liking and returned to school, earning his Ph.D. in political science from Johns Hopkins University (he is the only President to have earned a Ph.D.).

The newly minted Ph.D. embarked on an academic career, over a four year period taking positions at Cornell University, Bryn Mawr College, and Wesleyan University.  Then, in 1890, he returned to Princeton to teach politics and jurisprudence.  There he developed an academic reputation for advocating a parliamentary system and for closer study of public administration.  Over the course of his tenure at Princeton, he was offered administrative positions at other universities, but was not until 1902 that he accepted one – the presidency of Princeton University.

Wilson was no caretaker president.  He promoted new investments in facilities, established academic departments, and set up a system of academic core requirements for students.  His reforms were not met with enthusiasm, particularly with respect to where the university’s graduate school would be located, on campus or at a more remote location.

His advocacy of education reform was a matter of some interest to Democratic Party leaders, and they convinced him to run for Governor of New Jersey in 1910.  Wilson has entertained thoughts of political office from time to time, and with Wilson finding his reform agenda resisted at Princeton, he ran and won the race for Governor.  He took office with the idea of implementing reforms at the state level.  His was an anti-corruption agenda with initiatives in regulation (utilities, workmen’s compensation) sprinkled in.

His success in getting a reform agenda implemented early in his term served to promote him at the national level and to fuel his ambition for higher office.  He began making a series of speeches to lay the groundwork for a campaign.  Wilson won over the support of William Jennings Bryan, three times the Democratic Party candidate for President, but he went to the nominating convention an underdog to Speaker of the House Champ Clark.  It was Clark winning the first ballot, but not with enough votes to secure the nomination.  So it would be on the second, and on the third, and on the fourth ballots.  For 29 ballots, Clark won the most votes but not enough for the nomination.  Wilson overtook him on the 30th ballot, but it would not be until the 46th ballot that Wilson won enough votes to win the nomination, the longest nominating process in more than half a century.

Wilson won a bitter general election, threading the needle between a weak incumbent – Republican William Howard Taft – and a famous third-party standard bearer – Progressive Party nominee Theodore Roosevelt. 

Wilson, who said of the office that the Presidency was one in which “a man must put on his war paint,” hit the ground running upon his inauguration.  Economic issues – tariffs, banking, trusts, labor – dominated his early agenda.  But he was, in some respects, despite progressive instincts, a conventional Southern politician.  The most obvious reflection of this was his pursuit of policies to reverse desegregation policies in the post-Civil War period.  In the Federal civil service and in Federal facilities, desegregation policies were slowed or reversed under Wilson. 

Two things then took place that altered the direction of his presidency.  In July 1914, fighting broke out in Europe to start World War I, and a month later his wife Ellen died of kidney failure.  The latter resulted in a months-long depression for Wilson that only lifted on a trip through the Midwest in which he engaged in what sounded like a campaign speech against the Republicans.  Soon thereafter he met Edith Bolling, who by the end of 1915 would be Wilson’s second wife.

Regarding the war in Europe, Wilson’s instincts were to take whatever action necessary to keep the United States out of the conflict except to serve as a mediator.  He was successful at keeping America at a distance from the war, but shipping being sunk by German submarines, starting with the RMS Lusitania in May 1915, made neutrality a difficult position for Wilson to sustain. 

Wilson was able to keep America out of the war through the 1916 campaign for re-election, and he won a second term, albeit by a narrow margin (277 to 254 electoral votes) over Charles Hughes.  Germany made it easier for Wilson to end his neutrality policy when it went back on pledges to refrain from attacks on commercial shipping and tried to enlist Mexico as an ally in the war with promises of supporting restoration of southwest territories (Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona) to Mexico.

Wilson requested, and Congress passed a declaration of war in April 1917.  Wilson was as much thinking about what a post-war world would look like as he was managing the war effort.  In January 1918 he proposed an agenda that projected ideological basis for his domestic agenda onto a world stage.  The “fourteen points” was a framework for peace to be the basis for negotiations to end World War I. 

Peace would not come easily, as much a product of Wilson’s health and domestic politics as it was a military matter.  Wilson personally spent six months in Paris (the first President to travel to Europe while in office) at the peace conference, but during a break in those talks he became ill, and the effects lingered through the remainder of the negotiations.  However, Wilson’s hand could be seen in the Treaty of Versailles to end the hostilities, the document including the proposed charter for a “League of Nations.” 

The treaty ran into obstacles on its ratification path in the Senate.  He decided to campaign for ratification with a series of speeches advocating a hard line against Germany.  The trip took its toll, Wilson suffering a series of strokes.  His condition prevented him from actively negotiating to break a deadlock that prevented the Senate from reaching a two-thirds majority for ratification.  The Senate refused to ratify the treaty, and the American government assumed no responsibility for administration or implementation of its provisions. 

After the war, demobilization proved difficult, soldiers returning home to an economy that could not absorb them into the labor force, speculation on land prices during the war leading to a bust in the farm economy when the price bubble burst, labor unrest, and racial tension in cities in the North.  Wilson was in no condition to preside with vigor over the situation, and his second term ended with his being physically unable to stand for a third term. 

Matt Bradley’s path to the NHL was not the easiest, but neither was it unconventional.  A fourth-round draft pick of the San Jose Sharks in the 1996 Entry Draft (102nd overall) out of the Kingston Frontenacs in the Ontatio Hockey League, Bradley played two more years in Canadian juniors before starting his pro career in earnest with the Kentucky Thoroughblades of the AHL in 1998-1999 (he did play one game with the Blades in 1996-1997).

In two years with Kentucky, Bradley scored 45 goals in 159 games.  It was enough to give him a glimpse of the NHL, splitting time between Kentucky and the Sharks in the 2000-2001 season.  His path to full-time status in the NHL was not complete, though.  Injuries and roster depth limited him to 100 games over the 2001-2002 and 2002-2003 seasons.  After that 2002-2003 season he was traded to the Pittsburgh Penguins for Wayne Primeau, and with the Penguins he appeared in all 82 games of the 2003-2004 season.  In August 2005, after the league went dark for a season over a labor-management dispute, he came to Washington as a free agent. 

Bradley came to the Caps as a hard-working player with limited offensive skill, but with a propensity for sticking his nose into situations when it came time to stand up for a teammate.  In 82 games with the Penguins in 2003-2004 he recorded 11 fights, but what became apparent upon arriving with the Caps was that Bradley’s willingness to use his physical edge to stand up for teammates did not come with a general tendency to play outside the rules.  In 2005-2006 Bradley led the Caps with eight fighting majors, but he recorded only 32 minutes in penalties outside the fighting majors, ranking 17th in minor penalties charged on the club.  When he did jump in, though, he did so with a certain enthusiasm...


Bradley’s offensive game in his early years with the Caps was that of a checking line forward – occasional in terms of production.  But in the 2009 postseason he scored what is one of the most underrated goals in terms of importance in the team’s post-2004-2005 lockout period.  In the first round of the 2009 playoffs, and the Caps down three-to-one in games to the New York Rangers, Brian Pothier was sent off on a tripping penalty in the fourth minute of the game.  A power play goal there by the Rangers might have doomed the Caps to elimination.  Just over a minute into the Ranger power play, though, Bradley broke in on goalie Henrik Lundqvist and scored a shorthanded goal on a backhand to give the Caps a 1-0 lead, the game-winning goal in a 4-0 win that would propel the Caps to a seven-game come-from-behind win over the Rangers.

He also had what is an often-lost moment in one of the most revered moments in the modern era of Caps hockey.  Fans of the “Rock the Red” era either remember vividly being present for the game-winning goal scored by Sergei Fedorov against the Rangers in Game 7 of that 2009 playoff series or wher they were when seeing it on television or listening to it on radio, but perhaps not as many people remember how the play started.  A wrong-footed shot by the Rangers’ Brandon Dubinsky went high and wide to the right of goalie Semyon Varlamov.  The puck skittered along the board where Bradley flagged it down before going off on a line change.  Facing the boards at the edge of the faceoff circle in the Caps’ end, he backhanded a pass to Fedorov exiting the zone, and the rest is history…



Bradley would become known for more than his willingness to drop the gloves for teammates or the odd timely goal.  He became known as an interpreter of x’s and o’s for the casual fan as “The Professor,” complete with lab coat…


Bradley became a forward squarely in the tradition of hard-working, hard-to-play-against players dating back to the 1980’s.  In six full seasons with the Caps, Bradley hit double-digits in points each year, not an altogether bad performance for a player who got primarily fourth-line minutes.  His hard-nosed style of play displayed a remarkably disciplined aspect.  Of his 367 penalty minutes recorded as a Cap, only 132 of them came from infractions other than fighting majors (about 25 minutes per 82 games).  He also had a certain opportunistic aspect to the offense he displayed, too.  Of the 37 regular season goals he scored as a Capital, nine of them were game-winners, including five of the ten goals he scored in the 2009-2010 season.

At the end of the 2011-2012 season, Bradley became an unrestricted free agent.  At the age of 33 and having appeared in just 61 games for the Caps that season, Bradley headed off to Florida, signing a two-year deal with the Panthers.  He would fulfill only one year of that contract, though.  He appeared in just 45 games of the 2011-2012 season, his playing time limited by a concussion he suffered in February in what might be thought of as typical Bradley fashion.  In a mid-February game against the Anaheim Ducks, he tried to check George Parros, a player who had three inches and 30 pounds on Bradley.  He missed, and he crashed into the glass, displacing it and suffering the first of two concussions (the second suffered in his first game with TuTo Turku in Finland during the 2012 NHL lockout) that would end his career in 2012.

Woodrow Wilson was an academic with a streak of toughness that served him in promoting a reform agenda as a university president and as President of the United States.  It enabled him to balance a desire to keep the United States out of war, but allowed him to see clearly the need to enter it as circumstances dictated.  His deteriorating health prevented him from prosecuting the war as he might have had he been in full health, and he was unable to impose his preferred agenda in its aftermath.  His health would plague the remainder of his administration and result in his passing just a few years after leaving office.

Matt Bradley came to the NHL with modest credentials, but he displayed a toughness and a hard-working attitude that enabled him to climb the career ladder in his sport.  He was disciplined enough to exercise that toughness within the rules, except in those instances when coming to the aid of a teammate required otherwise.  He did not have a long list of accomplishments as a player, but he did have special moments on the biggest of stages that are dear to Caps fans.  Before his own health issues would cut short his career, he took his own turn in “academics” as someone who could explain the finer points of hockey tactics to casual fans.  “The Professor” occupied a unique and special place in the recent history of Capitals hockey, and in his own way displays not just a few similarities with the 28th President of the United States.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Washington Capitals: If Players Were Presidents -- Alexander Semin


William Howard Taft served as the 27th President of the United States. If there ever should have been a “natural” for the job, it would have been Taft.  He had an impressive resume, one that one might have thought would have prepared him well for executing the duties of President, perhaps better than any individual ever to hold the office.  But his single term in office was a disappointment, lacking in achievements and lost in the shadow of the Theodore Roosevelt administration that preceded him.

A Washington Capital who might have been seen as a “natural,” a player of almost unparalleled skill in stickhandling and shooting, who might have been counted among the greatest players in franchise history, but who ultimately might be judged a disappointment, lost in the shadow of a teammate and fellow countryman is one contemporary Caps fans would recognize: Alexander Semin.

William Howard Taft was born in 1857 in Cincinnati, Ohio, to one of the most famous families in American political history, one dating backto the late 1600’s.  His upbringing was typical of the child of a political family preparing for a career in public service.  After graduating from high school, he attended Yale College and graduated second in his class.  He returned to Ohio to enter law school, his classroom study supplemented by his working as a newspaper reporter who had the local court beat.

After graduation from law school and admission to the Ohio bar, Taft’s career climb began in earnest.  Rather than pursue reporting full-time, Taft accepted an appointment to be county assistant prosecutor.  That lasted only a year.  He was appointed by President Chester A. Arthur to become a district Collector of Revenue, a position in which he served five years before taking his first judgeship.  At only 29 years old, he was appointed to fill a vacancy on the Superior Court of Cincinnati by the Governor of Ohio.  He would be elected to a full five-year term a year later (keep that thought of being elected to the position in mind).

With barely two years of experience as a superior court judge, Taft’s name would be sent by the Governor of Ohio to President Benjamin Harrison to fill a vacancy on the United States Supreme Court.  Taft did nothing to discourage the effort, but he would not be nominated by Harrison (that nomination went to David Josiah Brewer, who once joked of the famously overweight Taft, “Taft is the most polite man I ever saw in my life. Why, the other day I was in a street car with him and he got up and gave his seat to three women.”).  Harrison did, however, appoint Taft to be Solicitor General of the United States, the official charged with representing the United States government before the U.S. Supreme Court.

Taft lasted a little more than a year in that office before Harrison appointed him in 1891 to a newly created judgeship in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit in Ohio.  At this point in his career, at age 34, it appeared his career path was locked in, given that his Federal judgeship was a lifetime appointment.  It would have been, but President William McKinley called Taft to Washington in 1900 to offer him the position as head of a commission to organize a civilian government in the Philippines.  He accepted, with McKinley providing assurances that he would nominate Taft for the next vacancy on the Supreme Court.

While Taft served as Governor-General of the Philippines, McKinley was assassinated.  His successor, Theodore Roosevelt, was inclined to nominate Taft for the first Court vacancy that opened, but Taft declined, citing his unfulfilled goals in the Philippines.  He did, however, accept appointment as Roosevelt’s Secretary of War in 1904, which was more in the role of assistant to Roosevelt than it was as an independent administrator.

Taft served in that position for the remainder of Roosevelt’s administration, and the President settled on Taft as his preferred successor in the White House.  It made for little drama, as Taft was nominated by the Republican Party as their candidate for President in the election of 1908 on the first ballot.  He was comfortably elected in the general election over Democrat William Jennings Bryan (the third time Bryan ran on the national ticket), besting him by more than 1.2 million votes in the popular vote and by an almost 2-to-1 margin in the Electoral College (321-162).

Taft was inaugurated indoors, in the Senate Chamber of the U.S. Capitol, due to inclement weather that hit the Washington region.  It might have been a harbinger of things to come.  Taft was no natural politician, certainly lacking in the skills Roosevelt had in this area.  He isolated himself from the press, and he was far more “procedural” in his approach to governing than the charismatic Roosevelt.  His administration did, at least at first, follow a policy agenda not very different from that of his predecessor.  However, when Roosevelt went to Europe in 1909 on a trip that lasted 15 months, the physical distance become a philosophical one between the men.

Upon his return, Roosevelt expressed dissatisfaction with Taft’s progress and snubbed an invitation to the White House. The rift deepened when Roosevelt leaned harder toward a progressive agenda.  The conflict erupted at the Republican convention of 1912.  Roosevelt was successful in winning primary delegates and, in fact, won a heavy majority.  However, Taft, having inherited the party’s machinery with the party’s nomination in 1908, won a majority of delegates selected in state conventions.  His command of the party apparatus was enough to win nomination over objections from Roosevelt’s camp that the nomination was stolen (the flash point for the establishment of the Progressive Party under whose banner Roosevelt ran in 1912).

Taft, not a gifted politician, compounded his problem by not actively campaigning (a custom of the time that presidents seeking another term did not campaign).  His shortcomings as a politician, a first term lacking in noteworthy accomplishments, and the presence of Roosevelt in the race doomed his chances.  Woodrow Wilson won an election split three ways, taking 435 electoral votes to 88 for Roosevelt and 8 for Taft, who won only Vermont and Utah.

Taft’s term in office was disappointing in many ways, especially given the long list of positions he held on his way to the White House.  But in a way, that was the problem.  Almost all of the positions he held were the product of appointments or nominations by someone else – a governor or a president.  He ran on his own just three times for public office, winning a full term as a judge and twice running for the Presidency.  In that context it might not be as surprising that he was disappointing in an office that required skills he did not possess in any great measure.

Alexander Semin came to the Washington Capitals as something of an unknown commodity among casual fans, but he was a highly-regarded prospect, the second-ranked European in the NHL Central Scouting rankings of 2002 draft eligibles, behind Finnish defenseman Joni Pitkanen.  He was coming off a fine season with Traktor Chelyabinsk in Russia (13-8-21) and an impressive performance in the World Junior Under-18 torunament (8-7-15 in eight games).  At the time, Red Line Report compared Semin to Markus Naslund and said this of him:

“One of the biggest late movers up the charts. No one helped himself more at the Five Nations or World Under-18s. His game all flows from tremendous skating — one of the best pure skaters in this draft. Fabulous balance, speed and acceleration. Reaches top speed in one stride and has great cutting ability and change of direction. Has a slashing style and plays a very up-tempo game. High energy guy who rubs off on whole team. Unbelievable at taking hard passes in skates on the fly and shooting all in one motion. Terrific offensive instincts. Oustanding puck skills — quick stick, can dangle and make all his moves at top end speed. Equally adept as a sniper and play-maker. Very opportunistic around net with a quick release and can pick corners.” 

The Caps took Semin with the 13th overall pick in the first round of the 2002 draft (one of three picks the Caps had in the first 17 selections: Steve Eminger, taken with the pick before Semin, and Boyd Gordon were the others).  It would not be a smooth road from Chelyabinsk to Washington, though.  He played one more year in Russia after he was drafted, with Lada Togliatti, then made his debut with the Caps in the 2003-2004 season, posting ten goals in 52 games.  However, when the league went dark in 2004-2005 due to a labor-management dispute, Semin chose to play in Russia rather than in Portland with the Caps’ AHL affiliate.  The team suspended him, but that was only the beginning of a tortured process to get Semin to North America permanently.

In 2005-2006, Semin still had military obligations that were only partially fulfilled.  Since Lada Togliatti, the team with which he played the previous season, was in the military district in which he was conscripted, he was given permission to fulfill his remaining obligation there.  The Caps took legal action in an effort to compel Semin to report to the team.  The Caps ultimately lost this challenge, but while the process was moving to its conclusion, Semin was released from his contract with Lada Togliatti due to the financial situation of the club.  Semin did not report to the Caps, though.  He signed with Mytischi Khimik and played with that club for the remainder of the 2005-2006 season.

Finally, in 2006-2007, Semin joined the Caps, and it was quite a season.  Despite the club missing the playoffs, Semin went 38-35-73.  He was one of six players in the league that season under the age of 25 to record at least 35 goals and at least 70 points (the others were teammate Alex Ovechkin, Thomas Vanek, Ilya Kovalchuk, Sidney Crosby, and Alex Frolov).  He became just the fifth player in Caps history to record 35 or more goals in a season by the time he reached the age of 22 (the others were Mike Gartner (three times), Bobby Carpenter, Dmitri Khristich, and Alex Ovechkin).  One could envision a long run of Alex Ovechkin and Alexander Semin – teammates and fellow countrymen – setting records for goal scoring in Washington.

The following season, Semin’s production slumped, dropping from 38 goals to 26, from 35 assists to 16, and from 73 points to 42.  The minus-7 he posted for a non-playoff team in 2006-2007 dropped to minus-18 for a playoff club in 2007-2008 (only Michal Nylander was worse at minus-19).  He rebounded in 2008-2009 to finish 34-45-79, plus-25, and he added five goals and 14 points in 14 postseason games.  He did even better in 2009-2010 regular season, posting career highs in goals (40), even strength goals (30), points (84), and plus-minus (plus-36).  It was one piece of a team that set a franchise record for wins (54) and points (121), winning the Presidents Trophy. 

Then…crickets.  In Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals against the Montreal Canadiens, Semin failed to score a goal on six shots.  He went 0-for-5 in Game 2.  Another 0-for-5 in Game 3.  By the time the series was over, the Caps losing in seven games in what qualifies as one of the biggest playoff upsets in NHL history, Semin went 0-for-44 shooting, becoming just the second player at the time in the post 2004-2005 lockout era to go without a goal in the postseason while recording at least 40 shots on goal (ironically, Joni Pitkanen, the European ranked ahead of Semin in the NHL Central Scouting rankings for the 2002 draft, did it the previous year on 46 shots for the Carolina Hurricanes) and the first forward in the modern era (post 1967 expansion) to do it.  Semin did not make up for it by setting up teammates, either.  He had just two assists in the seven games.  It was a continuation of postseason frustration for Semin, who, despite the five goals in 14 postseason games the previous season, recorded none of them in the second round series against the Pittsburgh Penguins (another seven-game loss).  In his most recent 14 postseason games, Semin shot 0-for-59.  The term “enigma,” which had been applied to Semin intermittently in his career (in part because of his discomfort with doing interviews in English), was now stamped plainly on his forehead. 

No one could have known it at the time, but that series against the Canadiens marked the beginning of a long, slow slide in Semin’s production with the Caps.  After he was re-signed to a one-year contract for the 2010-2011 season, his goal production dropped frm 40 to 28, his assists from 44 to 26, and his points from 84 to 54 in eight fewer games played than in the 2009-2010 season.  His postseason numbers improved somewhat, with four goals in nine games, but he failed to record any in the last three games (all losses) in the second-round loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Despite being given a $700,000 raise in another one-year contract for the 2011-2012 season, Semin’s goal scoring production dropped further, down to 21 goals, but he did finish with the same 54-point total he had the previous season.  Worse, his postseason performance continued that disturbing trend of going into hiding late.  He scored three goals in the first five games of the first-round series against the Boston Bruins, then went silent for the remaining nine games of the postseason (on 22 shots).  In his last 37 postseason games with the Caps, through 2012, Semin scored seven goals on 122 shots (5.7 percent).  He did not have a goal in 16 second round playoff games, and starting with the Pittsburgh series in 2009, he was 2-for-44 in shooting (4.5 percent) in Games 5-7 of any series.

The 2012 postseason would be his last with the Capitals.  The team did not enter into negotiations with Semin’s agent in advance of the start of the free agent signing period, and the two sides parted ways when Semin signed a one-year, $7.0 million contract with the Carolina Hurricanes on July 26, 2012.  He would later sign a five-year, $35 million extension with the club, but, unable to halt the slide in his production, had his contract bought out by the Hurricanes in July 2015.  He signed a drastically reduced one-year deal ($1.1 million) with the Montreal Canadiens.  He played in just 15 games with the Canadiens to start the 2015-2015 season before he was waived.  He went unclaimed and refused to report to the Canadiens’ AHL affiliate.  Semin returned to Russia, finishing the 2015-2016 season with Metallug Magitogorsk, his NHL career seemingly over at age 31.

William Howard Taft was a reporter, lawyer, prosecutor, superior court judge, Solicitor General of the United States, Federal judge, Governor-General of the Philippines, and Secretary of War.  His record had the appearance of one that provided him ample preparation to be President.  But underneath it all, his advancement came from the efforts of others who nominated or appointed him to many of those positions.  He never had to develop and invest the personal capital that one needs to do to be successful in politics and elective office.  He was seen by many as too much a product of Theodore Roosevelt’s rise to the presidency.  It made for a disappointing presidency that ended before many thought it would (although he would go on to serve in another position via nomination – Chief Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court, the job he appeared to want more than any other).

Alexander Semin was a supremely gifted player, one with innate skills and instincts that are hard to teach, if they can be taught at all.  If one watched him on film, he was a human highlight reel.  But that term “enigma” followed him around, encapsulating a host of other attributes – the appearance of laziness in the defensive end, a propensity to take offensive zone penalties that blunted his team’s momentum, a habit of disappearing in the postseason at the worst possible times.  He was more a “sidekick” of Alex Ovechkin than a star player in his own right.  It made for a career in Washington that is among the more disappointing in recent team history, certainly one that ended long before it should have, given his talents. 


You would never look at William Howard Taft and Alexander Semin side by side and immediately see the similarities.  But in the way they came to Washington and the manner in which they left their respective positions do suggest a common road traveled. 

Sunday, August 28, 2016

Washington Capitals: If Players Were Presidents -- Alex Ovechkin


“It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.”

Theodore Roosevelt uttered those words while delivering a speech at the Sorbonne in Paris, France, in April 1910, just over a year after he left office as the 26th President of the United States.  It is among the most widely quoted passages of anyone who ever served in the office.  One can draw a bright line from this speech, officially titled “Citizenship in a Republic,” but more commonly known as “The Man in the Arena,” to the life and hockey career of perhaps the most accomplished, if not yet complete, player in Washington Capitals history: Alex Ovechkin.

To say Theodore Roosevelt was a force of nature in his lifetime and as a figure in American history is beyond argument.  He was born in New York City in 1858, the second of four children.  He had the misfortune of suffering from asthma as a child, but during one attack he was sent away to recuperate.  On his way he met a couple of boys his age who were in good health, but had enough of a mischievous streak to make Roosevelt’s life miserable.  Roosevelt tried to defend himself, to no avail, but it was a hard lesson upon which he built.  It was in that instance that he took stock of himself and decided to try and physically train himself out of his deficiencies.  He learned to box, moved on to wrestling, began horse-riding, he weight-trained and took up rowing.  He took up what he would call “the strenuous life.”  Paired with a more natural intellectual curiosity (he studied German, natural history, zoology, forensics, and composition while at Harvard), and a father who had considerable influence over Roosevelt by the example of his own active life, it made for an impressive personality.

It served him well, even if he decided after only a year at Columbia Law School to abandon that pursuit and begin a career in politics (he still managed to do much of his work writing “The Naval War of 1812,” a book he completed at age 23 and that is still thought to be a classic in military history).  By the time he was 26 years old, he won a seat as a state assemblyman in New York, where began a career-long effort to confront corruption in politics.  That effort carried over to his activity in the election of 1884 where, at the Republican convention, he aligned with reformers (the “Mugwumps”) to try to influence the national ticket.  His efforts and those of the Mugwumps failed, and in a fit of pique, noted that he would give “hearty support” to any Democrat, not the Republican candidate James Blaine.  He recanted and learned another lesson, that if he was to play a larger role in the party, he had to avoid such displays.

After an unsuccessful run for Mayor of New York in 1886, he headed west, building a ranch in North Dakota and serving in law enforcement.  He immersed himself in the life of the west, taking up roping and hunting, and writing about the life on the frontier.  When his herd of cattle was wiped out in a severe winter, he returned east.

From the time he returned he was once more active in politics.  He was appointed to the United States Civil Service Commission by President Benjamin Harrison, where he served for six years, then became president of the board of the New York City police commissioners.  He continued his war on corruption as a police commissioner, often turning to walking officers’ beats late at night to experience first-hand what was happening on the street and to make sure officers were fulfilling their duties. 

Two years later, Roosevelt was appointed Assistant Secretary of the Navy by President William McKinley.  Despite his rank as an assistant secretary, he was influential in preparing the Navy for war with Spain.  When war broke out after the U.S.S. Maine exploded in Havana Harbor in early 1898, Roosevelt resigned his civilian office and formed a cavalry regiment, the First U.S. Volunteers, commonly known as the “Rough Riders.”  Roosevelt’s regiment participated in their most famous battle in July 1898, the “Battle of San Juan Hill.”

His war record was a prominent feature of his campaign for Governor of New York upon returning from the conflict.  It helped provide the margin of victory, fewer than 18,000 votes out of almost 1.4 million cast.  The narrow victory did nothing to slow the pace of his activity.  He promoted what he called a “square deal” that provided for "honesty in public affairs, an equitable sharing of privilege and responsibility, and subordination of party and local concerns to the interests of the state at large (G. Wallace Chessman, “Governor Theodore Roosevelt: The Albany Apprenticeship”)."  His attention to economic issues, especially with respect to large corporations, trusts, railroads, and protections for the poor, served as something of a warm-up for his turn on the national stage.

That came when President McKinley’s first-term Vice President Garret Hobart died in office of heart failure in November 1899.  Roosevelt was promoted for the position by a number of Republican leaders and accepted nomination, serving as something of the energetic “bad cop” in taking on the Democratic presidential nominee, William Jennings Bryan, enthusiastically.  The McKinley-Roosevelt ticket won election, and fate would elevate Roosevelt to the White House when McKinley was assassinated in September 1901.

Roosevelt served the remainder of McKinley’s term and a full term of his own.  In more than seven years in office as President, Roosevelt aggressively pursued an agenda that involved curbing the power of “trusts” and supporting organized labor.  He took on railroads and what he believed to be their corrupt business practices with respect to the shipment of coal and commercial goods.  Under his administration, the Meat Inspection Act was enacted (legislation that still serves as the basic authority for meat inspection programs), as was the Pure Food and Drug Act (legislation that led to creation of the Food and Drug Administration).  His was an aggressive administration in the use of executive orders, becoming the first President to issue more than 1,000 orders in his administration.  He was a champion of conservation issues, extending Federal protection of lands, seeing the creation of the United States Forest Service, and signing into law the establishment of several national parks and 18 new national monuments.

His administration was not without its difficulties, though.  Roosevelt’s relationship with the press was complicated, using them frequently, even daily, to convey his message, but coining the term “muckraker” to describe a dishonest journalist making false or unsubstantiated charges.  His second term was characterized by a move to the ideological left with promoting an income tax, limiting the role of courts in labor disputes, campaign reform, and national statutes governing corporations.  None of the reforms were enacted under his administration (although some were later), and the effort left him a somewhat diminished figure in his own party.

It did not prevent him from successfully advocating for William Howard Taft as his successor.  Taft won the party nomination and the general election of 1908 to succeed Roosevelt.  The trouble was that Roosevelt tried to exert his influence on Taft after leaving office in a persistent and obvious way.  It led to a split between Roosevelt, and Taft and the party.  By 1912, Roosevelt was receptive to running as a “progressive” and did so as the standard bearer for the new “Progressive Party,” more commonly referred to as the “Bull Moose” party.  His efforts were insufficient to move enough Republicans away from the GOP, but he did cut deeply into Taft’s vote totals, pushing Taft into third place in the Electoral College voting and providing Democrat Woodrow Wilson with the opening he needed to win election.

Roosevelt hardly missed a beat in his activity after the 1912 election.  He participated in a scientific expedition to South America in 1913 and was a strong opponent of the foreign policy of President Wilson upon his return to the United States.  He even was encouraged to seek the 1920 Republican nomination for President, but health (the after effects of malaria he contracted in South America) prevented him from mounting a serious challenge.  His health issues and the death of his son, Quentin, in World War I, left Roosevelt devastated.  In early January 1919 he passed in his sleep at Oyster Bay, Long Island, the victim of a  pulmonary embolism.

If there is a force of nature in the NHL, one that transcends the dimensions of the hockey rink to spill over into media and his private life, it is Alex Ovechkin.  No player of this era combines his size, speed, skill, and willingness to deploy a physical style of play in portions ladled out by Ovechkin on a night-to-night basis.  He is a player who inspires respect and who conjures up visions of the “dirty” hockey player.  He is praised for accomplishments unique to him in this era of depressed offense, yet derided for his inability to lead his team into the deeper rounds of the postseason.  And that doesn’t even address his international play, which features a resume of world championships and Olympic disappointment.  In an era of ubiquitous social media outlets, his private life is chronicled to an extent perhaps greater than any player in hockey.  He is a sports icon on two continents.

Born in Moscow to parents who themselves were athletes (his father was a professional soccer player, his mother a winner of two Olympic gold medals as a member of the Soviet Union women’s basketball team), Alex got an early start in sports, and in hockey in particular.    By the age of 16 he was playing for Dynamo Moscow and would soon be getting attention from the North American hockey community.  In 2002, the 17-year old Ovechkin was being described as “Hockey’s Next Big Thing,” a player with more of a “Canadian” approach to the game…
"Ovechkin has what hockey people refer to as Russian skills, which are distinct from Swedish or Czech skills.  Russians stickhandle a lot, handling the puck in traffic well.  And they're explosive. But he's not like [Boston Bruins left wing] Sergei Samsonov, who scores by stickhandling. And he won't be circling like [Pittsburgh Penguins right wing] Alexei Kovalev, looking like a ballerina, waiting for the perfect play.  There's more of a Canadian approach that Ovechkin combines with those Russian skills. He's not reluctant to shoot. He already has an NHL-caliber shot, and he uses it – wrister, slap shot, one-timer. He knows how to go high on a goalie."
He was even being compared to Hall of Fame Pittsburgh Penguin Mario Lemieux…in Pittsburgh.  It was said that but for his birthday, two days after the cut-off for eligibility for the 2003 draft, he might have been the first overall pick of that draft.  In fact, the Florida Panthers tried a novel approach to the matter of Ovechkin’s birthday.  Panther General Manager Rick Dudley argued that if leap-days were factored into the eligibility equation, Ovechkin would turn 18 four days earlier than his birthday of record and thus would have been eligible for the 2003 draft.  Dudley tried to draft Ovechkin in four separate rounds of the 2003 draft, but they were rebuffed by the league each time.

Ovechkin was eligible for the 2004 draft, but when the Caps finished with the third-worst overall record in the 2003-2004 season, their chances of leapfrogging the Chicago Blackhawks and Pittsburgh Penguins to win the 2004 draft lottery looked slim.  But win it they did, and when Washington General Manager George McPhee announced his name with the first overall pick in the 2004 Entry Draft, Ovechkin was a Capital, the cornerstone of the rebuild they began with their selloff of players in the 2003-2004 season to set the stage for his selection.

Since then, Ovechkin has not disappointed his fans, with one exception.  He has won 14 personal awards since coming into the NHL in 2005-2006:
  • Hart Trophy/Most Valuable Player (3 times)
  • Maurice Richard Trophy/Top Goal Scorer (6, most of any player since the award was established)
  • Ted Lindsay Award/Outstanding Player (3)
  • Art Ross Trophy (1)
  • Calder Trophy/Top Rookie (1)

He is a seven-time selection to the first NHL All-Star team (he won selection to the first All Star team as a right wing and to the second team as a left wing in 2012-2013), the only player in NHL history to have been selected to the first team in each of his first five seasons.  He has been selected NHL player of the year by various publications, including The Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, and The Hockey News.  He is a seven-time winner of the Kharlamov Trophy as the top Russian hockey player of the previous season (Pavel Datsyuk is the only other player to have won it more than once).  He has been an all-star in world championships (2005 as a junior, 2006, 2008) and in the Winter Olympics (2006).  He has three World Championship gold medals (2008, 2012, 2014).  He has seven 50-goal seasons on his resume; only Mike Bossy and Wayne Gretzky have more in NHL history (nine apiece)..

But with all the offense is a physical dimension almost unprecedented, particularly in the modern era of hockey.  For example, since he came into the league in 2005-2006, concurrently with the league beginning to record “hits” as a statistic, Ovechkin has recorded more hits (2,268) than all but four players (Dustin Brown, Chris Neil, Brooks Orpik, and Cal Clutterbuck).  The flip side of that is that Ovechkin has been suspended three times in his career for hits outside the rules, once in 2009 for a hit on Carolina’s Tim Gleason (two games), once in 2010 for a hit on Chicago’s Brian Campbell (two games), and again in 2012 for a hit on Pittsburgh’s Zbynek Michalek (three games).

Ovechkin has been the rare athlete who has not been confined within the lines of his sport.  In addition to playing it, he has been a hard-working promoter of the sport…




He has become a fan favorite for what he does off the ice…



He hasn’t been afraid of trying his hand at other sports…and doing in his first try what people who play it spend a lifetime hoping they can accomplish…



And he has managed to share moments of “adventure” with teammates…



And he has even shared the office Teddy Roosevelt once occupied…


The disappointment that stands as an exception to his record of accomplishments, of course, is Ovechkin’s lack of success on the biggest of stages – an Olympic gold medal or a Stanley Cup.  The best that can be said for that is he is still compiling his body of work, and it is too late to close the door on either of those accomplishments being added to his resume. 

Theodore Roosevelt and Alex Ovechkin are two of a kind, outsized personalities who are perhaps unsurpassed as examples of “The Man in the Arena.”  Roosevelt overcame illness in his youth and personal misfortune (his first wife, Alice, died two days after giving birth to their daughter, Alice Lee) to become one of the most impressive figures, not just in American politics, but in American history.  Alex Ovechkin overcame personal misfortune of his own (his older brother, Sergei, died in a car accident when Alex was ten years old), and the cultural and language barriers the came with entering the NHL to become not just one of the greatest players in NHL history, but an athletic icon with a fearless attitude to experiencing life outside of hockey.  In the nature of their accomplishments, their personal history, and their personalities, Theodore Roosevelt and Alex Ovechkin each occupy a place that “shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.”